@JoeConsorti
Mai nazarin macro na Bitcoin wanda kusan kullum yake da kyakkyawan fata kan Bitcoin. Ya yi hasashen mafi ƙarancin farashin lokacin bazara da kyau: a ranar 6 ga Yuni, a $60,960, ya rubuta cewa “The hard part is mostly behind us”, kuma Bitcoin ya kai ƙasa mafi ƙanƙanta a $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Hasashensa na matakan farashi bai yi kyau ba. Ƙasan $49K–$53K na 28 ga Yuni bai taɓa zuwa ba, kuma bene na $80,000 na 15 ga Oktoba ya karye bayan makonni biyu.
A taƙaice. Joe Consorti yana wallafa rubuce-rubuce kan Bitcoin da macro ga mabiya kusan 63,000 a X. A cikin hasashen Bitcoin bakwai masu kwanan wata daga Afrilu zuwa Nuwamba 2026, sakamakon shi ne 2 sun tabbata, 2 a buɗe, 3 sun saɓa. Hasashensa cewa mafi muni ya wuce a Yuni da Agusta sun yi daidai. Wani hasashen ƙasa da wani bene na farashi sun yi kuskure. Yana sayar da membobin biyan kuɗi da aka gina kan maki na zagayowar Bitcoin.
Joe Consorti yana bayar da rahoto kan Bitcoin da macro na duniya a X, inda yake wallafa rubuce-rubuce tun Oktoba 2015, da kuma a YouTube. A 2023 taron Bitcoin ya lissafa shi a matsayin Mai Nazarin Kasuwa a The Bitcoin Layer, wani kamfanin bincike. A Fabrairu 2026 shirin podcast What Bitcoin Did ya gabatar da shi a matsayin “Market Analyst & Head of Growth at Horizon”. Joe Consorti Media LLC ne ke gudanar da gidan yanar gizonsa. A ranar 13 ga Yuni ya rubuta cewa tasharsa ta YouTube ta kai “25,000 subscribers” cikin kwanaki 60; gidan yanar gizonsa yanzu yana nuna 32.8K.
Yadda aka gina samfurin: shafin bayanan X ya dawo da rubuce-rubucensa 324 daga 26 ga Maris zuwa 8 ga Nuwamba 2026. Muna zana kowane rubutu da ke yin iƙirarin da za a iya bincika game da inda Bitcoin zai nufa: ƙasa, bene, matakin manufa ko farkon kasuwar haɓaka. Iƙirarin da ya maimaita ana zana shi sau ɗaya, a rubutun farko. Rubuce-rubucen da kawai ke faɗin abin da zai faru idan an kai wani mataki ba a zana su ba, amma an lissafa su a nan tare da yadda suka kasance.
Rubuce-rubuce masu sharaɗi. A ranar 8 ga Mayu, a $80,025, ya rubuta “If BTC can hold tmatakin da aka ambata, chances are, the bull market is back”, yana nufin $79,100; Bitcoin ya riƙe shi kusan mako ɗaya, ya faɗi ƙasa da shi a ranar 16 ga Mayu kuma bai sake hawa sama da shi ba a sauran watan Mayu. A ranar 10 ga Mayu ya rubuta cewa sake kwato $83k zai sa ya zama “off to the races to $93k”; Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa a $82,018 washegari kuma bai kai can ba. A ranar 2 ga Yuni ya rubuta cewa maimaita 2022 zai sanya “the absolute cycle low” a $42,000; mafi ƙarancin ya kasance $58,566.
Maimaitawa da ra'ayoyin dogon lokaci. A ranar 4 ga Nuwamba, a $77,385, ya maimaita hasashensa na Agusta: “I think the bottom is already in.” A ranar 1 ga Satumba ya rubuta cewa “$5 million per Bitcoin is very reasonable”, ba tare da kwanan wata ba. Ba za a iya bincika hakan ba tukuna.
Sources: x.com/JoeConsorti · joeconsorti.com
Macro da on-chain. Consorti yana karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar tattalin arziki da matakan farashin sayan on-chain: farashin sayan masu riƙe na ɗan gajeren lokaci, realized price, da matsakaicin motsi na kwanaki 200, makonni 200 da makonni 50. Yana kwatanta zagayowar yanzu da 2022 da kuma shekarun tsakiyar wa'adi na baya, kuma sau da yawa yana kare Strategy, kamfanin Michael Saylor mai riƙe da Bitcoin, daga iƙirarin cewa za a tilasta masa sayarwa.
Kyakkyawan fata mai ƙarfi. Yana ɗaukar mafi ƙarancin farashin 1 ga Yuli a matsayin ƙasan zagayowar, kuma ya rubuta a ranar 4 ga Nuwamba cewa “the bottom is already in”. Hasashensa ɗaya tilo na faɗuwa a cikin samfurin na ɗan gajeren lokaci ne: a ranar 8 ga Nuwamba ya ambaci $73.1K a matsayin “Next stop”.
Hasashen Bitcoin bakwai masu kwanan wata daga rubuce-rubucen X na Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) da kansa, an zana su tare da ainihin farashi. Sakamakon shi ne 2 sun tabbata, 2 a buɗe, 3 sun saɓa.
“Just broke the STH cost basis at $75.8K and just wicked down below $74K briefly. Next stop is $73.1K, the 200-day MA.”
An wallafa a 22:16 UTC; katin yana amfani da alamar ranar $75,776. Alamar yau da kullum ta gaba ita ce $74,740 (−1.4%), bai kai $73.1K ba tukuna. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (−1.0%). A buɗe, sa'o'i kaɗan ne.
𝕏 Post“Next stop is $73.1K, the 200-day MA.” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“Hot CPI, hot PPI, energy inflation surging, oil over $100 for several months, and Bitcoin can't get any lower than $80,000.”
An faɗa a $81,604, tare da “It's looking good, guys.” An wallafa a 19:58 UTC; alamar washegari ita ce $82,156. Wani bidiyo na ranar, kamar yadda COINOTAG ya ruwaito, ya ƙara yanayin faɗuwa: $71,000 idan $80,000 ya karye. Alamomin yau da kullum sun tsaya sama da $80,000 har zuwa 29 ga Oktoba, sannan suka faɗi zuwa $77,839 a ranar 30 ga Oktoba da zuwa $74,740 (−8.4%) a ranar 9 ga Nuwamba. Bai kai $71,000 ba. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (−8.1%). Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin can't get any lower than $80,000” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“The bear is slain. Welcome (tentatively) to the bull market.”
An faɗa a $81,169, bayan rufewar mako-mako ta farko ta Bitcoin sama da matsakaicin motsi na makonni 50 cikin makonni 45. Bitcoin ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+6.7%) washegari, mafi girma a lokacin, sannan ya faɗi zuwa $74,740 (−7.9%) a ranar 9 ga Nuwamba. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (−7.6%). A buɗe, kuma yana saɓa masa a yanzu.
𝕏 Post“The bear is slain. Welcome (tentatively) to the bull market.” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“No new low. Price went up. That's what a cycle bottom looks like.”
An faɗa a $63,916. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $62,844 (−1.7%) a ranar 17 ga Agusta, sama sosai da mafi ƙarancin 1 ga Yuli na $58,566, sannan ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+35.5%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Ya maimaita hasashen a ranar 4 ga Nuwamba. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (+17.4%). Babu sabon mafi ƙaranci har yanzu. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“No new low. Price went up. That's what a cycle bottom looks like.” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“Five separate models. All pointing at the same level for Bitcoin's cycle bottom.”
An faɗa a $59,953. Samfura biyar sun sanya ƙasan tsakanin $49K da $53K, kuma ya rubuta “That's where this ends.” Bitcoin ya kai ƙasa bayan kwanaki uku a $58,566 (−2.3%), nesa sama da wannan kewayon, kuma ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+44.4%). A ranar 7 ga Oktoba ya rubuta cewa Bitcoin “bottomed on July 1st”. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (+25.1%). Mai kyau ga mai saya, amma matakin ƙasan ya yi kuskure.
𝕏 Post“The tightest cluster of bottom signals in Bitcoin's history. That's where this ends.” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“How low does Bitcoin go from here? It's probably not as bad as you may think.”
An faɗa a $60,960. Ya lissafa matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200 a $61,000, realized price a $54,000 da maimaita 2022 a $42,000, kuma ya rubuta “We've already fallen 50%. The hard part is mostly behind us.” Bitcoin ya ƙara faɗuwa da 3.9% kawai, zuwa $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli, sannan ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+42.1%). Yanzu yana a $75,013 (+23.1%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“We've already fallen 50%. The hard part is mostly behind us.” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.com“War in the Middle East is raging and bitcoin refuses to go lower.”
An faɗa a $76,326, an nufi masu hasashen faɗuwa: “And you're bearish? Best of luck.” An wallafa a 18:05 UTC; alamar washegari ita ce $78,239. Bitcoin ya fara hawa zuwa $82,018 (+7.5%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu, sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−23.3%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana a $75,013 (−1.7%). Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“bitcoin refuses to go lower” — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) on X↗ x.comSakamakon fahimtarmu ce ta iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba makin da shi da kansa ya bayar ba. Zaɓi: daga rubuce-rubucensa 324 tsakanin 26 ga Maris da 8 ga Nuwamba 2026, muna zana kowane rubutu da ke yin iƙirarin da za a iya bincika game da ƙasan Bitcoin, bene, matakin manufa ko kasuwar haɓaka, sau ɗaya, a rubutun farko. An lissafa rubuce-rubuce masu sharaɗi da maimaitawa a bayanan baya tare da sakamakonsu. Hasashen 8 ga Nuwamba sa'o'i kaɗan ne kawai. Bayanan farashinmu na yau da kullum ne, don haka farashin kowane hasashe shi ne alamar ranar rubutun, kuma ba a ganin motsi a cikin rana. Layin $1,000 a kowane kati yana ɗauka cewa an saya, don haka ga hasashen faɗuwa yana nuna asarar da mai saya zai yi.
Consorti yana sayar da membobin biyan kuɗi da zaman sirri ta hanyar kamfaninsa, Joe Consorti Media LLC. Ga abin da muka gano.
Gidan yanar gizonsa yana sayar da “The Hard Money Room” a $97 a wata. Ya haɗa da Bitcoin Terminal, wanda “turns 16 indicators into one score from 0 to 100”, da kuma taron tattaunawa kai tsaye na mako-mako, taƙaitattun bayanai na yau da kullum da saƙonni kai tsaye da shi.
Shafin yana sayar da zaman mutum-da-mutum: minti 30 a $300 da minti 60 a $600, kan batutuwa kamar rarraba jari da alamun on-chain. Ya bayyana cewa shi “is not a licensed advisor”.
An yi wa rubuce-rubucensa uku daga 30 ga Maris zuwa 8 ga Afrilu alama da “[Presented by @JoinHorizon]”. Horizon shi ne kamfanin da What Bitcoin Did ya lissafa shi a matsayin Head of Growth a watan Fabrairu. A ranar 31 ga Yuli ya ba da shawarar kamfanin Bitcoin River kuma ya rubuta “Not sponsored”.
Yana wallafa taƙaitaccen bayani na yau da kullum kyauta da bidiyoyin YouTube na mako-mako.
“War in the Middle East is raging and bitcoin refuses to go lower.”
22 Apr 2026 · ya saɓa“We've already fallen 50%. The hard part is mostly behind us.”
6 Jun 2026 · ya tabbata“The tightest cluster of bottom signals in Bitcoin's history. That's where this ends.”
28 Jun 2026 · ya saɓa“No new low. Price went up. That's what a cycle bottom looks like.”
11 Aug 2026 · ya tabbata“The bear is slain. Welcome (tentatively) to the bull market.”
21 Sep 2026 · a buɗe“Bitcoin can't get any lower than $80,000.”
15 Oct 2026 · ya saɓa“Next stop is $73.1K, the 200-day MA.”
8 Nov 2026 · a buɗeAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Consorti yana wallafa nazarin YouTube na mako-mako da taƙaitaccen bayani na yau da kullum kyauta, wanda aka haɗa daga gidan yanar gizonsa.
Mai nazarin Bitcoin da macro wanda ke wallafa rubuce-rubuce a X a matsayin @JoeConsorti, tare da mabiya kusan 63,000, da kuma a YouTube. Ya kasance Mai Nazarin Kasuwa a The Bitcoin Layer kuma, ya zuwa Fabrairu 2026, Head of Growth a Horizon. Yanzu yana sayar da membobin biyan kuɗi ta hanyar Joe Consorti Media LLC.
Yana ɗaukar mafi ƙarancin farashin 1 ga Yuli 2026 na $58,566 a matsayin ƙasan zagayowar, kuma ya rubuta a ranar 4 ga Nuwamba cewa “the bottom is already in”. A ɗan gajeren lokaci, a ranar 8 ga Nuwamba a $75,776, ya ambaci $73.1K, matsakaicin motsi na kwanaki 200, a matsayin “Next stop”.
A samfurinmu na hasashen Bitcoin bakwai masu kwanan wata daga Afrilu zuwa Nuwamba 2026: biyu sun tabbata, biyu a buɗe suke kuma uku sun saɓa. Hasashensa cewa mafi muni ya wuce a Yuni da Agusta sun yi daidai. Hasashensa na ƙasan $49K–$53K da benensa na $80,000 sun yi kuskure.
Gidan yanar gizonsa yana sayar da The Hard Money Room a $97 a wata, tare da makin zagayowar Bitcoin Terminal, da zaman mutum-da-mutum a $300 da $600. An yi wa wasu rubuce-rubucensa alama cewa Horizon ne ya gabatar da su.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Consorti yana ciniki bisa babban hoto: macro, matakan farashin sayan on-chain da zagayowar. Yaya kusancin hankalinka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari don bayani da ilimi kawai, bisa ga kayan da ke a fili ga jama'a: rubuce-rubucen X na jama'a na @JoeConsorti, gidan yanar gizonsa joeconsorti.com da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko zuba jari ba ce. Alƙaluma kusan-kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Joe? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 9 November 2026
