@krugermacro
Masanin tattalin arziki kuma dan kasuwa daga Argentina wanda yake karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar Fed, bayanan hauhawar farashi da kasuwar hannayen jari. Hasashensa na gajeren lokaci a cikin samfurin sun yi kyau: a ranar 2 ga Yuli, a $59,968, ya yi tsammanin “a trend change in crypto”, kuma Bitcoin bai sake rufewa a kasa da haka ba, ya hau zuwa $86,597. Manyan burinsa har yanzu a bude suke. Hasashensa na Afrilu cewa Bitcoin zai haura da 25% zuwa 33% kafin karshen 2026 bai cika ba tukuna.
A taƙaice. Alex Krüger yana wallafa rubutu kan kasuwannin duniya da Bitcoin ga mabiya kusan 216,000 a X. A kan hasashe hudu na Bitcoin masu kwanan wata daga Afrilu zuwa Yuli 2026, sakamakon shi ne 2 sun tabbata, 2 a bude, 0 sun saba. Hasashensa biyu na gajeren lokaci a watan Yuni da Yuli sun yi daidai. Hasashensa na kasan farashi a Afrilu an karya shi da 'yan kashi kadan, kuma burinsa na karshen shekara har yanzu a bude yake. Ya ce asusunsa ba sabis ne na biya ba, kuma Substack dinsa ba shi da matakin biya.
Alex Krüger yana bayyana kansa a X a matsayin “Economist. Trader.” daga Argentina, kuma yana wallafa rubutu a can tun Maris 2012. Yana rubuta Substack na kyauta, Krugermacro, a krugermacro.com; rubutunsa na karshe daga 4 ga Maris 2026 ne. A watan Yuni 2026, Yahoo Finance da Coinpedia sun ruwaito rubutunsa da ya kira crypto “a failed asset class”. A ciki ya kuma ambaci bangarorin da har yanzu yake daraja, kamar stablecoins, Hyperliquid da Zcash. Tun Afrilu yake rubuta cewa ya fi son hannayen jarin girma a kan Bitcoin.
Yadda aka gina samfurin: binciken X da jerin rubuce-rubucen bayanin martaba sun dawo da rubuce-rubucensa 290 daga 15 ga Afrilu zuwa 6 ga Nuwamba 2026. Da yawa suna magana kan hannayen jari, Fed ko kwallon kafa. Muna zana kowane rubutu da ke dauke da ikirarin da za a iya tabbatarwa game da inda Bitcoin zai nufa: kasan farashi, buri, ko motsi cikin lokacin da aka fada. Rubuce-rubucen da kawai suke kwatanta Bitcoin da wasu kadarori ba a zana su ba.
Kurakuran da shi da kansa ya ambata. A ranar 3 ga Yuni ya rubuta cewa wani hasashensa na baya na Bitcoin a 150K zuwa lokacin ya kasance “horribly wrong”. An yi wannan hasashen ne kafin lokacin farashinmu, don haka ba a zana shi ba. A ranar 4 ga Nuwamba ya sake duba hasashensa na karshen 2026 kuma ya yi wa na Bitcoin alama “up 8%” tare da alamar gargadi. A wani rubutu na Nuwamba 2025 ya rubuta cewa Bitcoin “dropped much more than I anticipated”.
Sauran rubuce-rubuce. A ranar 7 ga Yuni ya rubuta “Btc is shackled by saylor and threatened by quantum” da “Eth got one shot by AI”. A ranar 28 ga Yuli ya rubuta cewa ya sayi hannayen jari “for the first time since the first week of June”. A ranar 5 ga Nuwamba ya lura cewa Bitcoin ya fadi kasa da Nasdaq a wannan ranar, kuma ya kara da cewa hakan “says nothing about BTC bullishness”.
Sources: x.com/krugermacro · krugermacro.com
Macro da farko. Krüger yana karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar Federal Reserve, bayanan hauhawar farashi da na ayyukan yi, man fetur da Gabas ta Tsakiya, da kasuwar hannayen jari. Yawancin hasashensa suna da alaka da fitar bayanai ko taron Fed. Yana kuma karanta bayanan derivatives kamar volume, options skew da funding. Tun tsakiyar 2026 yake dora laifin yawancin raunin Bitcoin a kan Strategy, kamfanin Michael Saylor mai rike da Bitcoin.
Gauraye. Yana da kyakkyawan fata kan hannayen jari da kadarori masu hadari gaba daya, amma sau da yawa ba ya da kyakkyawan fata kan crypto idan aka kwatanta da wasu kadarori. A ranar 6 ga Yuni ya rubuta cewa hannayen jarin girma sun fi Bitcoin “on a long time frame”, kuma a ranar 5 ga Nuwamba cewa wani bayani na Bitcoin “says nothing about BTC bullishness”.
Hasashe hudu na Bitcoin masu kwanan wata daga rubuce-rubucen X na Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) da kansa, an zana su a kan ainihin farashi. Jimilla ita ce 2 sun tabbata, 2 a bude, 0 sun saba.
“I'm expecting a trend change in crypto today if payrolls data (NFP) comes in soft.”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 10 Nov 2026 neAn fada a $59,968, kwana daya bayan mafi karancin farashi na lokacin, $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Ya dora laifin faduwa daga 82K a kan Strategy kuma ya rubuta “That risk is now mostly gone”. Da karfe 14:12 UTC a wannan rana ya wallafa “That's a trend change”. Bitcoin bai sake rufewa a kasa da haka ba, kuma ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+44.4%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Yanzu yana $74,626 (+24.4%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“I'm expecting a trend change in crypto today if payrolls data (NFP) comes in soft.” — Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) on X↗ x.com“If I had to bet on st direction, I'd bet on a 5%-8% reversal this week, it's a bit too much, but market needs to see what Saylor does first”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 10 Nov 2026 neAn wallafa a ranar Lahadi da karfe 22:11 UTC; katin yana amfani da alamar wannan ranar ta $60,855. Bayanan minti na Binance sun nuna Bitcoin a $61,912 lokacin da ya wallafa, kuma tsallen ya fara minti daya daga baya. Alamar kullum ta gaba ita ce $63,274 (+4.0%), kuma alamar karshen wannan makon, a tsakar dare UTC a ranar 15 ga Yuni, ita ce $65,709 (+8.0%). Wannan +6.1% ne daga farashin lokacin rubutun. Yanzu yana $74,626 (+22.6%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“If I had to bet on st direction, I'd bet on a 5%-8% reversal this week” — Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) on X↗ x.com“This is all happening. In fact, if anything, prices will run even higher. Stocks in particular. Don't fight the trend.”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 10 Nov 2026 neMaimaita jerin hasashensa na 8 ga Afrilu don karshen 2026, wanda ya kunshi “BTC up 25% to 33% (ETH more)”. A ranar 8 ga Afrilu Bitcoin ya rufe a $71,070, don haka burin yana kusan $88,838 zuwa $94,523. A ranar 22 ga Afrilu yana $76,326; ya wallafa da karfe 19:50 UTC, kuma alamar washegari ita ce $78,239. Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa a $86,597 a ranar 22 ga Satumba, +21.8% daga 8 ga Afrilu, bai kai burin ba. Yanzu yana $74,626 (+5.0% daga 8 ga Afrilu). A bude har zuwa karshen shekara.
𝕏 Post“BTC up 25% to 33%” — Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) on X↗ x.com“we have definitively seen true capitulation at 60, volume/iv/skew say so”
Farashin da ke cikin rubutun na 10 Nov 2026 neAn fada a $74,826. Ya kara da cewa zai “be surprised if BTC does not follow” hauhawar hannayen jari a 'yan watanni masu zuwa. Bitcoin ya hau zuwa $82,018 (+9.6%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu, sannan ya fadi zuwa $58,566 (−21.7%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli, kadan kasa da 60K dinsa. Daga nan ya hau zuwa $86,597 (+15.7%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Yanzu yana $74,626 (−0.3%). Mafi karancin farashi ya zo kusa da matakinsa amma ya wuce kasa da shi. Gauraye.
𝕏 Post“we have definitively seen true capitulation at 60” — Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) on X↗ x.comSakamakon fahimtarmu ne na abin da ya fada idan aka auna da ainihin farashi, ba makin da shi da kansa ya bayar ba. Zabi: daga cikin rubuce-rubucensa 290 tsakanin 15 ga Afrilu da 6 ga Nuwamba 2026, muna zana kowane rubutu da ke dauke da ikirarin da za a iya tabbatarwa game da inda Bitcoin zai nufa, sau daya, a rubutun farko a cikin lokacin. Bayanan farashinmu na kullum ne, don haka farashin kowane hasashe shi ne alamar ranar da aka wallafa rubutun, kuma ba a ganin motsin da ke cikin rana guda. Ga hasashen 7 ga Yuni, wanda aka wallafa a karshen rana, mun kuma duba bayanan minti na Binance, kamar yadda aka bayyana a katin. Farashin 8 ga Afrilu shi ne rufewar Binance ta kullum, domin wannan ranar tana gaban lokacin CoinGecko dinmu. Layin $1,000 a kowane kati yana daukar cewa an saya.
Krüger ya ce asusunsa na X ba sabis ne na biya ba, kuma wasikar labaransa kyauta ce. Ga abin da muka gano.
A watan Nuwamba 2025 ya rubuta: “This account is not a paid service. I do not share trades.”
Substack dinsa, Krugermacro, an kashe biyan kudin rajista. Rubutunsa na karshe daga 4 ga Maris 2026 ne.
Yana rubutu game da cinikinsa na kansa. A watan Nuwamba 2025 ya rubuta cewa yana da babban matsayi a Bitcoin kuma ya ragu da 20% zuwa 25% daga kololuwa a bangaren crypto. A ranar 28 ga Yuli 2026 ya rubuta cewa yanzu ya sayi hannayen jari.
Ba mu sami wani rubutu da aka dauki nauyinsa ko hanyar referral ba a rubuce-rubucensa daga 15 ga Afrilu zuwa 6 ga Nuwamba 2026.
“we have definitively seen true capitulation at 60, volume/iv/skew say so”
16 Apr 2026 · gauraye“This is all happening. In fact, if anything, prices will run even higher.”
22 Apr 2026 · a bude“I'd bet on a 5%-8% reversal this week”
7 Jun 2026 · ya tabbata“I'm expecting a trend change in crypto today if payrolls data (NFP) comes in soft.”
2 Jul 2026 · ya tabbataAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Dogayen rubuce-rubucen Krüger suna kan Substack dinsa na kyauta a krugermacro.com.
Masanin tattalin arziki kuma dan kasuwa daga Argentina wanda yake wallafa rubutu a X a matsayin @krugermacro, da mabiya kusan 216,000. Yana rubutu game da kasuwannin duniya, Fed da Bitcoin, kuma yana da Substack na kyauta a krugermacro.com.
A watan Afrilu 2026 ya yi hasashen cewa Bitcoin zai haura da 25% zuwa 33% kafin karshen 2026, daga kusan $71,070 a ranar 8 ga Afrilu. A ranar 4 ga Nuwamba ya yi wa wannan hasashen alama “up 8%” tare da alamar gargadi. Ya kuma rubuta cewa ya fi son hannayen jarin girma a kan Bitcoin.
A kan samfurinmu na hasashe hudu na Bitcoin masu kwanan wata daga Afrilu zuwa Yuli 2026: biyu sun tabbata, biyu a bude suke kuma babu wanda ya saba. Hasashensa na gajeren lokaci na Yuni da Yuli sun yi daidai. Kasan farashinsa na Afrilu a 60K an karya shi, kuma burinsa na karshen shekara a bude yake. Shi da kansa ya ce wani hasashensa na baya na 150K ya kasance “horribly wrong”.
Yana bayyana kansa a matsayin dan kasuwa kuma yana rubutu game da matsayinsa na kansa. Ya ce asusunsa na X ba sabis ne na biya ba, kuma Substack dinsa ba shi da matakin biya. Ba mu sami wani rubutu da aka dauki nauyinsa ba.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Krüger yana ciniki ne a kusa da Fed da kalandar bayanai. Yaya kusancin hankalinka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari ne na bayani da ilimi bisa kayan da ke a fili kawai: rubuce-rubucen X na @krugermacro na fili, Substack dinsa a krugermacro.com da majiyoyin da aka hada a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kudi ko ta saka jari ba ce. Alkaluma na kimantawa ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Alex? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 10 November 2026
