@IT_Tech_PL
Mai nazarin on-chain da ke amfani da sunan laƙabi, wanda ke karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar kwararar kuɗin ETF, farashin sayen masu riƙewa da bayanan futures. Ya kasance mai hasashen faɗuwa daga Afrilu zuwa farkon Yuni, kuma ya yi daidai: Bitcoin ya faɗi daga kusan $79,000 zuwa mafi ƙasƙancin farashinsa na $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Sai ya ci gaba da hasashen faɗuwa fiye da kima. A ranar 18 ga Yuli ya ce ƙasa ba ta zo ba tukuna, fiye da makonni biyu bayan ta riga ta zo. Ya juya zuwa hasashen tashi a ranar 19 ga Agusta, kafin hawan farashi na 34%, kuma a ranar 27 ga Satumba ya rubuta cewa ya yi imani ƙasa ta zo.
A taƙaice. IT Tech yana wallafa a X a matsayin @IT_Tech_PL kuma yana rubuta wasiƙar labarai ta mako-mako da ake biya. A samfurinmu na hasashe tara a cikin lokacin bincike, sakamakon shi ne 5 sun tabbata, 2 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa. Mafi kyawun hasashensa su ne hasashen faɗuwa na Mayu kan Bitcoin da Ether da juyawar 19 ga Agusta. Kurakuran su ne hasashen squeeze na Yuni da bai taɓa zuwa ba da ra'ayin Yuli cewa ƙasa ba ta zo ba.
IT Tech sunan alama ne. Ba mu sami ainihin suna a rubuce-rubucensa, wasiƙar labaransa ko bayaninsa ba, don haka muna amfani da alamar. Bayaninsa a X yana cewa “Bitcoin & Crypto Insights | On-chain analyst | Verified Author on @CryptoQuant_com”. Yana rubuta game da kansa da siffofin namiji a rubuce-rubucensa na Polish, don haka muke cewa “he”. Asusun yana kan X tun 2013.
Yana wallafa cikin Turanci da Polish. Yawancin rubuce-rubucen jerin bayanai ne: kwararar kuɗin ETF, farashin sayen masu riƙewa na ɗan gajeren lokaci da na dogon lokaci, riba da asarar da aka tabbatar, kuɗin funding da taswirorin liquidation. Da yawa gajerun bayanan order-flow ne kan zanen 15-minute. Ba mu ba su maki ba; mun zana rubuce-rubucen da ke ɗaukar ra'ayi kan inda Bitcoin ko Ether za su je.
A ranar 1 ga Afrilu 2026 ya wallafa cewa Bitcoin “bottom is in” tare da manufar 140K, sannan ya kira shi “April Fools” a ranar. Ba mu zana shi ba. Mun karanta kowane rubutunsa na kansa a lokacin bincike, kusan 560, kuma mun zana takwas, da ɗaya daga wasiƙar labarai. Ra'ayoyinsa sun canza a cikin shekara, kuma tarihin yana nuna ɓangarorin biyu.
Sources: x.com/IT_Tech_PL (captured via api.fxtwitter.com) · ittechpl.substack.com
Kwararar kuɗi da farko, sannan farashin sayen. IT Tech yana karanta buƙata daga kwararar kuɗin ETF da Coinbase premium, da wadata daga farashin sayen masu riƙewa da asarar da aka tabbatar. Yana ambaton mataki ɗaya da zai canza ra'ayinsa, kamar 83.5K ko 82,800, sannan ya jira rufewar mako. Wannan ya sa ya yi daidai a faɗuwar bazara, amma ya yi jinkiri a ƙasan Yuli, lokacin da bayanan kwarara suke har yanzu marasa kyau.
Hasashen faɗuwa daga Afrilu zuwa Yuli 2026, tare da ɗan karkata zuwa tashi a tsakiyar Yuni. Hasashen tashi daga 19 ga Agusta. A ranar 15 ga Satumba ya kira yanayin “mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low”, kuma a ranar 27 ga Satumba ya rubuta cewa ya yi imani ƙasa ta zo idan mako ya rufe sama da $82,800. Haka kuwa ya faru.
Hasashe tara masu kwanan wata daga @IT_Tech_PL, takwas an ɗauko su kalma-da-kalma daga X, ɗaya kuma daga wasiƙar labaransa, kowanne an zana shi kan ainihin farashi. Jimilla ita ce 5 sun tabbata, 2 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa. Ya karanta faɗuwar bazara da kyau kuma ya kama juyawar Agusta. Ya kuskure ƙasan Yuli.
“For weeks, I have been saying one level would settle this cycle: $82,800. On Monday, Bitcoin broke through it and has stayed above it ever since.” … “If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.”
Daga wasiƙar labaransa ta mako-mako, an wallafa ranar Lahadi a $84,417. Mako ya rufe sama da $82,800, don haka sharaɗinsa ya cika. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $83,479 (−1.1%) a ranar 29 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $86,440 (+2.4%). Hasashen ƙasa yana ɗaukar watanni kafin a tabbatar da shi. A buɗe.
Source“If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.” — IT Tech, On-Chain Insights #196↗ ittechpl.substack.com“Bullish read. I flagged this aging setup before the 2022 low, and it's repeating now. BTC is still 38% off ATH though, well above where the 2022 base printed - this reads as mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low.”
An wallafa a $78,173. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $75,590 (−3.3%) washegari, sannan ya tashi zuwa $86,597 (+10.8%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $86,440 (+10.6%). Ra'ayin tashi ya yi aiki zuwa yanzu. Rabi na biyu, cewa ƙasan zagaye na nan tafe, ba a gwada shi ba tukuna, kuma bayan kwanaki goma sha biyu ya rubuta cewa ya yi imani ƙasa ta zo. A buɗe.
𝕏 Post“this reads as mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“OI drop then rebound = shorts closed, longs entered. MA cross confirmed breakout. ✅ Bullish. Spot CVD held. OI climbing = fresh longs, not covering.”
An wallafa yayin da Bitcoin ya fito zuwa kusan 65K; farashin ranar $64,686 ne. Farashin washegari $69,291 ne (+7.1%), kuma Bitcoin bai sake rufewa ƙasa da matakin hasashen ba. Ya kai $86,597 (+33.9%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $86,440 (+33.6%). Ya kuma yi gargaɗin cewa leverage ne ke tura motsin, amma ba a sami faɗuwa mai kaifi ba. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“✅ Bullish. Spot CVD held. OI climbing = fresh longs, not covering.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise. The demand that fueled the rally is now unwinding. That's the trend, not noise.”
An wallafa a $63,905, kwanaki 17 bayan ƙasan $58,566 (−8.4%) na 1 ga Yuli. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $62,773 (−1.8%) kawai a ranar 2 ga Agusta, ya koma sama da matakin hasashen a ranar 5 ga Agusta, kuma ya tashi zuwa $86,597 (+35.5%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Yanzu yana $86,440 (+35.3%). Ƙasa ta riga ta zo. Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Price reclaimed both the 10 and 30 MA (67K / 66K) after the dip below 64K. Shorts are underwater and stuck. No fresh long leverage stepping in. This bounce is running on short covering plus steady buying. Lean bullish - but it's a short squeeze setup, not a leverage breakout.”
An wallafa a $66,293. Babu squeeze da ya zo. Bitcoin ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−11.7%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli kuma ya rufe sama da matakin hasashen sau ɗaya kawai, a $66,521 (+0.3%) a ranar 22 ga Yuli, kafin 20 ga Agusta. Yanzu yana $86,440 (+30.4%), amma hakan ya zo bayan watanni biyu a cikin sabon motsi. Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“Lean bullish - but it's a short squeeze setup, not a leverage breakout.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“$BTC capitulation mode activated. Short-term holders hit the worst reading of the year. But one extreme doesn't mark the bottom - it marks stress. Capitulation can extend if selling pressure stays elevated. Smells like a final flush could still be coming.”
An wallafa a $64,047. Bitcoin ya faɗi zuwa $60,855 (−5.0%) a ranar 7 ga Yuni kuma ya yi ƙasansa na $58,566 (−8.6%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $86,440 (+35.0%). Faɗuwar ta zo. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“Smells like a final flush could still be coming.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Spot ETF flows just flipped hard red on both $BTC and $ETH after a week of recovery inflows.” … “$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.”
Rubutu ɗaya ne da na katin Bitcoin, an zana shi don Ether a $2,258. Ether ya kai kololuwa washegari a $2,283 (+1.1%), sannan ya faɗi zuwa $1,566 (−30.7%) a ranar 26 ga Yuni. Yanzu yana $2,727 (+20.7%), bayan hawan farashi da ya fara a Agusta. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Spot ETF flows just flipped hard red on both $BTC and $ETH after a week of recovery inflows.” … “$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.”
An wallafa a $79,289. Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa washegari a $81,059 (+2.2%), sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−26.1%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $86,440 (+9.0%), bayan hawan farashin Agusta. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“83.5K on a weekly close - that's the line separating bear market rally from trend reversal for $BTC.” … “Every bounce into 83.5K faces selling pressure from underwater STHs. That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.”
An wallafa a $75,112. Bitcoin ya tashi zuwa $82,018 (+9.2%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu, bai kai 83.5K ba, sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−22.0%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Farashin yau da kullum na farko sama da 83.5K ya zo a ranar 22 ga Satumba, a $86,597 (+15.3%). Komawar bazara hawan sauƙi ne kawai. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.comSakamakon karatunmu ne na iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba makin ɗan kasuwan da kansa ba. Kowace magana kalma-da-kalma ce kuma an haɗa ta da tushe a katinta. An zana kowane hasashe a farashin CoinGecko na tsakar daren ranar. Ba mu zana maimaitawa ba. A ranar 10 ga Yuni ya rubuta “Final capitulation is still ahead”, ra'ayi ɗaya da katin 4 ga Yuni. A ranakun 16 da 21 ga Yuli ya maimaita cewa ƙasa ba ta zo ba, ra'ayi ɗaya da katin 18 ga Yuli. A ranar 5 ga Agusta ya wallafa ra'ayoyi biyu masu saɓani cikin 'yan sa'o'i, ɗaya na faɗuwa ɗaya na tashi, don haka ba mu zana ko ɗaya ba. Haka kuma mun bar rubutun “bottom is in” na 1 ga Afrilu, wanda ya kira wasan “April Fools”, da bayanansa na zane na 15-minute. Layin “$1,000 in” da ke ƙarƙashin kowane zane alƙalami ne na saya-ka-riƙe daga ranar hasashen; ga katunan hasashen faɗuwa biyar (17 ga Afrilu, 14 ga Mayu sau biyu, 4 ga Yuni da 18 ga Yuli), ƙaruwar alƙalamin tana nufin kasuwa ta saɓa wa taken katin.
Rubuce-rubucen IT Tech a X kyauta ne. Ga yadda yake samun kuɗi daga gare su.
Rahotonsa na mako-mako kan Bitcoin da crypto a Substack ana biya: $7 a wata ko $70 a shekara a yanar gizo. Farkon kowace fitowa ne kawai ke a fili. Hasashen 27 ga Satumba a wannan shafi ya fito ne daga wannan ɓangaren na jama'a.
Yana wallafa hanyoyin rajista na Bybit EU da OKX, tare da kyaututtuka ga sababbin asusu. Wasu rubuce-rubuce suna da alamar “#reklama”, ma'ana talla a Polish. Tasharsa ta Telegram kyauta don ra'ayoyin ciniki a buɗe take ga waɗanda suka yi rajista ta ɗaya daga cikin waɗannan musayar abokan hulɗa.
Wasiƙar labaransa tana haɗa tashoshin YouTube guda biyu, ɗaya cikin Turanci ɗaya cikin Polish, da shafin yanar gizo, btc-analysis.com, mai dashboard na on-chain kyauta. Ba mu zana komai daga gare su ba.
“That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.”
17 Apr 2026 · ya tabbata“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise.”
18 Jul 2026 · ya saɓa“If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.”
27 Sep 2026 · a buɗeAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
IT Tech yana rubuta jerin bayanai a X, wasiƙar labarai ta mako-mako da ake biya, kuma yana wallafa a CryptoQuant a matsayin marubuci da aka tabbatar. Yana kuma gudanar da tashoshin YouTube cikin Turanci da Polish.
Mai nazarin on-chain wanda ke wallafa a X a matsayin @IT_Tech_PL, mai mabiya kusan 47,000. Marubuci ne da aka tabbatar a CryptoQuant kuma yana rubuta wasiƙar labarai ta mako-mako da ake biya, On-Chain Insights. Bai bayyana ainihin sunansa ba.
A samfurinmu na hasashe tara masu kwanan wata daga 17 ga Afrilu zuwa 27 ga Satumba 2026: biyar sun tabbata, biyu a buɗe, biyu sun saɓa. Ya yi daidai game da faɗuwar bazara da juyawar Agusta, kuma ya yi kuskure da ya ce a Yuli cewa ƙasa ba ta zo ba.
Eh. Wasiƙar labaransa tana kashe $7 a wata ko $70 a shekara a yanar gizo. Yana kuma wallafa hanyoyin gayyata na musayar Bybit EU da OKX, wasu da alamar talla.
Matsakaicin farashin da aka biya kan tsabar kuɗin da suka motsa a cikin kwanaki 155 da suka gabata. Idan Bitcoin yana ciniki ƙasa da shi, sababbin masu saye suna cikin asara kuma suna yawan sayarwa a lokacin hawan farashi. IT Tech yana amfani da shi a matsayin layin raba hawan sauƙi da sabon yanayin tashi.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
IT Tech yana karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar kwararar kuɗi da farashin saye. Yaya hankalinka yake kusa da nasa? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilimi bisa kayan da ke a fili kawai: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X, ɓangaren jama'a na wasiƙar labaransa da tushen da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ce. Alƙaluma kusan-kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you IT Tech? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 5 October 2026
