Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

≈243K mabiya a XA X tun Fabrairu 201911 hasashe masu kwanan wata da aka zana a nan

Mai cinikin order-flow da ke karanta open interest, liquidation da order book, kuma ke bayyana matakan Bitcoin inda liquidity yake. Hasashen da suka kai ga mafi ƙarancin farashin Yuni sun yi aiki: faɗuwa daga $79,069 a Mayu da share zuwa 58k a ƙarshen Yuni. Manyan maƙasudai na hawa ba su yi aiki ba: $100,000 ga Bitcoin a Satumba da $3,000 ga Ether.

A taƙaice. Byzantine General mai ciniki ne na crypto a X, @ByzGeneral, mai kusan mabiya 243,000. A kan hasashe goma sha ɗaya masu kwanan wata daga Mayu zuwa Oktoba 2026 da suka ambaci matakin farashin Bitcoin ko Ether, sakamakon shi ne 6 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 4 sun saɓa. Hasashen matakai a hanyar sauka zuwa mafi ƙarancin farashin Yuni da Yuli galibi sun yi aiki. Kuskuren su ne matakai biyu na koma-baya a farkon Yuni da manyan maƙasudai biyu na hawa a Satumba.

Bayanan baya — abin da aka rubuta, da abin da ba a rubuta ba

Asusun Byzantine General ba ya wallafa ainihin suna. Asusun X ɗin yana buɗe tun Fabrairu 2019 kuma bayanin bio ɗinsa ya ce “Cartoon tiger pressing buttons.” Asusun ya ambaci alaƙoƙin kasuwanci uku: abokin hulɗar musayar Bybit, abokin hulɗar manhajar ciniki Liquid, da mai ba da shawara ga kamfanin bayanai Velo. Tun daga 30 ga Agusta 2026 asusun yana kuma rubuta wasiƙar labarai ta mako-mako kyauta a Substack. Ba mu sami wani tarihin sakamako na jama'a da mai cinikin ke ajiyewa ba.

Yadda aka gina samfurin: shafin bayanan X ya dawo da rubuce-rubuce 792 na asusun kansa daga 1 ga Afrilu zuwa 8 ga Nuwamba 2026, wanda ya rufe dukan tagar farashi. Muna zana kowane rubutu a cikin tagar da ya ambaci matakin farashin Bitcoin ko Ether a matsayin maƙasudi, wurin koma-baya ko share, kowanne a rubutunsa na farko. Rubuce-rubuce da yawa suna ɗauke da jadawali. Muna yi wa kalmomin rubutun maki, ba zanen ba.

Ba a zana hasashen alkibla ba tare da mataki ba, amma ga yadda suka kasance. A ranar 1 ga Mayu mai cinikin na adawa da hawan Bitcoin a $76,297; Bitcoin ya hau zuwa $82,018 a ranar 11 ga Mayu. A ranar 6 ga Yuni, kusa da $60,960, rubutun ya ce “it's reasonable to assume that the big puke is over”; mafi ƙarancin farashi ya zo a ranar 1 ga Yuli a $58,566, ƙasa da 3.9%. A ranar 19 ga Yuni Ether ya yi kama da “terrible”; ya faɗi daga $1,710 zuwa $1,566 a ranar 26 ga Yuni. A ranar 12 ga Agusta Bitcoin “still looks weak” a $63,538; ya hau zuwa $78,318 a ranar 22 ga Agusta ba tare da sabon ƙasa ba tukuna. A ranar 25 ga Agusta mai cinikin na sa ran motsi marar alkibla sannan “another push higher”; Bitcoin ya kai $86,597 a ranar 22 ga Satumba. A ranar 1 ga Nuwamba rubutun ya ce “Call me crazy, but I'm bullish”, a $77,521. Hasashen Ether idan aka kwatanta da Bitcoin, da rubutun idan-to kamar “As long as 60k is holding”, su ma ba a zana su ba.

Asusun na ciniki ta hanyoyi biyu. A Mayu mai cinikin na karkata ga faɗuwa, kuma a ranar 29 ga Satumba rubutun ya ce ana “early into the bull market”. Hasashen Satumba na $100,000 da $3,000 ga Ether su ne manyan kurakurai a cikin samfurin.

Sources: x.com/ByzGeneral

Salon ciniki & falsafa

Order flow da liquidity. Mai cinikin na karanta open interest, funding, liquidation da bid da offer a cikin order book na spot, kuma na neman inda stop da liquidation suke. Rubutu na yau da kullum yana ambaton wannan matakin kuma yana sa ran farashi zai share shi kafin ya juya. Jadawalan galibi farashi ne tare da bayanan open interest da liquidation a ƙasa. Asusun na ciniki ta hanyoyi biyu kuma sau da yawa yana faɗin ɓangaren da yake.

Tarihin hasashe — kiran da suka yi, a kan jadawali

Hasashe goma sha ɗaya masu kwanan wata daga rubuce-rubucen X na Byzantine General kansa, goma kan Bitcoin da ɗaya kan Ether, an kwatanta su da ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 6 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 4 sun saɓa.

Sakamakon fahimtarmu ne na iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba makin da mai cinikin ya ba kansa ba. Zaɓe: daga rubuce-rubuce 792 na asusun kansa tsakanin 1 ga Afrilu da 8 ga Nuwamba 2026, muna zana kowane rubutu da ya ambaci matakin farashin Bitcoin ko Ether a matsayin maƙasudi, wurin koma-baya ko share, a rubutunsa na farko. Ba a zana rubutun da kawai ke nuna inda bid suke ba, ko rubutun idan-to, ko hasashen Ether idan aka kwatanta da Bitcoin. Hasashen alkibla ba tare da mataki ba an jera su a sashen bayan fage tare da sakamakonsu. Bayanan farashinmu na kullum ne, don haka farashin kowane hasashe shi ne alamar ranar rubutun, kuma ba a ganin motsin cikin rana. Layin $1,000 a kowane kati yana ɗaukar sayayya, don haka ga hasashen faɗuwa yana nuna asarar da mai saye zai yi.

Yadda ake samun kuɗi — da kuma inda rikicin muradu yake

Asusun a buɗe yake game da alaƙoƙinsa na kasuwanci. Ga abin da asusun ya faɗa.

Ra'ayoyi na musamman

An rubuto zantuka daga majiyoyinsu na fili; ra'ayoyin da suka bayyana ne, ba shawarwari ba.

Dakin karatu na abun ciki

Mai cinikin na rubutu a X kuma na maimaita rubuce-rubuce da yawa a wani tashar Telegram ta jama'a. Tun daga 30 ga Agusta 2026 akwai kuma wasiƙar labarai ta Substack ta mako-mako kyauta, “Weekly digest”, kan tattalin arziki gaba ɗaya, crypto da hannayen jari.

Amsoshi kai tsaye

Yaya kake ciniki kamar su?

Byzantine General na bayyana matakai inda liquidity yake kuma na sa ran farashi zai share su. Yaya kusancin hankalinka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.

Nazari na bayani da ilimantarwa wanda ya dogara ne kawai kan kayan jama'a: rubuce-rubucen X na jama'a na Byzantine General da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ce. Alƙaluman kimanci ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Byzantine General? Gabatar da gyara →

An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 8 November 2026