
@BobLoukas
Mutumin da ya kawo kalmar “zagayen shekaru 4 na Bitcoin” a YouTube a Disamba 2018 — kuma yake tafiyar da fayil ɗin jarin misali na jama'a bisa ta. Loukas ba ya cinikin kanun labarai; yana cinikin inda kake a cikin zagayen, yana sanya kwanan wata a kowane sabuntawa, kuma yana buga sayayyar. Wannan ya sa tarihinsa ya zama mai sauƙin bincike ba kamar sauran ba — har da lokacin farkon 2026 sa'ad da zagayen ke cewa ƙasa amma farashi ya ce wani abu daban.
A taƙaice. Bob Loukas ɗan kasuwa ne na matsayi mai shekaru 30+ a kasuwanni, wanda ya kafa shafin biyan kuɗi na The Financial Tap, kuma manazarcin da aka fi haɗawa da zagayen shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin — tsarin da ya danganta shi da aikin zagaye na Walter Bressert kuma ya shafe shi ga Bitcoin tun 2018. Nazarin kuɗin dijital nasa yana ratsawa ta fayil ɗin jarin misali mai suna “4 Year Journey”, wanda yake buga cinikinsa a fili. Hasashe bakwai masu kwanan wata na 2026 da aka zana a ƙasa sun rabu kashi biyu a fili: rabin farkon shekararsa na faɗuwa bai dace da lokaci ba — yanayin ƙasa da $50,000 da bai taɓa zuwa ba, da wani saƙo na “ana shirin wani babban sauka” da aka buga daidai a ranar mafi ƙanƙantar farashin Bitcoin na Maris — sannan ya kama juyin: ya sanar da ƙarshen tashin adawa da yanayi kwanaki shida kafin kololuwar $82,018, ya sayi BTC 10 kan $65,000 a Yuni, kuma ya gaya wa mabiyansa cewa Bitcoin “bai mutu ba” a $60,990, tun daga lokacin kasuwar ta hau +29.8%. Tagar mafi ƙanƙantar zagayensa ta Oktoba–Nuwamba 2026 ba ta zo ba tukuna kuma an rubuta ta a matsayin buɗaɗɗe.
Bob Loukas ɗan kasuwa ne na matsayi kuma wanda ya kafa The Financial Tap, shafin biyan kuɗi da yake bayyana shi ba a matsayin sabis na ciniki ba sai dai a matsayin “ilimin zuba jari mai ci gaba”. Shafinsa na gabatarwa yana da tsanaki game da siffar aikin: shekaru 30+ na gogewar kasuwa, sabuntawar bidiyo 52 na mako a kowace shekara, fayil ɗin jarin misali ga mambobi, da matsuguni a Birnin New York. Hanyarsa tana da asali mai suna — yana yaba wa “aikin farko na Walter Bressert”, manazarcin zagaye — kuma yana bayyana shi a matsayin nazarin tsarurruka masu maimaituwa da ake iya aunawa cikin farashi da lokaci, ba farashi kaɗai ba. Falsafarsa da ya bayyana ba ta da ƙawa da gangan: “I'm a realist. There's no holy grail of trading.”
Aikinsa na kuɗin dijital ya rabu da shirin hannun jari/tattalin arziki: yana buga nazarin Bitcoin a Bitcoin Live kaɗai, dandali na ɓangare na uku, ƙarƙashin tutar 4 Year Journey — fayil ɗin jarin misali na jama'a da ake tafiyar da shi bisa zagayen shekaru huɗu. Har ila yau yana kai sabuntawar bidiyo kyauta zuwa tashar YouTube mai kusan mabiya 150,000, a saurin watakila shida a shekara, kowanne yana da taken da kwanan wata (“It's Not Different This Time”, “Not Done Yet”, “ThE fOur YeAr cyCle iS dEAd”). Bisa maganarsa, bidiyon YouTube na farko a tarihi game da zagayen shekaru 4 na Bitcoin nasa ne, a Disamba 2018. Wannan haɗin — ba kasafai ba, mai kwanan wata, kuma a haɗe da fayil ɗin jari da aka buga — shi ne ya sa tarihinsa ya zama mai iya bincike.
Akwai kuskure ɗaya da ya kamata ya kasance a tarihin kafin ka karanta jadawalin, domin yana can waje da tagar da aka zana a nan don haka ba za a iya ba shi maki ba. A Yuni 2025, sa'ad da Bitcoin ya kai kusan $110,000, Loukas ya gabatar da ra'ayin “double cycle blowoff” — kololuwa biyu maƙwabta na shekaru huɗu suna haɗuwa su zama ɗaya — kuma ya ce “if we've still got sort of a six to seven month expansion to a peak… that would lead us into maybe even a February or March peak”, tare da ninkawa zuwa $150,000–$170,000. Maimakon haka Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa kusan $126,000 a Oktoba 2025 kuma ya riga ya fara sauka kafin Fabrairu 2026. Ya bayyana a fili cewa waɗannan yanayi ne na yiwuwa ba tabbatattun hasashe ba — amma yanayin tsawaita da ya gabatar bai faru ba, kuma shi kansa ne daga baya ya faɗi haka a gaban kamara.
Sources: x.com/BobLoukas · his 4 Year Journey videos as reported by NewsBTC, Cointelegraph and U.Today · thefinancialtap.com · bitcoin.live/4yearcycle
Zagaye sama da hayaniya, a kan agogo mai tsawo. Loukas yana zana Bitcoin a matsayin zagayen shekaru huɗu da ake auna shi da makwannin zagayen, tare da gajerun zagayen yau da kullun da na mako a ciki, da kuma tsammani mai ƙarfi cewa zagaye na ƙarewa kamar yadda suka saba: sake gwaji, ƙananan ƙasa fiye da baya, sannan ƙasa a cikin tazarar lokaci. Yana aiki da matsakaita masu motsi na makonni 10 da watanni 10, da matakan tsakiyar zagayen (adadin $53,000 a wannan shafin shi ne tsakiyar dukkan zagayen shekaru huɗu), da kuma iyakar ra'ayin kasuwa. Ɗan kasuwa ne na matsayi — sayen fayil ɗin jarin misali a Yuni 2026 shi ne na farko cikin shekaru uku da rabi — don haka fifikonsa yana cikin rabon jari da haƙuri, ba wurin shiga ba. Ana ganin raunin a hasashen da ke ƙasa: tsarin da ke cewa “kullum akwai ƙasa da ta gabata” yana sa ka zama mai wuri a ƙasa, kuma mai jinkirin yarda cewa ƙasa ta riga ta kafu.
A tsari yana da kyakkyawan fata game da Bitcoin cikin zagayen — a ƙananan matakan 2026 yana saye ba sayarwa ba — amma a fili yana da mummunan fata game da kasuwar altcoin gaba ɗaya, kuma yana tsammanin gano farashi na gaskiya sai a 2028.
Hasashe bakwai masu kwanan wata daga 26 Fabrairu zuwa 25 Yuni 2026, kowanne an zana shi kan farashin gaskiya. Biyar saƙonninsa ne na X, an ɗauke su kalma-da-kalma daga tashar rarrabawa ta X; biyu sun fito daga rahotannin jarida game da sabuntawar bidiyonsa masu kwanan wata kuma an tabbatar da su ta hanyar daidaita rubutu da rayayyun labaran. Manazarcin zagaye ne, don haka hasashensa na tsari ne (“wani babban sauka”, “ƙarshen motsi na adawa da yanayi”, “$53,000 shi ne tsakiya”) maimakon wuraren shiga masu tsauri — mun yanke hukunci bisa abin da farashi ya yi bayan haka. Labarin a bayyane yake kuma bisa tsari ba ya yaba masa, don haka kurakurai uku ne suka fara: daga Fabrairu zuwa Afrilu ya kasance mai mummunan fata kuma da wuri, sannan ya kira kololuwar Mayu kusan daidai ranar kuma ya sayi ƙananan matakan Yuni. Tagar mafi ƙanƙantar zagayensa ta Oktoba–Nuwamba ba ta zo ba tukuna kuma an rubuta ta buɗaɗɗe.
“If Bitcoin sees no counter-trend relief rally, and instead continues the downtrend to sub $50k (into March/April), the possibility this type of action induces an early 4 Year Cycle low is real.”
An buga a $67,850, yana gabatar da yiwuwar zamewa ƙasa da $50,000 a Maris ko Afrilu. An gabatar da shi a matsayin yiwuwa ba manufa ba — amma hanyar ba ta buɗe ba. Maris da Afrilu ba su taɓa ciniki ƙasa da $65,824 ba, kuma har mafi ƙanƙantar zagayen bayan watanni huɗu ya kai $58,566 (−13.7%) kawai. Farashi ya tafi wata hanyar: +20.9% zuwa $82,018, kuma Bitcoin yana +16.6% daga wannan saƙon.
𝕏 Post“…continues the downtrend to sub $50k” — @BobLoukas, 26 Feb 2026↗ x.com“As deeply oversold as Bitcoin is, this weekly chart remains horrendous and from a purely visual perspective, feels like it's hanging on by a thread and readying for another big leg lower.”
Saƙon da lokacinsa ya fi muni a wannan shafin. U.Today ya ba da rahoton cewa manufar jadawalin kusan $49,000 ce. Ya buga shi a $65,824 — wanda ya zamana farashi mafi ƙanƙanta na Maris da Afrilu. Bitcoin ya hau +13.5% zuwa $74,679 cikin makonni biyu. Sauka ya zo a ƙarshe, amma sai a Yuli kuma har zuwa $58,566 (−11.0%) kawai; ba a taɓa kusanci $49,000 ba, kuma BTC yanzu yana +20.2%.
𝕏 Post“this weekly chart remains horrendous” — @BobLoukas, 2 Mar 2026↗ x.com“Bitcoin dominance bottomed out for the Cycle above 50%, without Bitcoin doing anything extraordinary, highlights the broader promise of Crypto has mostly failed.”
Hasashe cewa rabon Bitcoin a kasuwa ya kai ƙasa — wato altcoins za su ci gaba da rasa filaye. Wannan cibiyar ba za ta iya zana ma'aunin rinjaye ba, don haka muna ba shi maki bisa Solana a matsayin wakilin alt da ake iya ciniki, kuma bisa wannan ma'aunin ya tafi gaba da shi: SOL yana +20.6% tun lokacin ($86 → $104, bayan sauka na −27.7% zuwa $62 da kololuwa $109), yayin da Bitcoin a wannan lokacin ya yi +3.7% kawai. Alts sun zarce da kusan maki goma sha bakwai.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin dominance bottomed out for the Cycle above 50%” — @BobLoukas, 22 Apr 2026↗ x.com“At the $53,000 level, we're tagging the midpoint of the entire four-year cycle.”
Daga bidiyonsa na 4 Yuni, an buga a $64,047: tsakiyar zagayen a $53,000 shi ne inda sauran kuɗin fayil ɗin misali zai shiga don kai rabon 100%. Da'awarsa ta tsari a wannan hasashen — “there's generally always a lower low” — ta cika: Bitcoin ya sauka −8.6% zuwa $58,566 a 1 Yuli. Amma $53,000 bai taɓa fitowa ba, sannan farashi ya hau +26.9% zuwa $81,265, kuma BTC yana +23.6% sama. Tsarinsa na asali ya sanya mafi ƙanƙantar zagayen a Oktoba ko Nuwamba 2026, don haka wannan buɗaɗɗe ne bisa gina shi.
SourceVeteran Analyst Eyes $53,000 Bitcoin As Final Cycle Stage Begins — NewsBTC↗ newsbtc.com“Bitcoin - Getting close now to the end of a natural counter trend move in a bear market. $85-$88k area.”
Hasashensa mafi kyau, kuma wanda ya biya kurakurai uku na sama. A $79,826 ya ce hawan tashi ne na adawa da yanayi wanda kusan ya ƙare. Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa bayan kwanaki shida a $82,018 (+2.7%) — farashi mafi girma a duk wannan tagar jadawalin — sannan ya faɗi −26.6% zuwa $58,566. Yankin $85–$88k da ya ambata ya kai kusan 3.6% da yawa, don haka matakin ya kuskure; juyin bai kuskure ba. Bayan watanni huɗu BTC yana −0.9% daga saƙon.
𝕏 Post“the end of a natural counter trend move in a bear market” — @BobLoukas, 5 May 2026↗ x.com“The Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Journey ‘Model Portfolio’ has made its first buy in 3.5yrs. Picking up 10BTC at $65,000.”
Ba ra'ayi ba ne — ciniki ne da aka buga, kuma saye na farko na fayil ɗin misali tun ƙarshen 2022, wanda ya kai shi kusan rabon 60% na Bitcoin. Ya yi da wuri, kamar yadda tsarinsa ke saba yi masa: farashi ya sake sauka −12.2% zuwa $58,566 kafin ya juya. Amma ya juya. Bitcoin ya hau +21.8% zuwa $81,265 kuma yana +18.6% sama da ranar da ya saya. Idan aka yanke masa hukunci a matsayin abin da yake — rabon zagaye ba wurin shiga ba — ya yi aiki.
𝕏 Post“Picking up 10BTC at $65,000” — @BobLoukas, 3 Jun 2026↗ x.com“All the Bitcoin and Crypto FUD flooding the timeline is perfectly normal at this stage of a bear market. Bitcoin isn't dead. Crypto isn't dead either.”
An buga a tsakiyar mika wuya mai tsanani a $60,990, kwanaki shida kafin mafi ƙanƙantar zagayen. Saukar bayan haka −4.0% ce kawai — mafi ƙanƙanta a duk hasashen nan — kafin Bitcoin ya hau +33.2% zuwa $81,265. A yau yana +29.8%. Gargaɗi guda mai gaskiya: U.Today ya ba da rahoto tare da wannan cewa yana tsammanin watanni 3–5 na tafiya a gefe kafin sabon zagaye ya fara a kaka; wannan ɓangaren bai tabbata ba, domin farashi bai tafi a gefe ba, ya tafi sama.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin isn't dead. Crypto isn't dead either.” — @BobLoukas, 25 Jun 2026↗ x.comSakamakon shi ne yadda muka karanta matsayin da ya bayyana kan farashin gaskiya, ba maki nasa ba. Ambaton kalmomi ne kai tsaye — saƙonnin X ta tashar rarrabawa, ambaton labarai an daidaita su da rayayyen shafi, dukkansu an haɗa su a kowace katin. Hasashen 22 Afrilu game da rinjayen Bitcoin ne, wanda wannan cibiyar ba za ta iya zana shi kai tsaye ba; mun ba shi maki bisa Solana a matsayin wakilin altcoin da ake iya ciniki kuma mun faɗi haka a katin. Kuskurensa na “double cycle blowoff” na Yuni 2025 ya gabaci wannan tagar kuma an bayyana shi a tarihin rayuwa maimakon a ba shi maki a nan.
Kayayyaki biyu masu biyan kuɗi, dukkansu na biyan kuɗi ne na wata-wata, kuma babu ɗayansu ƙungiyar sigina ba. Abin lura shi ne rabuwar: shirin hannun jari/tattalin arziki yana shafinsa ne, yayin da dukkan aikin Bitcoin — har da fayil ɗin jarin misali da aka ambata a wannan shafin — yana rayuwa a wani dandali na ɓangare na uku da ba nasa ba.
Shafinsa: sabuntawar bidiyo ta mako (52 a shekara), fayil ɗin jarin misali da rahotanni a rubuce a bayan biyan kuɗi. Yana bayyana shi a fili a matsayin ilimin zuba jari, ba sabis na ciniki ba.
Ya bayyana cewa yana buga nazarin Bitcoin da kuɗin dijital kaɗai a Bitcoin Live, inda fayil ɗin jarin misali na 4 Year Journey yake. Ana raba kuɗin biyan kuɗi a can da dandalin da ba ya sarrafa shi — abu ne mai kyau a sani lokacin da hasashe kuma taga siyarwa ne.
Sabuntawar bidiyo masu kwanan wata kyauta ne kuma ba kasafai ba — kusan shida a shekara. Su ne fuskar jama'a ta kayayyaki biyu masu biyan kuɗi, don haka ka karanta su a matsayin hujja, ba dukkan littafin ba. Babu wani token, kwas ko sanarwar musaya da ya bayyana a tarihin jama'a da muka duba.
“Bitcoin isn't dead. Crypto isn't dead either.”
25 Jun 2026 · kwanaki shida kafin mafi ƙanƙantar zagayen“As deeply oversold as Bitcoin is, this weekly chart remains horrendous…”
02 Mar 2026 · an buga daidai a mafi ƙanƙantar Maris–Afrilu“At the $53,000 level, we're tagging the midpoint of the entire four-year cycle.”
04 Jun 2026 · matakin da fayil ɗin jarin misalinsa ke jira har yanzuQuotes transcribed from his own public videos; stated views, not recommendations.
Loukas yana kai saƙo YouTube da ƙyar — kusan sau shida a shekara — kuma yana sanya kwanan wata a kowane bidiyo, wanda shi ne ya sa suke amfani a matsayin tarihi. Waɗannan su ne sabuntawarsa cikin tagar; bidiyon 4 Yuni shi ne inda hasashen $53,000 na wannan shafin ya fito. Lura: babu wani rubutun bidiyo da aka tabbatar a wannan uwar garken, don haka ba a ba wa komai daga bidiyo maki a matsayin hasashe ba — sai ambaton jarida game da su da saƙonninsa.
Signs of a New MarketSabuntawarsa mafi sabo — an buga bayan dukkan hasashen da aka zana a sama.05 Sep 2026
ThE fOur YeAr cyCle iS dEAdBidiyon mai take na ba'a da ke bayan hasashen tsakiyar zagayen na $53,000.04 Jun 2026
Not Done YetSabuntawa a tsakiyar sauka, daga lokacin da yake da mummunan fata kuma da wuri.16 Apr 2026
It's Not Different This TimeSake bayyana tsarin zagayen yayin da saukar 2026 ke ƙara ƙarfi.05 Feb 2026Ɗan kasuwa ne na matsayi mai shekaru 30+ a kasuwanni, wanda ya kafa shafin biyan kuɗi na The Financial Tap, kuma manazarcin da aka fi haɗawa da zagayen shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin — ya ce bidiyon YouTube na farko kan wannan batu nasa ne, a Disamba 2018. Yana zaune a Birnin New York kuma yana buga nazarin Bitcoin ɗinsa a Bitcoin Live ƙarƙashin tutar “4 Year Journey”.
Tsari ne na lokaci, wanda ya gada daga manazarcin zagaye Walter Bressert, wanda ke zana Bitcoin a matsayin zagaye na kusan shekaru huɗu da ake auna shi da makonni, tare da gajerun zagayen yau da kullun da na mako a ciki. Yana ɗauke da tsammani mai ƙarfi cewa zagaye na ƙarewa da sake gwaji da aƙalla ƙasa ɗaya da ta gabata cikin tazarar lokaci — wanda a 2026 ya sanya shi kusan Oktoba ko Nuwamba.
Ba a tabbatar da ita a fili ba. Kuɗin shigar da ya bayyana shi ne na biyan kuɗi daga The Financial Tap da Bitcoin Live, tare da matsayinsa na kansa. Ka yi watsi da duk wani adadi na musamman — babu wanda aka tabbatar.
Mai sharhi ne, ba mai ba da shawara mai lasisi ba, kuma tarihin 2026 a nan ya rabu da gaske: kurakurai uku a rabin farkon shekara — har da saƙon mummunan fata da aka buga daidai a mafi ƙanƙantar Maris da Afrilu — a kan hasashen kololuwa kwana shida da wuri, saye da aka buga kan $65,000 wanda yanzu yake +18.6%, da karatun akasi na ƙasa wanda yanzu yake +29.8%. Hasashensa na Yuni 2025 na kololuwar zagaye a Fabrairu–Maris 2026 shi ma ya kuskure. Ka ɗauke shi a matsayin ra'ayi mai rubuce kuma mai kwanan wata — kada ka taɓa cinikinsa a rufe ido.
Wurare uku: sabuntawar bidiyo kyauta masu kwanan wata a YouTube (~150K mabiya, kusan shida a shekara), shafinsa na biyan kuɗi The Financial Tap don hannun jari da tattalin arziki, da Bitcoin Live — inda, a cewarsa, nazarin Bitcoin da kuɗin dijital nasa ke fitowa kaɗai, har da fayil ɗin jarin misali na 4 Year Journey.
Loukas yana cinikin agogo, ba kanun labarai ba: inda kake a zagayen shi ke tantance rabon jari, kuma fayil ɗin jarin misali na iya tsayawa shekaru uku da rabi. Yaya kusancin hankalinka — ka auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka sanya amsarka aiki. Gwada gwanintarka kan bayanan kasuwa na kai tsaye — babin haɗarin jari — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari ne na bayanai da ilimi wanda ya dogara sosai kan kayan da jama'a ke iya samu — saƙonninsa masu kwanan wata na X, waɗanda aka ɗauka kalma-da-kalma, da rahotannin jarida masu kwanan wata game da sabuntawar bidiyonsa na jama'a, an haɗa su a kowane hasashe. Ba a shiga wani abun ciki mai biyan kuɗi na The Financial Tap ko Bitcoin Live ba. Ba shawara ce ta kuɗi ko zuba jari ba. Adadi kusan-kusan ne kuma yana canzawa kullum. Spotted an error, or are you Bob? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 07 September 2026