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Досье трейдера · Технический анализ · BTC / ETH
DonAlt

DonAlt

@DonAlt

~794K в X185K на YouTubeTechnicalRoundup — еженедельное шоу

Псевдонимный технический трейдер, который девять лет подряд пишет одинаково: график, три-четыре резкие строки и уровень, который либо держится, либо нет. Он открыто хеджируется — «не плохо, не отлично» практически его девиз — и прямо говорит, когда сидит без сделок, поэтому его записи необычно легко проверить.

Настоящее имя не раскрытоФокус Bitcoin · EthereumШоу TechnicalRoundup (с CryptoCred)База не раскрыта
14Заявлений отслежено6Сбылось6Ещё открыто2Пошло противSee the record →

Вкратце. DonAlt (@DonAlt, formerly @CryptoDonAlt) is one of crypto's longest-running chart traders — on X since 2017, ~794K followers, and co-host of the weekly TechnicalRoundup show with CryptoCred. His method is deliberately narrow: horizontal support and resistance, weekly and monthly closes, and an explicit invalidation level on every idea. He trades majors (BTC, ETH) and is openly dismissive of most altcoins. The style's strength and weakness are the same thing — he will sit out for months waiting for a level, which saves him from bad entries and also costs him rallies. Both happened in 2026: his February patience kept him out of a rally of more than 30%, and his late-July and August posts caught the bottom almost exactly — after which he stayed long all the way to the September high.

Биография — девять лет одних и тех же трёх строк

DonAlt публикует графики под аватаркой утки с июня 2017 года и никогда не раскрывал ни настоящего имени, ни фонда, ни таблицы с результатами. Вместо этого у него около 39 600 публичных постов и еженедельное шоу TechnicalRoundup (185K подписчиков на YouTube, соведущий — CryptoCred, новые выпуски каждую пятницу), где те же графики разбираются в прямом эфире. Криптопресса неизменно представляет его через его прогноз по XRP 2024–25 годов — рост примерно с $0.50 до $3.66 — и через предупреждение вблизи вершины ноября 2021 года. Это реальные факты, но они лежат за пределами ценового окна этой страницы и здесь не оцениваются.

The posture that shows up in the record below is patience to the point of stubbornness. He states an invalidation level and a trigger, then does nothing until one of them prints. In February 2026 he wrote that he was waiting for either “a deeper discount ($42k)” or “a market structure shift (above $86k)” — the lower one never arrived, the upper one only on 22 September, at the top of the rally, and Bitcoin is +28.4% above where our price window now starts (9 March). In May he described himself as “preemptively bullish” eight days before the top of the spring rally, and BTC then fell 25.6%. He is also honest about the drag of that stance: on 5 June, near the lows, he wrote “Sentiment couldn't be worse, everyone is dying” and “Usually these are the times in which I'd get ready to buy a lot” — and then explained why he wasn't going to. BTC was $63,811 that day; it bottomed 26 days later and is +32.9% higher now.

The other half of the record is the half that worked. On 1 June he named the dip target and its limit in one sentence and the low came in 2.4% through it. On 29 July he turned constructive within 1.7% of the lowest close that followed. On 10 August he said Bitcoin would “teleport” past resistance; eleven days later it had. On 22 September, with BTC at what is still the highest close of the window, he wrote that it was “finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH” — and that he was not taking profits. He is a level trader, not a forecaster — when the level is specific, he is good; when he is expressing a bias, he is no better than anyone else.

Sources: x.com/DonAlt · youtube.com/@TechnicalRoundup · dated press (Benzinga, U.Today)

Стиль и философия трейдинга

Чистый горизонтальный технический анализ, только крупные активы. Поддержки и сопротивления на старших таймфреймах, недельные и месячные закрытия как подтверждение и явная инвалидация у каждой идеи — выше уровня X картина хорошая, ниже уровня Y он выходит. Он использует уровни не как прогнозы, а как триггеры — поэтому подолгу остаётся вне позиции. В публикуемых идеях он торгует спот и прямо об этом говорит, резко высказывается об альткоинах и о плече в боковике и предпочитает признать, что график нечитаем, а не выдумывать под него тезис. Цена такого подхода — упущенные возможности: триггер, который так и не сработал, означает ралли, которое он не взял.

Набор инструментов · как часто каждый из них встречается в проанализированных нами публичных прогнозах
Горизонтальные поддержки / сопротивления10/10
Недельные и месячные закрытия9/10
Явные уровни инвалидации9/10
Терпение / готовность сидеть вне рынка8/10
Избирательность по альткоинам4/10
Позиция на рынке
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

Openly bullish since August — long ETH, and declining to take profits on BTC at what he calls its last serious resistance — but still conditional on levels: he flips from “not bad, not great” to buying only when a close confirms, and he names the line that would make him wrong.

Торговать в этом стилеLevel Trader Challenge — нет триггера, нет сделкиПрисоединиться бесплатно →

Трек-рекорд — его сигналы, отображённые на графиках

Fourteen dated calls from the last seven months, charted against real price. Thirteen are posts from his own X account, captured verbatim (text and timestamp pulled twice from independent endpoints); one is a dated podcast quote in Benzinga. His posts are levels and conditions, not price predictions, so we grade what price actually did against the condition he named. The pattern is stark and worth reading in order: the first three months are his worst stretch — waiting for prices that did not come in time — and late July to mid-August is his best, catching the bottom within 1.7%. From the end of August on he simply stayed long, and the calls since are mostly about not selling: an ETH post that drew a $2,000 line and said “I'll assume up”, a 22 September post that named the one resistance he respected — exactly where BTC has stalled since — and a 2 October “HODL”.

14
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Каждый прогноз нанесён на график со дня, когда он его озвучил, до сегодня · white = когда он говорил · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. Как мы оцениваем →
23 Feb 2026BTC
Trigger fired at the top

“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”

$50.5k$64.3k$78.1kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 23 Febего уровень $42.0k
BTC $42.0kМинимум после $58.6k · +39%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,160 · +16.0%худшее падение за время -18% (−$177)

23 February is now older than our 210-day price window, so this chart starts on 9 March, at $66,043. His lower trigger never fired: the worst close since is $58,566 (−11.3%), nowhere near his $42,000. His upper trigger fired exactly once — BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 Sep, the highest close in the window and +31.1% above where this chart starts. Read literally, the rule kept him flat through the whole rally and would have had him buying its top; BTC is $84,793 today, +28.4%. In fairness, he did not wait that long in practice — by late July he had turned constructive far below $86,000 (see the 29 Jul call).

𝕏 Post$BTC update: waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k) — @DonAlt↗ x.com
29 Apr 2026BTC
Осторожная оценка, осторожный результат

“Decent reaction to support having been hit, resistance kinda meh from here on out”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 29 Apr
BTC $76.3kМинимум после $58.6k · -23%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,081 · +8.1%худшее падение за время -23% (−$233)

Half right, half wrong, which is roughly what he claimed. The resistance half held for almost five months — from $76,332 BTC topped at $82,018 on 11 May and did not close above that again until 22 September. The support half did not hold — it broke first, and BTC lost −23.3% to $58,566. It has since reached $86,597 (+13.4%) and sits +11.1% above the day he posted. A genuinely non-committal call that we log as open rather than pretend was a signal.

𝕏 Post$BTC — Seems kind of alright to me. Not bad, not great — @DonAlt↗ x.com
03 May 2026BTC
Bullish 8 days before the May top

“I've been preemptively bullish but I think these are the levels at which sentiment and market behavior will shift notably”

$64.0k$72.8k$81.6kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 3 Mayего уровень $87.0k
BTC $87.0kМинимум после $58.6k · -33%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,049 · +4.9%худшее падение за время -26% (−$256)

He said this at $78,677 — eight days before $82,018 on 11 May, the top of the spring rally. His $70,000 “high likelihood of death” level fired in between, and BTC fell −25.6% to $58,566. His $87,000 acceleration level has still never closed — the high is $86,597, on 22 Sep — and BTC is +7.8% today, five months on. Credit where it is owed: the downside level he wrote down is the one that fired, and it worked exactly as described. The bias attached to it did not.

𝕏 Post$BTC — 78k$+ cautiously bullish · 87k$+ bullish acceleration · 70k$- high likelihood of death — @DonAlt↗ x.com
01 Jun 2026BTC
Назвал и просадку, и её предел

“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 1 Junего уровень $60.0k
BTC $60.0kМинимум после $58.6k · -2%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,121 · +12.1%худшее падение за время -20% (−$204)

The best-specified call here, because it names the target and the limit in one sentence. From $73,599, BTC did dip into that zone — the low was $58,566 on 1 Jul, just 2.4% through the level he named — and it did not keep going. It has since run to $86,597 (+17.7%) and sits +15.2% above the day he posted.

𝕏 Post$BTC update: could dip back into $60k support, would be surprised by more than that — @DonAlt↗ x.com
29 Jul 2026BTC
Развернулся в пределах 1,7% от дна

“Above the red line we actually look quite good”

$66.9k$74.4k$82.0kAugSepOct▲ said 29 Jul
BTC $63.9kМинимум после $62.8k · -2%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,292 · +29.2%худшее падение за время -2% (−$17)

Posted at $63,882, which turned out to be 1.7% above the lowest close that followed ($62,773). BTC then ran +35.6% to $86,597 and is +32.7% now. One stated limitation: “the red line” is a level drawn on his chart image, not a number in the text, so we grade the direction he flagged — constructive, willing to add — and not a numeric target.

𝕏 Post$BTC — Above the red line we actually look quite good — @DonAlt↗ x.com
10 Aug 2026BTC
Заявление про «teleport»

“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”

$67.3k$74.7k$82.1kAugSepOct▲ said 10 Aug
BTC $64.9kМинимум после $62.8k · -3%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,272 · +27.2%худшее падение за время -3% (−$31)

It did. From $64,856 BTC dipped 3.1%, then broke out — to $86,597 by 22 Sep, +33.5% — and is +30.7% now. This post is where Benzinga's 24 Aug “Bitcoin Could ‘Teleport’ to $90,000” headline came from, so to be exact: $90,000 has not printed. The highest close since is $86,597 and BTC is $84,793 today.

𝕏 Post$BTC — This looks like it wants to explode — @DonAlt↗ x.com
12 Aug 2026SOL
SOL trigger worked · ETH call behind

“middle of nowhere”

$81.43$96.99$113AugSepOct▲ said 12 Aug
SOL $76.22Минимум после $74.55 · -2%Now $110
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,438 · +43.8%худшее падение за время -2% (−$22)

On a 12 Aug podcast he called Solana's chart the “middle of nowhere” — no clean invalidation, so no trade — and said he preferred Ethereum “not even close” when choosing between ETH, XRP and SOL, expecting ETH to outperform Solana longer term. He also said a SOL trade only becomes attractive on a reclaim of roughly $100, opening a move toward $120. SOL was $76: it reclaimed $100 on 27 Aug and closed above $120 on 26 Sep — a high of $122 (+60.2%) — and sits at $120, +57.9%. ETH over the same 53 days is +43.2%. So the SOL trade he described played out to the letter, and the relative call he actually made — ETH over SOL — is behind. Open, because he framed it long-term.

SourceBitcoin, Ethereum Will Outperform XRP, Solana in the Future — Benzinga / TradingView↗ tradingview.com
13 Aug 2026ETH
Купил у сопротивления — и это сработало

“Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days”

$2.0k$2.3k$2.6kAugSepOct▲ said 13 Aug
ETH $1.9kМинимум после $1.9k · -0%Now $2.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,326 · +32.6%худшее падение за время -0% (−$2)

A spot buy he flagged as uncomfortable — he was buying into resistance rather than waiting for a retest, after months of waiting for a deeper entry that never came. ETH was $1,878; the lowest close since is $1,874, so the entry cost him 0.2% of drawdown, and ETH has since run to $2,775 (+47.8%) and sits at $2,693, +43.4%. He said on the same show he had hoped for $1,700 and gave up waiting — the impatience was the right call.

𝕏 Post$ETH — Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days — @DonAlt↗ x.com
17 Aug 2026ETH
Target open · +11% to go

“My official target is 4k”

$2.3k$2.9k$3.6kSepOct▲ said 17 Augего уровень $4.0k
ETH $4.0kМинимум после $1.9k · -53%Now $2.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,328 · +32.8%худшее падение за время +0% (−$0)

Asked where he sells, he answered in three lines: official target $4,000, unofficial $10,000, and “I'll probably sell at 3k” — which is the number that actually matters, since it is what he says he'll do. ETH was $1,874 and is $2,693, +43.7%, with a high of $2,775. Still +11.4% short of the $3,000 he plans to sell into and +48.5% short of his stated target, so this one is open.

𝕏 PostMy official target is 4k / My inoffical target is 10k / I'll probably sell at 3k — @DonAlt↗ x.com
30 Aug 2026ETH
Range broke up, market followed

“Cleanest chart in crypto right now”

$2.4k$2.6k$2.7kSepOct▲ said 30 Aug
ETH $2.5kМинимум после $2.4k · -3%Now $2.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,013 · +1.3%худшее падение за время -3% (−$27)

Not a target — a description of the chart, plus a claim about what it would mean: “How ETH trades is probably gonna be indicative of the rest of the market.” ETH was $2,457. It held the range for three weeks — the low since is $2,391 (−2.7%) — then broke out on 19 Sep and closed at $2,775 (+12.9%) on 22 Sep, the same day BTC made its window high. It sits at $2,693, +9.6%. The post named no direction, so we held it open until the range broke; it broke the way he was positioned (long since 13 Aug) and the rest of the market went with it, so we now score it played out.

𝕏 Post$ETH — Cleanest chart in crypto right now — @DonAlt↗ x.com
31 Aug 2026BTC
The leg up came

“Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kSepOct▲ said 31 Aug
BTC $77.7kМинимум после $75.6k · -3%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,063 · +6.3%худшее падение за время -3% (−$27)

It came, in two steps. BTC was $77,658; four days later it closed at $81,265, then slipped to $75,590 (−2.7%) on 16 Sep before running to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+11.5%), the highest close of this window. It is $84,793 today, +9.2% above where he posted.

𝕏 Post$BTC — Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon — @DonAlt↗ x.com
01 Sep 2026ETH
$2k held · $4k still open

“No real resistance till $4k”

$2.5k$2.6k$2.7kSepOct▲ said 1 Sep
ETH $2.5kМинимум после $2.4k · -3%Now $2.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$1,009 · +0.9%худшее падение за время -3% (−$31)

Two levels and a rule: “Real good support around $2.1k”, “if $2k fails it's probably gonna be a swift move down to $1k” — and “But as long as it hasn't failed, I'll assume up.” ETH was $2,467. The $2,000 line never came close: the lowest close since is $2,391 (−3.1%), two days later. ETH then rose to $2,775 (+12.5%) and is $2,693, +9.2%. The rule has worked so far; the “no real resistance” half has not been tested — ETH would still need +48.5% from here to reach $4,000. Open.

𝕏 Post$ETH — No real resistance till $4k · Real good support around $2.1k — @DonAlt↗ x.com
22 Sep 2026BTC
Named the ceiling, stayed long

“BTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kOct▲ said 22 Sep
BTC $86.6kМинимум после $81.7k · -6%Now $82.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$953 · -4.7%худшее падение за время -6% (−$57)

Posted at 00:33 UTC on 22 Sep, half an hour after the 00:00 UTC price our chart uses for that day — $86,597, which is still the highest close in this window. So the level he called serious is, so far, exactly where BTC stopped. What he did about it is the other half of the post: “Am I changing my positioning? No”, “Am I taking profits? No” — while conceding that bears “can at least make a compelling case” there. Since then BTC has dipped to $83,479 (−3.6%) and is $84,793, −2.1%. Open: right about the resistance so far, and positioned for it to break.

𝕏 PostBTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH — @DonAlt↗ x.com
02 Oct 2026ETH
HODL, two days in

“No serious resistance left IMO”

$2.5k$2.6k$2.7kOct▲ said 2 Oct
ETH $2.7kМинимум после $2.5k · -9%Now $2.5k
$1,000 вложено по его сигналу$920 · -8.0%худшее падение за время -9% (−$86)

His most recent call, and his plainest: “I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL.” Posted at 04:46 UTC on 2 Oct; the price our chart uses for that day (00:00 UTC) is $2,705. Two days on, ETH has dipped to $2,668 (−1.4%) and is $2,693, −0.5% — far too early to score. The post gives no target and no invalidation; the nearest numbers he has put on ETH are “I'll probably sell at 3k” (17 Aug) and the $2,000 line he drew on 1 Sep.

𝕏 Post$ETH — No serious resistance left IMO · I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL — @DonAlt↗ x.com

Outcomes are our read of his stated condition against real price, not his own scoring. Every quote is verbatim and linked; nothing is paraphrased. Six calls are still open (two ETH targets, a long-term ETH-over-SOL preference, a non-committal April read, his 22 September resistance call and a 2 October HODL) and can still flip either way.

Как он зарабатывает — и где конфликты интересов

Он не продаёт ни сигнальную группу, ни курс, ни токен — самая тонкая монетизация из всех, кто есть в этой базе. Есть партнёрская ссылка биржи и спонсируемое шоу, и о них стоит знать.

Партнёрская ссылка биржи

В его био в X есть реферальный инвайт Kraken (проверено 30 августа 2026). Реферальные ссылки платят за регистрацию и за торговый оборот, а это стимул поддерживать торговую активность аудитории — что стоит взвесить рядом со стилем, который в основном про то, чтобы не торговать.

Спонсируемое шоу

WOO X объявила о спонсорстве TechnicalRoundup и «product ambassadorships» для DonAlt и CryptoCred в мае 2023. Коммерческие условия не раскрывались, и мы не смогли подтвердить, действует ли соглашение в 2026 году: объявлению три года, а его био сейчас указывает на Kraken.

Платных продуктов не найдено

На всех страницах, которые мы проверили, нет ни платной сигнальной группы, ни подписки, ни курса, ни токена. Он публикует бесплатно и торгует собственную книгу — которая, по его словам, в описанных выше идеях спотовая.

Его книга смотрит туда же, куда и его посты

Когда он говорит, что купил ETH по $1,878, речь о позиции, которую он держит. Это честнее альтернативы — и это всё равно предвзятость: он в лонге по тому, о чём рассказывает.

Фирменные идеи

“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”

10 Aug 2026 · за одиннадцать дней до пробоя

“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”

23 Feb 2026 · the patience that kept him out of the rally

“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”

01 Jun 2026 · просадка и её предел в одном предложении

Цитаты взяты из его собственных публичных источников; это высказанные мнения, а не рекомендации.

Прямые ответы

Кто такой DonAlt?+

Псевдонимный криптотрейдер-техник, в X с июня 2017 года — сначала как @CryptoDonAlt, теперь как @DonAlt, с примерно 794 000 подписчиков. Он соведёт еженедельное шоу TechnicalRoundup вместе с CryptoCred (185K подписчиков на YouTube). Его настоящее имя, гражданство и связь с каким-либо фондом никогда не раскрывались.

Был ли прогноз DonAlt по XRP настоящим?+

Да — криптопресса последовательно приписывает ему прогноз роста XRP примерно с $0.50 до $3.66 в 2024–25 годах, и именно поэтому заголовки до сих пор представляют его как «Author of Legendary 700% XRP Prediction». Это также за пределами ценового окна, которое строит эта страница, поэтому здесь не оценивается. Всё в разделе с прогнозами выше — за последние семь месяцев.

Каково состояние DonAlt?+

Публично неизвестно и не поддаётся оценке. Он псевдонимен, не публикует портфель, не продаёт продуктов и никогда не раскрывал размер капитала. Любую конкретную цифру, которую вы увидите, считайте выдуманной.

Можно ли полагаться на мнение DonAlt?+

He is a pseudonymous commentator, not a licensed adviser. His 2026 record is genuinely mixed: two calls went against him — including describing himself as bullish eight days before the May top — and six played out, including catching the July–August bottom within 1.7%. He states an invalidation level on almost every idea, which makes him easy to check. Never trade someone else's levels blindly.

В чём стратегия DonAlt?+

Горизонтальные поддержки и сопротивления на старших таймфреймах, подтверждённые недельными и месячными закрытиями, с явной инвалидацией у каждой идеи. Он торгует крупными активами — в основном биткоином и Ethereum — спотом, а не с плечом в публикуемых позициях, пренебрежительно относится к альткоинам и может месяцами сидеть вне рынка, ожидая срабатывания уровня.

Насколько вы торгуете как он?

DonAlt ждёт уровень и не делает ничего, пока тот не сработает, — даже если это стоит ему ралли. Насколько близко ваше чутьё? Измерьте его по-настоящему с Trader Passport.

1. Что определяет ваши решения?
2. Ваше отношение к альткоинам?
3. Ваш триггер так и не срабатывает. Вы…
4. Как вы управляете риском?
—совпадение стиля с DonAlt

Создать Trader Passport →
Проверьте на практике

DonAlt sat out a 30%+ rally waiting for a level that only printed at the top — then caught the bottom within 1.7%. Would you have waited?

Теперь примените свой подход на деле. Проверьте своё преимущество на живых рыночных данных — без риска капитала — в бесплатном турнире BuyCrypt с реальными призами.

Информационно-образовательный анализ, основанный исключительно на общедоступных материалах — его собственных датированных постах в X и датированных публикациях третьих сторон, ссылки на которые приведены у каждого заявления. Не является финансовым или инвестиционным советом. Цифры приблизительны и постоянно меняются. Spotted an error, or are you DonAlt? Отправить исправление →

Проверенные аккаунты · Источники указаны выше · Методология оценки · Обновлено 4 October 2026