@cburniske
Mai zuba jari a kamfanoni masu tasowa kuma daya daga cikin marubutan littafin Cryptoassets, wanda yake wallafa matakan sayen Bitcoin da ra'ayoyinsa kan zagayen kasuwa a X. Babban hasashensa a cikin samfurin ya yi aiki: a ranar 29 ga Afrilu, a $76,332, ya yi tsammanin za a gwada matakan sayensa biyu mafi kasa, kusan $58K da $50K, a rubu'i na biyu ko na uku na shekara, kuma Bitcoin ya fadi zuwa $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Bai taba kaiwa $50K ba. Hasashensa na tashin farashi da ya yi daga baya suna nan a bude, kuma Bitcoin yana kasa da inda yake lokacin da ya yi su.
A taƙaice. Chris Burniske abokin hulda ne a kamfanin zuba jari Placeholder kuma yana wallafa rubutu ga mabiya kusan 343,000 a X. A kan hasashe hudu masu kwanan wata kan Bitcoin daga Afrilu zuwa Oktoba 2026, sakamakon shi ne 1 ya tabbata, 2 a bude, 1 ya saba. Ya yi hasashen faduwa zuwa kusan $58K, kuma hakan ya zo a watan Yuli. Hasashensa na watan Yuli cewa crypto zai fadi da wuri ya saba masa. Tun watan Oktoba yana cewa $58K mai yiwuwa ne kasan zagayen; wannan har yanzu a bude yake.
Chris Burniske ya bayyana kansa a X a matsayin abokin hulda a Placeholder, kamfanin zuba jari, daya daga cikin marubutan littafin Cryptoassets, kuma tsohon shugaban sashen crypto a ARK Invest. Yana zaune a New York kuma yana wallafa rubutu a X tun watan Maris 2016. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa sun shafi hanyoyin sadarwar crypto da tokens da yake bibiya, kamar $ZEC da $TIA; kadan ne suka shafi farashin Bitcoin.
Yadda aka gina samfurin: binciken X da shafin bayanansa sun dawo da rubuce-rubucensa 60 na kansa daga 22 ga Afrilu zuwa 6 ga Nuwamba 2026. Muna zana kowane rubutu da ya yi ikirarin da za a iya dubawa kan inda Bitcoin zai nufa, sau daya, a rubutu na farko da ya fito fili. Rubutunsa na 22 ga Agusta “Coming off the bottom” da rubutunsa na 8 ga Oktoba “Love the smell of fear in an early bull” an nuna su a katin 18 ga Oktoba, tun da wannan rubutun ne ya ambaci matakin. Ba a zana ba: rubutun 17 ga Yuni kan “the confluence around October”, wanda bai nuna alkibla ba, da amsar 28 ga Mayu cewa Bitcoin zai “likely be first to bottom, and first to rebound”, wadda take kwatanta shi da hannayen jari.
Hasashen da suka gabata, kafin lokacin bayanan farashinmu. A ranar 30 ga Nuwamba 2025 ya rubuta cewa Bitcoin yana fara zama mai ban sha'awa ne kawai idan ya kasa $75K, kuma komawa zuwa matsakaicin makonni 200, wanda a lokacin yake kusan $56K, “always possible” ne. A ranar 25 ga Janairu 2026 ya lissafa matakan da zai lura da su a matsayin mai saye: kusan $80K, $74K, $70K, $58K da “$50K & below”. Hasashen 29 ga Afrilu a wannan shafi yana nuni ga wannan jerin. Ba mu sami wani rubutu a cikin samfurin da ya ambaci kuskurensa ba.
Majiyoyi: x.com/cburniske · placeholder.vc
Matakai da zagaye. Burniske yana wallafa jerin matakan Bitcoin inda zai saya, bisa tsofaffin farashi mafi kasa, matsakaicin makonni 200 da farashin sayen masu rike da kudin a kan blockchain, kuma yana saya kadan-kadan yayin da farashi ya kai su. Yana tunani bisa zagayen kasuwa, kuma a watan Oktoba ya rubuta cewa zagayen shekaru hudu zai “diminish in relevance from here”. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa sun shafi tara kananan tokens ne maimakon farashin Bitcoin.
Mai kyakkyawan fata na dogon lokaci. A ranar 29 ga Afrilu ya rubuta cewa a koyaushe yana kasancewa “significantly long $BTC in some form”. Tun watan Agusta yana rubuta cewa an kai kasa, kuma a ranar 18 ga Oktoba ya ce yana “inclined to be a buyer”.
Hasashe hudu masu kwanan wata kan Bitcoin daga rubuce-rubucen Chris Burniske (@cburniske) na kansa a X, an zana su tare da ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 1 ya tabbata, 2 a bude, 1 ya saba.
“There's a formidable wall of worry out there, and if it's scaled (likely after midterms?), the results should be explosive.”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 11 Nuw 2026 neAn fada a $80,049. Ya kuma rubuta cewa karfin kananan tokens “while $BTC bleeds” ya nuna kasuwa “isn't losing its risk appetite”. Zabukan tsakiyar wa'adi na Amurka sun gudana a ranar 3 ga Nuwamba. Bitcoin ya tashi zuwa $81,274 (+1.5%) a ranar 29 ga Oktoba, kuma yanzu yana $73,707 (−7.9%). Bai sanya wa'adi ba. A bude.
Rubutu a 𝕏“There's a formidable wall of worry out there, and if it's scaled (likely after midterms?), the results should be explosive.” — Chris Burniske (@cburniske) on X↗ x.com“yes, i give it 90% odds 58k was the cycle bottom, and also that 4 yr cycles will diminish in relevance from here”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 11 Nuw 2026 neAn fada a $81,408, a cikin amsa. A babban rubutunsa na ranar ya rubuta: “I read this as an early-bull opportunity rather than a warning sign”. Ya taba fadin haka a baya: “Coming off the bottom” a ranar 22 ga Agusta, a $78,318, da “Love the smell of fear in an early bull” a ranar 8 ga Oktoba, a $83,282. Farashi mafi kasa na lokacin shi ne $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Tun 18 ga Oktoba Bitcoin bai rufe sama da $84,082 ba, kuma yanzu yana $73,707 (−9.5%), har yanzu 25.9% sama da wannan farashi mafi kasa. A bude: hasashen zai gaza idan Bitcoin ya sauka kasa da farashi mafi kasa na Yuli.
Rubutu a 𝕏“yes, i give it 90% odds 58k was the cycle bottom” — Chris Burniske (@cburniske) on X↗ x.com“I do think the spell has been broken, and am viewing these violent rebounds as deadcats, with the expectation that crypto will catch shrapnel early, but also bottom earlier than equities do.”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 11 Nuw 2026 neAn fada a $64,743, game da faduwar hannayen jari. Ya wallafa a 20:42 UTC, kuma alamar washegari ita ce $62,820. Rufewar Bitcoin mafi kasa bayan haka ita ce $62,773 a ranar 2 ga Agusta (−3.0%). Sannan ya tashi zuwa $86,597 (+33.8%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Yanzu yana $73,707 (+13.8%). Faduwar da ya yi tsammani ga crypto ba ta zo ba. Ba mu kimanta bangaren hannayen jari ba. Ya saba.
Rubutu a 𝕏“with the expectation that crypto will catch shrapnel early, but also bottom earlier than equities do” — Chris Burniske (@cburniske) on X↗ x.com“still expecting the bottom two targets to be tested in Q2 or Q3.”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 11 Nuw 2026 neAn fada a $76,332. Rubutun ya ambaci jerinsa na 25 ga Janairu, inda matakai biyu mafi kasa su ne “~$58K: 200W SMA & on-chain cost basis” da “~$50K & below”. Bitcoin ya fadi zuwa $58,566 (−23.3%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli, a rubu'i na uku; a Binance an yi ciniki har zuwa $57,800 a wannan rana. Bai taba kaiwa $50K ba. Yanzu yana $73,707 (−3.4%). Faduwar da matakin farko sun tabbata; na biyun bai tabbata ba.
Rubutu a 𝕏“still expecting the bottom two targets to be tested in Q2 or Q3” — Chris Burniske (@cburniske) on X↗ x.comSakamakon fahimtarmu ne na abin da ya fada idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba nasa kimantawa ba. Zabi: daga rubuce-rubucensa 60 na kansa tsakanin 22 ga Afrilu da 6 ga Nuwamba 2026, muna zana kowane rubutu da ya yi ikirarin da za a iya dubawa kan inda Bitcoin zai nufa, sau daya, a rubutu na farko da ya fito fili. Bayanan farashinmu na kullum ne, don haka farashin kowane hasashe shi ne alamar ranar da aka wallafa rubutun, kuma ba a ganin motsin farashi a cikin rana; don farashi mafi kasa na 1 ga Yuli mun kuma duba bayanan kullum na Binance, kamar yadda aka fada a katin. Dukkan rubuce-rubucen hudu sun zo da yamma, a lokacin UTC; katin 31 ga Yuli ya kuma nuna alamar washegari. Layin $1,000 a kowane kati yana daukar cewa an saya.
Burniske mai zuba jari ne a kamfanoni masu tasowa, don haka zai iya samun riba daga tokens da yake rubutu a kansu. Ga abin da muka gano.
Shafinsa na X ya ce shi abokin hulda ne a Placeholder, kamfanin zuba jari. A ranar 30 ga Nuwamba 2025 ya rubuta game da token $MON: “yes, I'm a venture investor in it”.
A ranar 29 ga Afrilu 2026 ya rubuta cewa a koyaushe yana kasancewa “significantly long $BTC in some form, increasingly through ETFs”. A ranar 18 ga Oktoba ya rubuta: “i stacked tia this bear”.
Yakan ba da shawarar ayyuka da shirye-shiryen podcast, kamar Backpack a ranar 30 ga Satumba. Ba mu iya duba wadanne daga cikinsu Placeholder ta zuba jari a ciki ba.
Ba mu sami wata wasikar labarai ta biya, rubuce-rubucen talla ko hanyoyin gayyata a cikin rubuce-rubucensa daga 22 ga Afrilu zuwa 6 ga Nuwamba 2026 ba.
“still expecting the bottom two targets to be tested in Q2 or Q3.”
29 Afi 2026 · ya tabbata“with the expectation that crypto will catch shrapnel early, but also bottom earlier than equities do.”
31 Yul 2026 · ya saba“yes, i give it 90% odds 58k was the cycle bottom”
18 Okt 2026 · a bude“if it's scaled (likely after midterms?), the results should be explosive.”
26 Okt 2026 · a budeAn kawo maganganun kalma da kalma, a harshensu na asali, daga majiyoyin jama'a; ra'ayoyi ne da aka faɗa, ba shawara ba.
Ra'ayoyin Burniske galibi suna cikin rubuce-rubucensa a X. Ya rubuta littafin Cryptoassets tare da wani.
Abokin hulda ne a kamfanin zuba jari Placeholder, daya daga cikin marubutan littafin Cryptoassets kuma tsohon shugaban sashen crypto a ARK Invest. Yana wallafa rubutu a X da sunan @cburniske, kuma yana da mabiya kusan 343,000.
A ranar 18 ga Oktoba 2026 ya rubuta cewa yana ba da “90% odds” cewa 58K shi ne kasan zagayen. A ranar 26 ga Oktoba ya rubuta cewa sakamakon “should be explosive” idan kasuwa ta haura “wall of worry” dinta, watakila bayan zabukan tsakiyar wa'adi na Amurka.
A kan samfurinmu na hasashe hudu masu kwanan wata kan Bitcoin daga Afrilu zuwa Oktoba 2026: daya ya tabbata, biyu a bude suke kuma daya ya saba. Hasashensa na Afrilu na faduwa zuwa kusan $58K ya tabbata a watan Yuli, ko da yake ba a taba kaiwa matakinsa na $50K ba. Hasashensa na Yuli cewa crypto zai fadi da wuri ya saba masa.
Abokin hulda ne a kamfanin zuba jari Placeholder, wanda yake zuba jari a hanyoyin sadarwar crypto, kuma shi kansa yana rike da Bitcoin da wasu tokens. Ba mu sami wata wasikar labarai ta biya ko rubuce-rubucen talla ba.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Burniske yana saya mataki-mataki a matakan da ya ambata tun da wuri. Yaya kusancin dabi'arka da tasa? Auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari ne na bayani da ilimantarwa wanda ya dogara ne kawai kan bayanan da ke bayyane ga jama'a: rubuce-rubucen jama'a na @cburniske a X da majiyoyin da aka hada a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kudi ko ta zuba jari ba ce. Alkaluma kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Kun ga kuskure, ko kuwa ku ne Chris? Aika gyara →
An tabbatar da asusun · An lissafa majiyoyi a sama · Hanyar tantancewa · An sabunta 11 Nuwamba 2026
