@intocryptoverse · “Into The Cryptoverse”
Mai adawa da bayanai a crypto — PhD wanda ke nazari a cikin zagaye na shekaru 4, sandunan log-regression da ma'aunin haɗari, ba hayaniya ba. Ba ya nuna motsin zuciya kuma sau da yawa yana taka tsantsan: shi ne mai nazari da ke tunatar da kai cewa har yanzu kasuwar bear ce yayin da kowa ke cikin farin ciki.
A taƙaice. Benjamin Cowen ƙwararren mai nazarin bayanai ne na Amurka (PhD) kuma wanda ya kafa Into The Cryptoverse — tashar YouTube mai cike da jadawali kullum da dandamalin bincike mai biya. Yana duba crypto da zagaye na shekaru huɗu, sandunan log-regression, ma'aunin haɗari daidaitacce, matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200 da “sandunan juriya na kasuwar bear,” yana duba macro (Fed, dalar Amurka, kasuwar aiki). Fa'idarsa ita ce ladabi da gaskiya — yana guje wa farin ciki kuma yana faɗi abubuwa kamar yadda bayanai suka nuna — wanda kwanan nan ya sa ya kasance mai taka tsantsan, kuma mai ra'ayin bear, cikin tashi.
Cowen ya fito ne daga fannin kimiyya mai ƙarfi da bayanai (yana da digiri na digirgir) kuma ya kawo wannan ƙwarewar lissafi zuwa crypto, yana gina Into The Cryptoverse — da farko tashar YouTube, yanzu dandamalin bincike mai biyan kuɗi tare da samfura, alamomi da al'umma, da kuma taron shekara-shekara na ITC. Yana wallafa kusan kullum kuma an san shi da salon nutsuwa, mai fifita jadawali maimakon wasan kwaikwayo na farashin.
Alamar sa ita ce gaskiya har zuwa iyaka: yana ƙoƙarin kula da kadarar iri ɗaya a kasuwar bull ko bear, yana dogara da zagaye na shekaru huɗu da ma'aunin haɗari don guje wa sayen a saman da sayar da firgici a ƙasa. Wannan ya ba shi suna a matsayin mai ladabi na crypto — ana girmama tsarin, kuma lokaci-lokaci yana fuskantar matsala idan kasuwa ta yi akasin tsammanin sa na taka tsantsan.
Sources: intothecryptoverse.com · youtube.com/@benjaminjcowen · public interviews
Cowen shi ne ƙwararren mai lissafi, ba mai zane-zane bisa jin daɗi ba. Ginshikin shine zagaye na shekaru huɗu tare da sandunan log-regression da ma'aunin haɗari daidaitacce (0–1) don auna yadda kadarar take da araha ko tsada. A aikace yana kallon matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200 (“sandunan tallafi na kasuwar bull”) da “sandunan juriya na kasuwar bear,” kuma yana haɗa macro — Fed, rage kuɗi, dalar Amurka, kasuwar aiki. Yana ƙara haɗari idan ma'aunin ya yi ƙasa kuma yana rage haɗari yayin da yake tashi; matsayin sa na asali shi ne haƙuri kuma, sau da yawa fiye da jama'a, mai taka tsantsan.
Mai taka tsantsan / rage haɗari ta tsohuwa — mai shakku mai ladabi wanda zai fi son rasa farkon tashi maimakon sayen a saman. Farashin wannan salon yana bayyana lokacin da ya kasance mai ra'ayin bear yayin tashi, kamar yadda kiran sa na baya-bayan nan suka nuna.
Matsayi na ainihi, na kwanaki daga bidiyoyin sa na yau da kullum, an zana su a jadawalin Bitcoin. Gargadi game da son zuciya: Cowen shi ne mai ladabi mai nazarin bayanai — gaskiyarsa tana hana shi shiga farin ciki, amma ta wannan hanya ta sa ya kasance mai taka tsantsan yayin da Bitcoin ke tashi. Babban kiran zagayen sa (gyaran Q4 mai fadi) har yanzu a buɗe ne. Samfurin kiran baya-bayan nan ne, ba tarihin zagaye da yawa ba — kuma zagayen baya sun fi nuna alheri ga tsarin sa.
“Bitcoin is compressed between the 200-week moving average and the bear-market resistance band — my base case is it eventually breaks down, in line with prior cycles.”
Ya karye a hanya daban. Daga $63.5k BTC ya tashi +20% zuwa ~$76k, kai tsaye ta cikin sandar da ya yi tsammanin zai tsaya — asalin ra'ayin mai ladabi na bear ya sha kashi.
Bitcoin: A Decision Will be Forced▶ Kalli kiran · youtu.be/WRftdLFrepU“Where in the cycle are we? Stay objective — treat it like it could still be a bear market and don't chase.”
Gaskiya, amma ba saurin motsi: BTC ya tashi +18% daga nan. Ladabin da ke guje wa saman ya kuma jawo asarar wannan tashi.
Bitcoin: Where in the Cycle Are We?▶ Kalli kiran · youtu.be/CmGkfyot8qY“The Winds of Winter — my guess is Bitcoin breaks down like prior cycles, with a broader correction into mid-to-late September.”
BTC ya tashi +21% da farko. Gyaran Satumba da ya nuna shi ne tambaya ta gaske — za a sake duba, ba a warware ba tukuna.
Bitcoin: The Winds of Winter▶ Kalli kiran · youtu.be/OXUeLGbMKyU“Bitcoin has rallied back up to the bear-market resistance band (~$69k)” — implying it gets rejected there.
Sandar ba ta tsaya ba: BTC ya ci gaba da tashi +10% zuwa ~$76k. Wani karatun taka tsantsan da aka wuce ta tashi.
Bitcoin Rallies to the Bear Market Resistance Band▶ Kalli kiran · youtu.be/9avrSmPczP4“If Bitcoin starts accepting on multiple weekly closes in the mid-80s, it really calls into question the validity of the continuation of the bear market.”
He named his own invalidation level out loud. From $79,018 BTC has gone nowhere: a high of $81,265 (+2.8%), a dip to $77,297 (−2.2%), and $79,017 today (−0.0%). It never reached the mid-$80s, so the 2018-style rejection case he described is still standing — unresolved rather than vindicated.
SourceBitcoin Loses $80,000: Why Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole Speech Is Key↗ finance.yahoo.com“The reason why Bitcoin has been stuck in traffic on Struggle Street for the last five years is because net liquidity remains low.”
A structural call, not a price target: Bitcoin keeps lagging until central banks expand their balance sheets again. From $77,416 it has ticked up to $79,017 (+2.1%), with a high of $81,265 (+5.0%) along the way — far too small a move, far too soon, to judge a thesis pinned to global net liquidity. Open.
SourceRemember How Bitcoin Was Supposed to Rise With Money Supply? Here’s Why That Didn’t Happen↗ finance.yahoo.comSakamako su ne karatun mu na hanyar da ya bayyana da farashin BTC, ba maki na kansa ba. Tsarin sa yana da girman zagaye; alamomin “ya saba wa” na kusa na iya kasancewa cikin jigon da zai warware daga baya.
Samfurin Cowen shi ne ladabi da bayanai, kuma alamar sa ita ce mai shakku mai gaskiya — ya kamata a tuna cewa abun ciki na “ci gaba da taka tsantsan” yana sayar da biyan kuɗi kamar yadda abun ciki na “lambar na tashi” ke yi a wasu wurare.
Into The Cryptoverse biyan kuɗi ne — samfura, ma'aunin haɗari, alamomi da wurin membobi. Bidiyoyin kyauta na kullum su ne hanyar shiga.
Abun ilimi da taron shekara-shekara na ITC (tikiti masu biya) suna samun kuɗi daga masu sauraro.
Fa'idarsa ita ce kasancewa mai ladabi mara motsin zuciya; wannan tsarin ma samfur ne. Gaskiya ≠ koyaushe daidai — auna kiran, kada ka dogara da ra'ayi kawai.
“We treat this the same in a bull market or a bear market, because we are objective.”
06 Aug 2026 · ladabin sa na asali“Bitcoin is compressed between the 200-week moving average and the bear-market resistance band.”
03 Aug 2026 · tsarin a layi ɗaya“My guess is it eventually breaks down, in line with how prior cycles played out.”
16 Aug 2026 · asalin ra'ayin taka tsantsanKarin magana daga bidiyoyin sa na jama'a; ra'ayoyi ne aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Cowen yana wallafa kusan kullum bayanan bayanai a Into The Cryptoverse. Ayyuka na kwanan nan masu wakilci:
Bitcoin: Where in the Cycle Are We?Tsarin matsayi na zagaye, an bayyana.06 Aug 2026Bitcoin: The Winds of WinterAsalin ra'ayin taka tsantsan don gyaran Q4.16 Aug 2026Bitcoin: A Decision Will be ForcedMatsakaicin motsi na makonni 200 da sandar juriya.03 Aug 2026
Bitcoin: The Beauty of Mathematics (Part 72)Tsarin lissafi mai tsawo na sa.02 Aug 2026Benjamin Cowen — ƙwararren mai nazarin bayanai na Amurka kuma wanda ya kafa Into The Cryptoverse. Yana wallafa da sunan sa; ba mai amfani da sunan bogi ba.
Ba a bayyana a fili ba. Yana gudanar da kasuwancin bincike na biyan kuɗi (Into The Cryptoverse) da kuma riƙe crypto; kowanne adadi da ka gani kimantawa ne na ɓangare na uku, ba a tabbatar ba.
Babu wani matakin doka da aka sani a kansa. Yana sayar da bincike na gaskiya da ilimi; kamar kowanne mai nazari, tsarin taka tsantsan sa alama ce kamar yadda hasashe ne — auna shi, kada ka bi shi ba tare da tunani ba.
Na lissafi da tsarin zagaye: zagaye na shekaru huɗu, sandunan log-regression, ma'aunin haɗari daidaitacce, matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200 da haɗa macro. Yana rage haɗari yayin da ƙima ke tashi kuma yana kasancewa ba tare da motsin zuciya ba.
Benjamin yana ciniki da zagaye bisa lambobi: haƙuri, mai amfani da ma'aunin haɗari, yana rage haɗari yayin ƙarfi, ba tare da motsin zuciya ba a lokacin faduwa. Nawa ne hankalinka — auna shi da gaske tare da Fasfo ɗin Mai Ciniki.
Yanzu yi ciniki da karatun ka. Gwada wannan kiran a bayanan kasuwa na gaske — ba tare da haɗarin kuɗi ba — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta tare da kyaututtuka na gaske.
Bincike na ilimi da bayani bisa ga kayan da ake da su a fili (bidiyoyin sa, hira da bayanan jama'a). Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka jari ba ce. Lambobi kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Benjamin? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 7 September 2026
