@AxelAdlerJr
Wani mai nazarin on-chain da ke wallafa taƙaitaccen bayanin Bitcoin kyauta safiya biyar a kowane mako. Ya koma risk-off a ranar 18 ga Mayu a $77,429, kafin faɗuwa zuwa $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. A watan Yuni da farkon Yuli ya ce kasuwa na cikin yankin tara kaya, kuma Bitcoin ya haura zuwa $86,597. Hasashensa na wata guda kaɗai da ya fito fili, na watan Agusta, ya kasa: Bitcoin ya fita daga kewayon farashinsa kuma ya rufe watan a $77,658.
A taƙaice. Axel Adler Jr mai nazarin on-chain ne kuma marubuci da CryptoQuant ta tabbatar, wanda ke wallafawa a X da sunan @AxelAdlerJr. A samfurinmu na hasashe shida a cikin lokacin, sakamakon shi ne 4 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe ko gauraye, 1 ya saɓa. Karatunsa na yanayin kasuwa daga Mayu zuwa Yuli daidai ne. Kewayon farashinsa na Agusta ba daidai ba ne.
Axel Adler Jr shi ne sunan da yake wallafawa da shi. Tarihin rayuwarsa a X ya bayyana “Daily on-chain brief: cycle phase, key levels, one clear read” kuma ya kira shi “CryptoQuant Verified”. Cointelegraph ta bayyana shi a matsayin mai ba da gudummawa ga dandalin nazarin on-chain CryptoQuant. Bai bayyana inda yake ba.
Shafin Game da Mu na shafinsa ya ce shi “a C-level executive at a leading European investment bank, where he leads advanced analytics for equity markets”, kuma bincikensa “has been cited in more than 11,000 financial media publications”. Ba a ambaci sunan bankin ba. Ba mu iya tabbatar da ko ɗaya daga cikin iƙirarin ba.
Yawancin taƙaitattun bayanansa suna bayyana ma'aunin on-chain ko na derivatives ɗaya ko biyu kuma suna ƙarewa da “main trigger” da “main risk”, ba tare da ra'ayi kan alkibla ba. Mun zana ne kawai bayanan da suka faɗi yanayin kasuwa ko kewayon farashi, duka daga shafinsa kuma duka kyauta ne a karanta. Ba mu karanta wasiƙar labaransa ta mako-mako ta biya ba.
Sources: axeladlerjr.com (author: Axel Adler Jr.) · x.com/AxelAdlerJr
Yanayin kasuwa, ba maƙasudin farashi ba. Axel yana karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar farashin siye (matsakaicin farashin da masu riƙewa suka biya), kwararar kuɗi a kasuwannin musaya da ETF, da matsayin futures. Sannan ya sanya wa kasuwa suna risk-on, risk-off ko tsaka-tsaki. Ba kasafai yake ambaton maƙasudin farashi ba. Idan ya zaɓi ɓangare, yana faɗin abin da zai nuna cewa ya yi kuskure. Hasashensa na yanayin kasuwa a 2026 sun fi tsayawa fiye da kewayon farashinsa na wata guda kaɗai.
Tsaka-tsaki zuwa taka-tsantsan a Maris da Afrilu, tare da ɗan gajeren karatun risk-on a ranar 28 ga Afrilu. Risk-off daga tsakiyar Mayu. Mai kyakkyawan fata da taka-tsantsan daga tsakiyar Yuni, lokacin da ya kira yankin $60K yankin tara kaya. Ya yi tsammanin Agusta zai kasance cikin kewayo, sannan ya kira hawan ƙarshen Agusta da yanayin bull mai ƙarfi. Tsaka-tsaki a ƙarshen Satumba da farkon Oktoba, ba tare da bayyanannen alamar alkibla ba.
Hasashe shida masu kwanan wata daga Axel Adler Jr, duka daga taƙaitattun bayanansa na yau da kullum kyauta a shafinsa, kowanne an duba shi kalma da kalma da shafinsa kuma an zana shi a kan ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 4 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe ko gauraye, 1 ya saɓa.
“Bitcoin is likely to spend most of August between $58,000 and $67,000”
Hasashensa na farashi na wata guda kaɗai a cikin lokacin, an rubuta shi a $64,062. Ya sanya rufewar ƙarshen wata mafi yiwuwa tsakanin $60,000 da $64,000, kuma ya ba fita sama da $67,000 damar kusan 15%. Bitcoin ya zauna cikin kewayon har zuwa 19 ga Agusta, da mafi ƙasƙanci $62,844 (−1.9%). Sannan ya fita zuwa $69,291 a ranar 20 ga Agusta kuma ya rufe watan a $77,658 (+21.2%). Yanzu yana $85,466 (+33.4%). Ya saɓa.
Source“Bitcoin is likely to spend most of August between $58,000 and $67,000” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.com“Taken together, the regime remains cautiously constructive: the window for accumulation is opening, but confirmation of a final bottom is still not in place.”
An rubuta shi a $61,490, kwana biyu bayan ƙasan ranar 1 ga Yuli, lokacin da wani ma'aunin wadatar on-chain ya ba da alamar saye ta farko tun Nuwamba 2022. Mafi ƙasƙancin rufewar Bitcoin tun daga lokacin shi ne $62,247 (+1.2%) a ranar 9 ga Yuli. Ya haura zuwa $86,597 (+40.8%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $85,466 (+39.0%). Ya tabbata.
Source“the window for accumulation is opening, but confirmation of a final bottom is still not in place” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.com“The base takeaway: the market is already in the lower part of its valuation range, so the balance is shifting toward cautious risk-on.”
An rubuta shi a $66,293. Ya kira yankin kusa da $60,000 yankin matsin lamba ga masu riƙewa kuma ya ambaci $48,000 a matsayin tushen tsarin zagayen. Bitcoin ya fara faɗuwa zuwa $58,566 (−11.7%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli, yana rufewa ƙasa da $60,000 a kwanaki biyar. Bai taɓa kusantar $48,000 ba. Sannan ya haura zuwa $86,597 (+30.6%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $85,466 (+28.9%). Ya tabbata, bayan faɗuwar 11.7%.
Source“the balance is shifting toward cautious risk-on” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.com“Both indexes show the same picture: the market is back in a bearish structure after the bulls' failed attempt to hold above neutrality on May 6-8.”
An rubuta shi a $77,429, mako guda bayan kololuwar Bitcoin ta lokacin bazara. Ya kira yanayin kasuwa risk-off. Mafi girman rufewar Bitcoin bayan hasashen shi ne $77,550 (+0.2%) a ranar 22 ga Mayu. Sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−24.4%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+10.4%), amma faɗuwar ce ta zo da farko. Ya tabbata.
Source“the market is back in a bearish structure” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.com“Current conclusion: the market is taking on risk again, but confirmation is not yet complete.”
An rubuta shi a $77,367, yana karanta kwararar kuɗi a kasuwannin musaya a matsayin sauyi zuwa risk-on da taka-tsantsan. Bitcoin ya haura zuwa $82,018 (+6.0%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu. Makonni uku bayan wannan hasashen, shi da kansa ya koma risk-off. Bitcoin ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−24.3%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+10.5%). Daidai na makonni biyu, sannan kuskure na watanni biyu. Gauraye.
Source“the market is taking on risk again, but confirmation is not yet complete” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.com“The bullish scenario requires a confident break and close above $80K - until then, any rally may stall on approach to tmatakin da aka ambata.”
An rubuta shi a $74,679. Ya sanya matsakaicin farashin siye na masu sayen ETF na spot na Amurka a $79,962 kuma ya yi tsammanin zai zama shinge. Bitcoin ya kai $80,000 a ranar 6 ga Mayu kuma ya tsaya a can. Ya kai kololuwa a $82,018 (+9.8%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu, ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−21.6%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli, kuma bai sake rufewa sama da $80,000 ba sai 28 ga Agusta. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+14.4%). Ya tabbata.
Source“until then, any rally may stall on approach to tmatakin da aka ambata” — Axel Adler Jr, axeladlerjr.com↗ axeladlerjr.comSakamakon karatunmu ne na iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba ƙimar da marubucin ya ba kansa ba. Kowace magana an ɗauko ta kalma da kalma daga shafin da aka haɗa a katinta. Kowane hasashe an zana shi a farashin CoinGecko na tsakar daren ranar; duka taƙaitattun bayanai shida an wallafa su tsakanin 06:00 da 09:00 UTC. Yawancin bayanansa suna ba da abin da zai jawo motsi da haɗari amma ba alkibla ba, kuma ba mu saka su ba. Layin “$1,000 in” a kowane kati yana ɗauka cewa an sayi Bitcoin a ranar. A katin bearish na 18 ga Mayu, yana nuna abin da mai saye zai yi asara, ba abin da ya ce a yi ba.
Taƙaitattun bayanan Axel na yau da kullum da rubuce-rubucensa a X kyauta ne. Ga yadda yake samun kuɗi daga bincikensa.
Wasiƙar labarai ta Substack ta biya mai rahoton yanke shawara na mako-mako “Weekly Engine” da sabunta samfura. Shafinsa ya lissafa ta a $30 a wata ko $300 a shekara, ana iya biya da crypto. Ba mu karanta ta ba, don haka hasashen da ke nan sun fito ne daga taƙaitattun bayanansa na kyauta kawai.
Shafinsa yana kuma ba da wurin aikin nazarin Bitcoin mai amfani da AI mai suna Terminal da tsarin yanke shawara na mako-mako. Bayanin martabarsa na X yana haɗawa da tsarin mako-mako. Ba mu ga farashin Terminal ba.
Shafinsa ya ce shi babban jami'i ne a wani bankin saka hannun jari na Turai. Bai ambaci sunan bankin ba, kuma ba mu iya tabbatar da hakan ba.
“the market is back in a bearish structure”
18 May 2026 · ya tabbata“the window for accumulation is opening”
3 Jul 2026 · ya tabbata“Bitcoin is likely to spend most of August between $58,000 and $67,000”
5 Aug 2026 · ya saɓaAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Axel yana wallafa Adler AM, taƙaitaccen bayanin Bitcoin kyauta, safiya biyar a kowane mako a axeladlerjr.com, tare da jagororin ma'aunan da yake amfani da su. Yana kuma wallafa zane-zanen farashi a X.
Mai nazarin Bitcoin on-chain kuma marubuci da CryptoQuant ta tabbatar. Yana wallafawa a X da sunan @AxelAdlerJr, yana da mabiya kusan 29,000, kuma yana wallafa taƙaitaccen bayani na kullum kyauta a axeladlerjr.com. Shafinsa ya ce yana kuma aiki a wani bankin saka hannun jari na Turai, wanda bai ambaci sunansa ba.
A samfurinmu na hasashe shida masu kwanan wata daga 17 ga Maris zuwa 5 ga Agusta 2026: huɗu sun tabbata, ɗaya gauraye ne, ɗaya ya saɓa. Hasashensa na risk-off a Mayu da hasashensa na tara kaya a Yuni da Yuli daidai ne. Kewayon farashinsa na Agusta ba daidai ba ne.
Taƙaitaccen bayaninsa na kullum kyauta ne. Yana sayar da wasiƙar labarai ta Substack ta biya, Adler Insights Premium, a $30 a wata ko $300 a shekara, kuma yana ba da kayan aikin nazari na AI mai suna Terminal.
Matsakaicin farashin da wani rukuni na masu riƙewa suka sayi Bitcoin ɗinsu, wanda ake lissafawa daga lokacin da tsabar kuɗin suka motsa na ƙarshe. Idan farashi ya faɗi ƙasa da farashin siye na wani rukuni, rukunin yana cikin asara a matsakaici. Axel yana amfani da waɗannan matakan a matsayin tallafi da shinge.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Axel yana karanta Bitcoin ta yanayin on-chain. Yaya hankalinka ya kusa da nasa? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilimantarwa wanda ya dogara kacokan kan kayan jama'a: taƙaitattun bayanai masu kwanan wata a axeladlerjr.com, bayanin martabarsa na X na jama'a da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ne. Alƙaluma kusan-kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Axel? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 6 October 2026
