@Excellion
Suara paling lantang untuk Bitcoin 1 juta dolar di pasar — dan orang yang menamai “Omega candle”. Mow tidak memperdagangkan level; ia menjual satu arah tunggal yang tak tergoyahkan lalu menantang pasar untuk membantahnya. Justru itu yang membuatnya mudah dinilai: targetnya publik, bertanggal, dan entah terjadi atau tidak.
Singkatnya. Samson Mow adalah CEO JAN3, perusahaan infrastruktur Bitcoin yang bekerja dengan pemerintah untuk adopsi nasional, serta mantan CSO Blockstream dan COO BTCC. Ia seorang maksimalis hanya-Bitcoin dengan satu tesis tetap: pasokan jauh lebih langka daripada yang dihargai pasar, sehingga Bitcoin menuju 1 juta dolar lewat penetapan harga ulang yang singkat dan keras yang ia sebut “Omega candle”. Keyakinan itu sekaligus keunggulan dan kelemahannya. Sampel 2026 kami menunjukkannya dengan jelas: ketika pasar patah, penolakannya untuk berkedip tepat benar — ia menyebut dasar tiga hari lebih awal, meleset 2,3%. Ketika pasar tenang, keyakinan yang sama menghasilkan panggilan waktu konkret yang meleset jauh, termasuk lantai $80 ribu yang tak pernah bertahan dan “Omega candle sudah di depan mata” yang justru diikuti penurunan 24%.
Mow adalah pengusaha Tionghoa-Kanada yang masuk ke Bitcoin lewat game dan infrastruktur, bukan lewat trading. Ia mendirikan studio game Pixelmatic pada 2011 (pengembang Infinite Fleet), menjabat COO BTCC — waktu itu salah satu bursa dan pool penambangan terbesar dunia — dan kemudian Chief Strategy Officer di Blockstream. Pada Maret 2022 ia keluar untuk mendirikan JAN3, menghimpun $21 juta guna membangun perkakas bagi apa yang ia sebut hiperbitcoinisasi.
JAN3's business is sovereign adoption: advising governments on holding and issuing against Bitcoin, work that grew out of his high-profile role in El Salvador's Bitcoin strategy and its Volcano Bond. That matters when reading him. He is not a chartist posting entries and stops — he is a Bitcoin-only advocate whose company profits from Bitcoin being adopted, and his public calls are almost uniformly, structurally bullish. He is also willing to put numbers on it: his published 2026 predictions included $1.33M Bitcoin and MSTR at $5,000, neither of which is remotely in play with BTC near $85k.
Sources: x.com/Excellion · jan3.com · dated press (CoinDesk, Yahoo Finance, Cointelegraph)
Keyakinan di atas kalibrasi. Kerangka Mow bersifat sisi-pasokan dan absolut: batas 21 juta, kurang dari satu juta koin tersisa untuk ditambang, perusahaan treasury dan negara membeli tanpa sensitivitas harga — karena itu harga berapa pun di bawah sekitar $110–120 ribu adalah diskon, dan penetapan ulang akan datang tiba-tiba, bukan bertahap. Ia tidak memakai stop, level, atau titik invalidasi — tidak ada harga yang membuat tesisnya salah, hanya harga yang merupakan “diskon dalam”. Akibat praktisnya adalah rekam jejak berbentuk barbel: sangat baik saat kapitulasi, ketika menolak menjual memang perdagangan yang benar dan pemilihan waktunya dekat dasar sungguh bagus, dan buruk pada target jangka pendek, ketika kepastian yang sama melahirkan prediksi empat minggu yang begitu saja diabaikan harga.
Sebullish yang bisa dicapai basis data ini. Mow hanya mengakui Bitcoin dan tidak menyimpan skenario bearish apa pun — sikapnya bergeser antara “beli” dan “beli lebih kuat”, jadi bacalah ia sebagai bull permanen yang nilainya ada pada penalaran, bukan pada arah.
Eight dated, public statements from Mow, each verified against the source before it was charted — seven are X posts captured from X's own syndication endpoint (exact text, exact timestamp), one is a quote confirmed on the page that published it. The earliest, from 27 February, now predates the price window and is charted from its first day. Because he posts direction rather than levels, we judged each one on what Bitcoin actually did next. The sample splits sharply by market regime: his two crash-period calls in June 2026 were the best-timed on this page, and his two calm-market timing calls in March and April were the worst. His headline numbers — $1.33M in 2026, posted in January, and a $1M target he has carried since 2025 — sit outside this window and are noted below rather than scored. His two newest calls — a return over $90,000 (25 Aug) and a coming “most hated rally” (1 Oct) — are still open.
“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time. Everyone had the opportunity to buy the dip but didn't because they were waiting for $40k in October.”
A jab at the four-year-cycle crowd who expected a $40k October bottom — the $40k is their number, not his. The post went up late on 1 October (21:57 UTC), so the chart marks it at that day's $83,576, but the next daily point came about two hours later at $84,842; that +1.5% is not his. Bitcoin is $84,580 today — +1.2% from the chart point, −0.3% from the next one. A direction with no level or deadline, two days old: logged open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!”
Posted as a quote of a Bitcoin meme from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino — a named level with no deadline. From $78,974 Bitcoin dipped −4.3% to $75,590, ran +9.7% to $86,597 on 22 Sep and holds $84,580 (+7.1%). It has not closed a day at or above $90,000 since he posted; getting there needs another +6.4%. Direction right so far, level not yet printed: open.
𝕏 Post“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
Posted as long-bond yields hit highs and Bitcoin pushed back over $71k, framing the move as a flight to safety into BTC, not a relief bounce. From $69,291 Bitcoin has never traded lower — the low since is the day itself — and it ran +25.0% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+22.1%). A clean directional read with no drawdown against it.
𝕏 Post“The market smells blood in the water…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“I find it incredibly interesting how some people are so certain that the bottom is coming in 4 months because “cycles.” But we had an ATH 37 days before the halving, so it would seem even if you believe in cycles you should reason out the cycles accelerated. The bottom is in.”
The strongest call in this dossier, made against a loud consensus that the cycle low was still four months away. He said it at $59,953; the actual low of this window printed three days later on 1 Jul at $58,566 — he was early by 2.3%. From there Bitcoin ran +44.4% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+41.1%). Verified verbatim from the post itself; CoinDesk reported it the same day.
𝕏 Post“The bottom is in.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all: neutral, permissionless, bearer money. It’s the best hope for the future and hyperbitcoinization is inevitable because continued fiat money printing is an absolute certainty.”
Posted with Bitcoin collapsing below $60k and sentiment at its worst of the year — a flat refusal to revise the thesis. It was the right call to make: from $62,662 price gave up only another −6.5% to $58,566 before turning, ran +38.2% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+35.0%). Not a price target — a hold-through-capitulation stance, and it worked.
𝕏 Post“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Everything is up in the air now. And I think an Omega candle and $1 million Bitcoin is just around the corner, especially with all the buy pressure that is flooding the market now with Saylor through STRC and other Bitcoin treasury company players all coming in”
In the same interview he argued “anything under $120,000, $110,000 I think, is below fair market value.” What followed was the opposite of a melt-up: from $77,367 Bitcoin fell −24.3% to $58,566 first, then ran +11.9% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+9.3%). Five months on there has been no Omega candle and no $1M, price is still below the $110–120k he called fair value, and the “deep discount” got roughly a quarter cheaper before it recovered. Marked against on the timing claim, not the valuation argument.
SourceExpert Says $1 Million Bitcoin and “Omega Candle” Is Just Around the Corner — Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
His most falsifiable call — a level and a deadline. Bitcoin was $69,849 when he posted. Over the four weeks that followed it never once traded above $74,679, and on the deadline date (8 Apr) it closed at $71,662 — comfortably below the $80k he called unlikely, and nowhere near $0.1M. It then fell to $58,566 (−16.2%). Price is +21.1% today at $84,580, but the four-week claim failed on both legs.
𝕏 Post“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run and no one is paying attention.”
A structural claim with a ten-year horizon, so this window can only take its temperature. The post now predates the price window, which starts on 8 March, so the chart anchors at $67,340 rather than his entry price. From there Bitcoin first fell −13.0% to $58,566, then ran +28.6% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+25.6%) — far from anything that settles a decade-long thesis. Logged open: directionally fine so far, unjudgeable on this timeframe.
𝕏 Post“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.comHasil adalah pembacaan kami atas pandangan yang ia nyatakan terhadap harga nyata CoinGecko, bukan penilaiannya sendiri. Setiap kutipan diambil kata demi kata dari sumber yang ditautkan. Tesis Mow secara eksplisit berjangka bertahun-tahun, jadi tanda “berlawanan” di sini berarti klaim jangka pendeknya gagal — ini bukan vonis atas tesis panjangnya, yang tidak bisa diselesaikan grafik mana pun dalam jendela ini.
Mow tidak menjual sinyal, kursus, atau newsletter — yang menghapus konflik paling umum di basis data ini dan menggantinya dengan konflik yang lebih besar dan struktural. Akun X-nya membawa lencana bisnis resmi JAN3, dan pendapatan JAN3 bergantung pada percepatan adopsi Bitcoin. Bacalah pernyataannya sebagai suara publik sebuah perusahaan infrastruktur Bitcoin, bukan suara analis yang netral.
JAN3 menghimpun $21 juta pada 2022 untuk menjual infrastruktur dan konsultasi Bitcoin kepada perusahaan dan pemerintah. Harga lebih tinggi dan adopsi lebih cepat secara langsung menguntungkan bisnis itu, dan ia adalah CEO sekaligus wajah publiknya — konflik paling jelas di halaman ini.
Profilnya dibangun di atas strategi Bitcoin El Salvador dan Volcano Bond, dan JAN3 terus mendekati klien berdaulat. Prediksi bullish tentang adopsi negara sekaligus merupakan presentasi produknya.
Ia tetap CEO studio game Pixelmatic (Infinite Fleet) dan langganan berbayar di sirkuit konferensi Bitcoin, tempat keyakinan maksimalis justru menjadi alasan panggung itu dipesan.
“The bottom is in.”
28 Jun 2026 · tiga hari dan 2,3% sebelum dasar sebenarnya“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
20 Aug 2026 · membaca pelarian dari obligasi panjang“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
11 Mar 2026 · kesalahan yang tetap dicatatKutipan diambil dari sumber publik miliknya sendiri; ini pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
Mow tidak menjalankan kanal trading pribadi — rekam jejak di atas dibangun dari unggahan X bertanggal dan kutipan pers, karena itulah yang membawa stempel waktu yang bisa diverifikasi dan teks yang bisa dikutip persis. Arsip videonya milik perusahaannya: JAN3 menerbitkan materi tesis dan penampilannya.
Bitcoin is the Ninth Wonder of the WorldMateri tesis andalan JAN3 tentang kelangkaan Bitcoin.18 Aug 2026
Who Gets to Change Bitcoin? Samson Mow on BIP-110Mow soal tata kelola protokol dan pertikaian BIP-110.28 Jul 2026
Ideally we wouldn't need a blockchain at allUntuk apa sebenarnya blockchain itu ada.31 Jul 2026
Bitcoin is Energy MoneyKerangka energi-dan-kelangkaan di balik target $1 juta-nya.19 May 2026Seorang pengusaha Tionghoa-Kanada dan pendukung hanya-Bitcoin, CEO perusahaan infrastruktur Bitcoin JAN3 dan studio game Pixelmatic. Sebelumnya ia Chief Strategy Officer di Blockstream dan COO bursa BTCC, dan paling dikenal lewat kiprahnya dalam strategi Bitcoin El Salvador serta target permanennya $1 juta per Bitcoin.
His long-standing target is $1 million per coin, arriving in what he calls an “Omega candle” — a single-day move of more than $100,000 — rather than a gradual climb. In January 2026 he published a specific figure of $1.33M for the year. Bitcoin is around $85,000 as of 3 October 2026, so that target is nowhere in play.
Ia seorang pendukung dan CEO perusahaan, bukan penasihat berlisensi, dan ia tidak menyimpan skenario bearish pada harga berapa pun. Sampel 2026 kami terbelah menurut rezim: pernyataan Juni-nya dekat dasar keruntuhan sangat baik — ia menyebut dasar tiga hari dan 2,3% lebih awal — sementara target empat minggunya di Maret dan “Omega candle di depan mata” pada April sama-sama meleset jauh. Perlakukan ia sebagai komentar berkeyakinan tinggi dengan kepentingan komersial yang jelas, jangan pernah sebagai sinyal trading.
Sisi-pasokan dan absolut: batas 21 juta, kurang dari satu juta koin tersisa untuk ditambang, dan pembeli yang tak sensitif harga (treasury korporat dan negara) menyerap peredaran. Ia menyimpulkan bahwa apa pun di bawah sekitar $110–120 ribu berada di bawah nilai wajar dan penetapan ulang akan datang tiba-tiba. Ia tidak memakai stop, level, atau titik invalidasi.
Seluruh keunggulan Mow adalah menolak berkedip — tanpa stop, tanpa invalidasi, satu arah yang dipegang menembus penurunan 24%. Sedekat apa naluri Anda? Ukur sungguhan dengan Trader Passport.
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Analisis informatif dan edukatif yang sepenuhnya berdasarkan materi yang tersedia untuk umum — unggahan X bertanggal yang diambil dari endpoint sindikasi milik X sendiri dan kutipan yang dikonfirmasi di halaman penerbitnya, ditautkan pada setiap panggilan. Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Samson? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 3 October 2026
