@AltcoinSherpa
Ɗan kasuwa mai nazarin zane da ke ɓoye sunansa, wanda ke rubutu da sharaɗi: idan wannan matakin ya karye za mu je can, idan Bitcoin ya ci gaba da kwanciyar hankali altcoins za su biyo baya. Da ƙyar yake hasashe kuma kusan ba ya yin alkawari — wanda hakan ya sa saƙonninsa suka fi sauƙin awo, domin an rubuta abin da zai jawo hakan kusa da manufar.
A taƙaice. Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa, roughly 250,000 followers) is one of crypto X's long-running anonymous chartists — posting chart analysis publicly since at least April 2021, trading since 2016 by his own bio, and putting out several reads a day through every kind of tape. The method is ordinary technical analysis done consistently: 4-hour and higher-timeframe EMAs, volume-profile points of control, range highs and lows, and a standing rule that altcoins only work “as long as btc is stable”. The record below is the honest shape of that: he was wrong at the spring top — “Majors look pretty bottomed” in March, “still cautiously bullish” three weeks before Bitcoin's 11 May peak and ten weeks before its 1 July low — and right at the summer bottom, calling support the day after Bitcoin's $58,566 low and naming both the $73k Bitcoin break and the $2.4k Ethereum target that actually printed.
Kusan babu abin da za a tabbatar game da Altcoin Sherpa ta hanyar da aka saba. Asusun X yana buga nazarin zane da wannan suna tun aƙalla Afrilu 2021, hoton bayanin zane ne, kuma bai taɓa buga sunan doka, kamfani ko binciken tarihin aiki ba. Bayanin martabarsa mai layi ɗaya a Binance Square, inda wani bayanin martaba mai suna iri ɗaya ke sake buga saƙonninsa, cikakke shi ne: “Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016 / DYOR” — wannan shi ne duk tarihin rayuwar da ya sa hannu a kansa da gaske. Rubuce-rubucen “wane ne shi” na biyu suna ƙara labarin asali daga kasuwar sauka ta 2018; babu wani abu daga cikinsu da ya fito daga gare shi, don haka ba a ɗauke su a matsayin gaskiya a nan.
Abin da za a iya dubawa shi ne bugawar kanta. Yana buga karatun zane kan Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana da dogon jerin altcoins sau da dama a rana, da harshe mai sauƙi, kuma ba ya share waɗanda suka yi kuskure — saƙonnin Afrilu na katunan da ke ƙasa har yanzu suna kan lokacinsa, ba a gyara su ba, makonni uku kafin ƙolin Bitcoin na 11 Mayu kuma makonni goma kafin ƙasansa na 1 Yuli. Gidan yanar gizonsa da aka danganta, altcoinsherpa.com, ba ya buɗewa: takardar shaidar TLS ɗinsa ta ƙare, kuma tun 20 Satumba 2026 buƙatu daga layin umarni da kuma daga burauza duka biyu suna gazawa. Akwai tashar YouTube mai suna iri ɗaya amma jerinta na jama'a ba ya dawo da sabbin loda, kuma ba mu iya tabbatarwa daga tushe na asali cewa shi ke gudanar da ita ba — don haka ba a haɗa ta a nan.
Ɗaya daga cikin sakamakon zama asusun zane da ba a san mai shi ba mai mabiya dubu ɗari biyu da hamsin shi ne cewa wasu mutane suna rubuta maganganunka a madadinka. Coinfomania, wadda ke mayar da saƙonninsa zuwa gajerun labarai, ta buga ɗaya a 19 Yuli 2026 da aka gabatar a matsayin nazarinsa kan ayyukan Bitcoin na baya-bayan nan; saƙon da aka saka a ciki ba nasa ba ne ko kaɗan, na @thedefivillain ne. Ba a amfani da wannan labarin a wannan shafin, kuma kowane kira a ƙasa yana haɗawa da tweet ɗin kansa ba da rahoton da aka yi kansa ba.
Sources: x.com/AltcoinSherpa (posts captured verbatim via the X syndication endpoint) · Binance Square profile · Coinfomania recaps used only to locate post IDs
Nazarin fasaha na sharaɗi, aka faɗa a fili. Kusan koyaushe saƙonnin Sherpa na ɗauke da “idan”: idan wannan yankin ya karye da ƙarfi mai yiwuwa mu je 73k; idan 61k ya tafi sai mu koma 58k kai tsaye; idan btc yana da kwanciyar hankali ETH zai je 2.4k. Kayan aikin da ke bayansa kaɗan ne kuma na gama-gari — EMA 200 a kan awa 4, wuraren sarrafawa na volume profile, saman da ƙasan range, da nisan da ke tsakanin farashi da matsakaitansa a matsayin ma'aunin yadda motsi ya miƙe. A saman haka akwai ƙa'ida ɗaya ta tsari da yake maimaitawa koyaushe: altcoins caca ce mai ƙarin ƙarfi a kan cewa Bitcoin zai zama abin gundura, don haka yakan auna girmansu bisa kwanciyar hankalin Bitcoin ba bisa zanensu ba. Raunin madubi ne na ƙarfin — tsarin da aka gina a kan matakai ba shi da ra'ayi game da abin da ke faruwa tsakaninsu, kuma taka-tsantsan nasa (“pretty unsure”, “not really sure about this”) na nufin saƙonni da dama a gaskiya ba su ɗaure kome ba, ba kira ba ne ko kaɗan.
A matsayin tsoho yana ɗan karkata zuwa hawa kuma da sauri yake kare kansa. Yana karkata zuwa siye muddin tsarin ya riƙe, amma yana faɗin matakin ɓata a cikin jimla ɗaya, kuma yakan kwashe lokaci mai yawa a fili ba tare da yanke shawara ba — don haka karkatarsa tana karantuwa a matsayin hawa-amma-da-sharaɗi, ba kai tsaye ba.
Thirteen dated posts from his own X account, each captured live from X and charted against what price actually did next. An honest caveat on selection: Sherpa posts several times a day, so this is a sample — the posts that are indexed in public search or were embedded in news recaps — not his complete output. We took every gradable one we found rather than picking winners, which is why three of his spring calls are here and all three go against him. The shape that emerges is real and unflattering-then-flattering: he was bullish through April into what became the May top and right at the July bottom, naming two targets ($73k on Bitcoin, $2.4k on Ethereum) that both printed.
“$ETH: If you're long here you're just waiting for it to put in the +20% candle that we're all waiting for. I think ETH still looks pretty damn strong but it's been in this tight 5% range for weeks now; don't see that changing until btc legs up significantly. I have some calls on ETHA”
The rare post where he names his own position: call options on ETHA, BlackRock's spot-Ether ETF — a leveraged long. The read attached to it is patient rather than a target: ETH “looks pretty damn strong”, but the range holds until Bitcoin “legs up significantly”. ETH was $2,710 on the chart's 6 October point (the post went up at 15:06 UTC). Two days later Bitcoin had done the opposite of legging up, and ETH sits at $2,571 (−5.2%) — the lowest point since the post and below the range he described. Logged open: the +20% candle he is waiting for has not come, and nor has a break that clearly ends the idea.
𝕏 Post“I have some calls on ETHA” — @AltcoinSherpa, 06 Oct 2026↗ x.com“$BTC I think we're still at support personally, volume profile shows this area should be a good spot for a bounce. If we lose 82k or something then I think it starts to get really nasty but for now, I think you can still expect to see some buying coming in soon”
His usual format: a support read from the volume profile, a bounce expected, and the invalidation written into the same post. BTC was $84,842 on the chart's 2 October point (the post went up at 20:02 UTC). The bounce came first — $86,490 (+1.9%) on 5 October — and then gave way: BTC sits at $82,940 (−2.2%) today, the low since the post, still above the 82k line he said would make it “really nasty”. Open, and close to its trigger.
𝕏 Post“If we lose 82k or something then I think it starts to get really nasty” — @AltcoinSherpa, 02 Oct 2026↗ x.com“$SOL $95 and then $120 after? This still goes higher as long as btc stays strong”
Two targets in order, a question mark, and his standing condition on Bitcoin. The chart's 21 August point is $87.65, taken before the post went up at 14:48 UTC — SOL was already moving that day and the next point is $93.69, so part of the first leg came before anyone could act on it. Bitcoin did stay strong, and both numbers printed in the order he gave them: $95.41 (+8.8%) on 24 August, then $122.08 (+39.3%) on 26 September. Nothing has closed below the anchor since; SOL holds $115.94 (+32.3%).
𝕏 Post“$SOL $95 and then $120 after?” — @AltcoinSherpa, 21 Aug 2026↗ x.com“$ETH I think this is going to go to like 2.4k if btc is stable”
A number and a condition, posted the day after his Bitcoin call. ETH was $1,902. Bitcoin did stay stable — it went up — and ETH cleared the target: it dipped only 3.1% to $1,843 on 2 August, then ran to $2,775 (+45.9%) on 22 September and sits at $2,571 (+35.2%). The 2.4k he named was tagged and passed.
𝕏 Post“$ETH I think this is going to go to like 2.4k” — @AltcoinSherpa, 21 Jul 2026↗ x.com“$BTC strong break of this area and we probably go to 73k but this is a pretty hard area to crack. PoC over the entire range and expecting some volatility around here. Probably not the best place to fire into new positions unless you're confident the breakout is coming”
The clearest conditional in the sample: break the point of control and 73k follows. BTC was $64,670. The break came, and it did not stop at his number — the low after the post was $62,773 (−2.9%) on 2 August, the high $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September, now $82,940 (+28.2%). Worth reading the second half of his own post against the first: the target was right, and his advice not to “fire into new positions” unless you were confident is the half that cost money.
𝕏 Post“strong break of this area and we probably go to 73k” — @AltcoinSherpa, 20 Jul 2026↗ x.com“$BTC lose 61k and I guess we teleport to 58k again quickly? Don't like this slow grinding price action honestly.”
A downside scenario with the trigger attached — and the trigger never fired. BTC was $63,747; the lowest close since is $62,279 (−2.3%) on 14 July, so 61k was never lost and the 58k retest he floated never happened. Price went the other way instead: $86,597 (+35.8%) at the high on 22 September, $82,940 (+30.1%) now. The level he named held exactly as support, so we do not score this against him — but the mood of the post was wrong, and it is logged open rather than correct.
𝕏 Post“lose 61k and I guess we teleport to 58k again quickly?” — @AltcoinSherpa, 13 Jul 2026↗ x.com“$BTC kind of weird stairs up price action, not really sure about this on low time frames. Wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of wick down and then recovery honestly.”
Not a target — a shape, and the tape drew it. From $64,111 BTC wicked down 2.9% to $62,279 three days later, then recovered exactly as described, running to $86,597 (+35.1%) by 22 September and holding $82,940 (+29.4%) today. He hedged it (“not really sure about this on low time frames”) and was right anyway.
𝕏 Post“Wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of wick down and then recovery” — @AltcoinSherpa, 11 Jul 2026↗ x.com“$BTC honestly looking ok for now on lower time frames as long as we see price holding above this area. I'm probably not going to feel safe until we cleanly break above 65k though on HTF charts. Still pretty unsure but support is still support”
The best-timed post in the sample, and he was openly unsure while making it. BTC closed $59,968 — the day after its $58,566 cycle low on 1 July — and nothing has closed lower since: the low after the post is the post's own day. Price has run to $86,597 (+44.4%) and sits at $82,940 (+38.3%). His 65k “feel safe” threshold was cleared within three weeks.
𝕏 Post“support is still support” — @AltcoinSherpa, 02 Jul 2026↗ x.com“$BTC I still think this looks ok for now”
Eleven days after the previous card he restated the same bullish lean in eight words, with BTC at $75,785. “For now” bought him another two weeks — BTC peaked at $82,018 (+8.2%) on 11 May — and then the floor went: BTC fell 22.7% to $58,566 by 1 July. The September recovery has since carried it to $86,597 (+14.3%) and it sits at $82,940 (+9.4%), so a holder is back above his entry — but only after riding out the whole drawdown first, and a post saying the chart looks fine, made six weeks before a 23% slide, still goes against him.
𝕏 Post“$BTC I still think this looks ok for now” — @AltcoinSherpa, 30 Apr 2026↗ x.com“$BTC 4h EMAs still look pretty good and really want to see continuation on this breakout. Mondays open should be pretty interesting and I'm still cautiously bullish”
He asked for continuation on a breakout and got three weeks of it before the whole thing unwound. BTC was $75,716; it added 8.3% to $82,018 by 11 May — the spring peak — then reversed into a 22.7% slide to $58,566 on 1 July. Bitcoin only got back above that May peak in September, reaching $86,597 (+14.4%) on 22 September, and sits at $82,940 (+9.5%) today. The breakout he wanted continuation on failed within three weeks; the higher price five months later came after the drawdown, not from it. The “cautiously” was doing real work, but the call was on the wrong side of the spring top.
𝕏 Post“I'm still cautiously bullish” — @AltcoinSherpa, 19 Apr 2026↗ x.com“Lots of these coins are ranging right near their highs. Breakout on BTC likely leads to the same here for these.”
He listed the coins coiled near their range highs — $HYPE, $MON, $NEAR — and made them a bet on Bitcoin breaking out. The Bitcoin part took three months longer than he implied, and NEAR first gave back 11.8% to $1.26 on 5 May. But the mechanism worked: from $1.43 NEAR ran to $5.39 (+276.5%) on 28 September and holds $5.38 (+275.6%). Right idea, wrong clock — and the drawdown in between was survivable.
𝕏 Post“Breakout on BTC likely leads to the same here for these” — @AltcoinSherpa, 17 Apr 2026↗ x.com“Majors look pretty bottomed, 1 month in this consolidation. Should move strongly as long as btc is stable”
Posted on 10 March — a day that has since rolled out of this chart's price window, so the chart now anchors at $2,072 on 13 March. He named $ETH, $BNB and $SOL and called the consolidation a bottom. It wasn't one: from the anchor ETH fell 24.4% to $1,566 by 26 June, and SOL fell 28.5% from $86.91 to $62.18 by 7 June. His own escape clause — “as long as btc is stable” — did fail, and that is the point: the whole call depended on a condition he could not check. Both have since recovered past it (ETH $2,571, +24.1%; SOL $115.94, +33.4% from the anchor), but anyone who bought his bottom sat through roughly a quarter of the price first. The verdict rests on the bottom he called, which the moving anchor cannot change.
𝕏 Post“Majors look pretty bottomed” — @AltcoinSherpa, 10 Mar 2026↗ x.com“always a bit iffy when there is this large of a gap between price and the 200ema; usually its better to see some compression first.”
Posted on 5 March — a day that has since rolled out of this chart's price window, so the chart now anchors at $70,417 on 13 March. Bitcoin had just run hard off its late-February lows, and his read was that the distance from the 200 EMA made the move fragile. The compression he wanted arrived: from the anchor BTC managed $74,679 (+6.1%) on 17 March and then fell to $65,947 (−6.3%) by 30 March, and the spring never broke out — the July low is $58,566 (−16.8%). Bitcoin only cleared that March range for good in September, reaching $86,597 (+23.0%), and sits at $82,940 (+17.8%) today. Five days later he called the majors bottomed (next card down), so read the two together.
𝕏 Post“always a bit iffy when there is this large of a gap” — @AltcoinSherpa, 05 Mar 2026↗ x.comSakamakon karatunmu ne na matsayin da ya bayyana a kan rufewar yau da kullum ta CoinGecko ta gaske, ba nasa maki ba. Farashin da ke cikin rubutun daga jerin bayanai ɗaya ne da aka zana zanen daga gare shi. Kiraye-kirayen sharaɗi waɗanda abin jawo su bai taɓa faruwa ba ana rubuta su a matsayin a buɗe, ba daidai ba. Alamun ɗan gajeren lokaci na iya juyawa yayin da zagayen ke warwaruwa.
Ba mu sami wani kwas ba, ba ƙungiyar sigina ba, ba wasiƙar labarai ba, kuma gidan yanar gizo guda da aka danganta shi da shi ba ya buɗewa. Hakan yana kawar da rikicin muradu na yau da kullum amma ya kawo mafi kaifi a wurinsa: yana ambaton ƙananan tsabar kuɗi da yake saya a gaban mutane dubu ɗari biyu da hamsin, daga asusun da ba wanda zai iya danganta shi da wata ainihi.
Babu tashar biya, babu biyan kuɗi na wata-wata, babu hanyar haɗin gwiwa da muka iya tabbatarwa. Gidan yanar gizonsa da aka danganta, altcoinsherpa.com, ba ya aiki — takardar shaidar TLS ta ƙare, buƙatu daga layin umarni da burauza duka suna gazawa tun 20 Satumba 2026. Idan akwai matakin biya to ba a talla shi a fili, wanda hakan ba sabon abu ba ne a irin wannan adadin mabiya kuma ya cancanci yabo.
The conflict that matters. On 6 October 2026 he disclosed holding call options on ETHA, BlackRock's spot-Ether ETF, in the same post as a bullish ETH read (card above) — a leveraged position in the asset he was talking up. He also posts the coins he is buying as he buys them — on 8 July 2026, mid-drawdown: “Looking to buy some dips on some coins like LIT but overall going to just watch since I'm traveling today”. A low-float altcoin named by a 250K-follower account moves before you can act on it, and he does not disclose position sizes.
Masu tattara labarai suna mayar da saƙonninsa zuwa labarai — Coinfomania, jerin batutuwa na Benzinga — kuma ana sake buga su ƙarƙashin sunansa a Binance Square (bayanin martaba: “Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016 / DYOR”). Wannan isa ne ba tare da kuɗin da aka bayyana ba, kuma yana lalacewa: wani labarin Coinfomania mai kwanan wata 19 Yuli 2026 ya fito da sunansa amma ya saka saƙon @thedefivillain. Karanta tweet ɗin, ba taƙaitaccen labarin ba.
“$ETH I think this is going to go to like 2.4k if btc is stable”
21 Jul 2026 · manufar da ta tabbata, tare da sharaɗinta“Majors look pretty bottomed, 1 month in this consolidation. Should move strongly as long as btc is stable”
10 Mar 2026 · the call that cost about a fifth on ETH and a quarter on SOL“$BTC honestly looking ok for now on lower time frames as long as we see price holding above this area.”
02 Jul 2026 · a fili ba shi da tabbaci, kwana ɗaya bayan ƙasan zagaye“Probably not the best place to fire into new positions unless you're confident the breakout is coming”
20 Jul 2026 · kariyar da ke cikin saƙon da manufarsa ta tabbataAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Babu ɗakin karatu na bidiyo da za a haɗa. Abin da Sherpa ke fitarwa a bainar jama'a saƙonnin X ne — da dama a rana, da zane, babu podcast kuma babu watsa shirye-shirye da ya amince da shi. Akwai tashar YouTube mai suna iri ɗaya, amma jerinta na jama'a ba ya dawo da sabbin loda kuma ba mu iya tabbatarwa daga tushe na asali cewa shi ne ke bayanta ba, don haka ba a haɗa ta a nan. Kowane kira a sama saƙo ne mai tambarin lokaci ba yanki na bidiyo ba — shi ya sa ake iya zana shi; an ambaci tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar a bayan zanen a kowane kati.
Ɗan kasuwan crypto mai sunan ɓoye kuma manazarcin fasaha wanda ke buga nazarin zane a X a matsayin @AltcoinSherpa tun aƙalla Afrilu 2021, ga kusan mabiya 250,000. Bai taɓa buga sunan doka, kamfani ko tarihin aikin da aka duba ba; bayanin martabarsa yana cewa kawai “Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016 / DYOR”.
Ba a san ta a bainar jama'a ba kuma babu wanda zai iya tabbatar da ita — ba a san shi ba, ba ya bayyana kamfani, asusu ko girman matsayi. Yi watsi da duk wani takamaiman adadi da aka haɗa da sunansa; babu wanda aka tabbatar.
He is an anonymous commentator, not a licensed adviser, and the record cuts both ways: of thirteen dated posts we charted, seven played out, three went against him and three are still open. He was bullish three weeks before Bitcoin's 11 May high and called support one day after its 1 July low. Treat his posts as a dated, checkable opinion — never trade them blindly.
Nazarin fasaha na sharaɗi kan manyan tsabar kuɗi da dogon jerin altcoins: tsarin EMA 200 a zanen awa 4, wuraren sarrafawa na volume profile, saman da ƙasan range, da ƙa'ida mai dorewa cewa alts na gudu ne kawai muddin Bitcoin yana natsuwa. Yana faɗin abin jawo da matakin ɓata a cikin saƙo ɗaya maimakon fitar da hasashen farashi shi kaɗai.
Sherpa yana ciniki da sharaɗi: mataki, abin jawo, da ɓata da aka rubuta kafin motsin ya faru. Har ya zuwa ina hankalinka ya yi kama da haka — auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu sa hanyarka aiki. Gwada fifikonka kan bayanan kasuwa na kai tsaye — babu haɗarin jari — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayanai da ilimi wanda ya dogara sosai kan kayan da ake samu a bainar jama'a — saƙonnin X nasa masu kwanan wata, an kawo su kalma-da-kalma kuma an haɗa su a kowane kira. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ce. Lambobi kusan-kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Sherpa? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 8 October 2026
