@PeterSchiff
Bear paling banyak dikutip di kripto. Schiff meramalkan krisis perumahan 2008, sudah lima belas tahun menyebut Bitcoin tak bernilai, dan mencari nafkah dengan menjual emas. Kami melacaknya dengan alasan yang sama seperti para bull: ia melontarkan pendapat bertanggal, spesifik, dan bisa diperiksa — dan sebuah pasar juga butuh skeptisnya tercatat.
Singkatnya. Peter Schiff adalah pialang saham, pedagang emas, dan bear permanen. Namanya dibangun lewat prediksi awal yang tepat soal keruntuhan perumahan 2008, dan sejak itu ia berargumen bahwa dolar, pasar obligasi, dan Bitcoin menuju jurang yang sama. Ia menjalankan dealer logam mulia SchiffGold, menjabat kepala ekonom sekaligus ahli strategi global Euro Pacific Capital, dan memiliki perusahaan dana Euro Pacific Asset Management — jadi alternatif yang ia rekomendasikan, emas dan perak fisik, sekaligus bisnisnya. Soal Bitcoin ia bukan trader melainkan sebuah tesis short permanen: jual, harganya akan jauh lebih rendah, beli logam saja. Di jendela ini tesis itu terlalu dini sampai merugikan: ia paling lantang saat harga hanya 4% di atas dasar siklus. Tapi tesis itu juga terbukti dua kali, tepat sebelum grafik dimulai.
Schiff memulai karier sebagai pialang di Shearson Lehman Brothers dan pada 1996 membeli perusahaan pialang kecil yang ia namai ulang Euro Pacific Capital, memimpinnya hingga ia menjualnya pada 2017 — perusahaan itu menjadi Alliance Global Partners, tempat ia tetap menjabat kepala ekonom dan ahli strategi global — sambil membangun perusahaan dananya sendiri, Euro Pacific Asset Management. Reputasinya bertumpu pada satu prediksi yang sangat bagus: pada 2006–07 ia berargumen di televisi AS bahwa pasar perumahan dan bank-bank yang membiayainya akan patah, dan pada 2008 itu terjadi. Klip-klip itu membuatnya terkenal dan memberinya julukan Dr. Doom. Sisa kariernya ia bangun di atas tesis itu — buku (Crash Proof), podcast harian, dan dealer logam mulia SchiffGold yang menjual persis aset yang ia rekomendasikan.
Dua hal harus dicatat berdampingan dengan prediksi 2008. Pertama, mode bear tak pernah dimatikan: keruntuhan dolar dan hiperinflasi yang berulang kali ia ramalkan sejak 2009 belum datang, dan ia menyebut Bitcoin gelembung praktis di setiap harga mulai $1,000 ke atas. Kedua, pada Juni 2022 regulator keuangan Puerto Riko (OCIF) menutup Euro Pacific International Bank miliknya dengan alasan kekurangan modal, menyusul penyelidikan pajak multinegara bernama Operation Atlantis; tidak ada dakwaan yang diumumkan terhadap Schiff, bank, maupun stafnya, dan sejak itu Schiff menggugat IRS dengan dalih penutupan itu direkayasa. Ia juga kehilangan akses ke dompet Bitcoin-nya sendiri pada 2020, dan putranya, Spencer, secara terbuka masuk 100% ke Bitcoin pada 2021 — perdebatan keluarga yang sejak itu ia jalani di depan publik.
Sources: x.com/PeterSchiff · youtube.com/@PeterSchiff · dated coverage (Yahoo Finance, Benzinga, Bitcoin.com, Bitcoinist)
Top-down, permanen bertahan. Schiff bukan chartist dan tidak menradingkan gagasan yang ia sebarkan — ia mempertahankan satu kasus makro (utang, defisit, dolar yang kemahalan, Federal Reserve yang selalu memilih inflasi) dan menurunkan semuanya dari situ. Dalam kerangka itu Bitcoin bukan uang melainkan aset berisiko paling murni: ia seharusnya jatuh paling dalam ketika saham patah, dan ia bersaing dengan emas memperebutkan permintaan uang keras yang sama. Kekuatannya adalah konsistensi dan satu tembakan tepat di 2008. Kelemahannya, tesis tanpa pintu keluar tidak memberi timing: ia sering benar arah tapi bertahun-tahun terlalu cepat, dan bagi siapa pun yang bertindak berdasarkan itu, hasilnya tak bisa dibedakan dari salah.
Se-bearish yang dimungkinkan skala terhadap Bitcoin, dan sudah begitu lebih dari satu dekade. Ia hanya bullish secara struktural pada satu hal: emas dan perak fisik, yang juga ia jual.
Dated, verbatim posts and quotes from Schiff, charted against real price. He is a one-direction commentator, so we grade him the way you would grade a standing short: ok if Bitcoin is now below the price he said it at, warn if a drawdown of 15% or more followed but price has since round-tripped above him, bad if price is above him and the fall he described never showed up. On that rule this window is unkind: his loudest post came within 4% of the exact cycle low. Two honest counterweights, both outside the chart window and both right: on 17 Dec 2025 he wrote “Before a U.S. dollar crash, we will likely get a Bitcoin crash.” with BTC near $79.6k, and on 1–2 Jan 2026 he told viewers to “get rid of your Bitcoin above $87,000.” Bitcoin’s highest close since is $86,597 (22 Sep) — still below his sell level. The window starting 30 Jan flatters him less than his actual year.
“If Bitcoin breaks $50K, which looks likely, it seems highly likely it will at least test $20K.”
Said at $66,427, with an explicit instruction to sell. The post now predates our 210-day price window, so its chart starts on 2 Mar at $65,824. Bitcoin did fall — but only to $58,566 (−11.0% from that anchor), 17% above the $50k he called likely; $20k was never in sight. It has since closed as high as $86,597 (+31.6%) and sits at $84,359, +28.2%. Right that a dip was coming, wrong on every number and wrong on the trade.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “Sell Bitcoin now!”↗ x.com“If you have any Bitcoin, sell it now and buy gold and silver.”
Said at $70,661. Anyone who sold got paid for a while: BTC fell 17.1% to $58,566 over the next eleven weeks. Then it came all the way back and more — a close of $86,597 (+22.6%) on 22 Sep, and $84,359 now, +19.4% above levelnya. A real drawdown followed, so under our rule we log this open rather than against; whether the swap into metals beat holding is a separate question we do not chart here.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — sell Bitcoin, buy gold and silver↗ x.com“Congratulations, Bitcoiners. Bitcoin is finally the uncorrelated asset you’ve hoped it would be.”
His sarcasm — gold up 9%, silver 11%, the NASDAQ 13%, the Russell 2,000 14%, Bitcoin down 11% on the year — landed at $80,025, just ahead of a −26.8% slide to $58,566. For almost four months that made it his best in-window call. It has now round-tripped: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 Sep (+8.2%) and sits at $84,359, +5.4% above where he wrote it. A 15%+ drawdown followed and price then came back above him, so under our rule this moves from played out to open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “the uncorrelated asset you’ve hoped it would be”↗ x.com“There is way too much complacency in Bitcoin for the market to be anywhere near a bottom.”
Said at $71,320, with the target spelled out: break $50K, then “a quick fall below $20K.” The first half worked — BTC fell another 17.9% to $58,566 on 1 Jul, so he was correct that the bottom was not in. The second half did not: $50k held by 17%, and BTC has since closed as high as $86,597 (+21.4%) and is now $84,359, +18.3% above him. Direction yes, magnitude no.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “anywhere near a bottom”↗ x.com“Even $20,000 Bitcoin is low enough to bankrupt MSTR.”
The most confident post of his year — it ends “Have fun being poor.” — arrived at $60,960, which is 3.9% from the exact low of this entire window ($58,566). From there Bitcoin ran as far as $86,597 (+42.1%) and stands today at $84,359 — +38.4% above him. This is the definition of capitulation-bait: maximum bearishness at the bottom.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “Have fun being poor.”↗ x.com“The entire U.S. stock market is overpriced, not just tech. I also expect a much bigger selloff in Bitcoin.”
Said at $63,701 during a tech-stock rout, on the theory that Bitcoin is high-beta and should fall hardest. It did the opposite almost immediately: the deepest dip after this post was −1.5%, and BTC then climbed as high as $86,597 (+35.9%), standing today at $84,359 — +32.4% above him. The “much bigger selloff” has not happened.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “a much bigger selloff in Bitcoin”↗ x.com“AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it.”
A new line of attack: AI competes with Bitcoin for speculative capital, electricity and data-centre capacity, and a powerful enough model might find flaws in its cryptography. The resource argument is at least testable; the code-vulnerability part comes with no specific flaw named. Posted at $77,081; BTC dipped no more than −1.9% after it, closed as high as $86,597 (+12.3%) and is $84,359 now, +9.4%. Price has gone against him so far, but the claim is structural, with no level or date, so we keep it open rather than grade it on five weeks.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it.”↗ x.com“Energy expenditures are not backing. The energy is gone, the money spent is gone, so there is none left to back Bitcoin.”
Not a price call — an argument, made to Bitcoiner Jeff Swanson, that proof-of-work leaves nothing behind: gold survives the miner, electricity does not. Posted at $79,671. It went his way briefly — BTC dipped 5.1% to $75,590 on 16 Sep — then turned, closing as high as $86,597 (+8.7%); it is $84,359 now, +5.9% above him. Three weeks is a mood, not a verdict, and he named no level, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “there is none left to back Bitcoin”↗ x.com“Yes, it's very clear that Bitcoin is worthless. No act of Congress is necessary.”
His reply to Anthony Pompliano after the CLARITY Act failed its Senate cloture vote. Posted at $75,590, the lowest close since 21 Aug. Bitcoin has not closed below it since: it ran to $86,597 (+14.6%) within a week and is $84,359 now, +11.6% above him. Against him so far, but eleven days old with no level named, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “very clear that Bitcoin is worthless”↗ x.com“The news is actually bearish for Bitcoin, which must now compete with tokenized securities.”
The SEC's tokenized-stock announcement sent Bitcoin up the day before; Schiff wrote that the rally “makes no sense”, arguing tokens backed by profitable, dividend-paying companies are a better store of value than one “backed by nothing.” Posted at $80,874. Three days later BTC closed at $86,597 (+7.1%); it has not closed below levelnya since and is $84,359 now, +4.3%. Against him so far, but eight days is too short to grade, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — the SEC tokenized-stock rally “makes no sense”↗ x.com“Now he's buying back some of what he sold for over $80K per Bitcoin. It won't be long before he's selling at lower prices again.”
Aimed at Michael Saylor: Strategy's last selling spree got about $62,150 per Bitcoin, he wrote, and it is now buying back above $80K. The call inside it is that Bitcoin will be lower when Strategy next sells. It landed on the day of the highest close in this window, $86,597; BTC has since dipped to $84,076 (−2.9%) and is $84,359 now, −2.6%. Going his way, but five days old and tied to Strategy's next sale rather than a level, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — Strategy “selling at lower prices again”↗ x.comPenilaian adalah pembacaan kami atas sikap yang ia nyatakan terhadap harga nyata, bukan penilaiannya sendiri. Setiap kutipan di bawah verbatim — unggahan X diambil dari teks dan tanggal unggahan itu sendiri, kutipan artikel dikonfirmasi ada di halaman sebelum dipakai. Level yang ia sebut penting: ia berulang kali mengaitkan tesisnya dengan Bitcoin menembus $50,000 menuju $20,000. Di jendela ini titik terendahnya $58,566 — penembusan $50k tak pernah terjadi. Penilaian jangka pendek bisa berbalik.
Schiff adalah komentator langka yang konflik kepentingannya terbuka sepenuhnya: ia menyuruh Anda menjual Bitcoin dan membeli emas, dan ia pemilik dealer emas. Itu tidak membuatnya salah — tapi berarti rekomendasi dan sumber pendapatan adalah kalimat yang sama.
Ia memiliki dealer emas dan perak fisik. Setiap unggahan bernada «jual Bitcoin, beli logam» menunjuk ke produk yang ia jual sendiri — insentif paling langsung dari siapa pun di basis data ini.
Perusahaan dananya, ditambah peran kepala ekonom dan ahli strategi global di Euro Pacific Capital (dijual pada 2017, kini divisi Alliance Global Partners). Keduanya dibangun di sekitar tesis saham luar negeri dan aset keras yang sama yang ia suarakan di publik.
Podcast The Peter Schiff Show, kanal YouTube, dan buku (Crash Proof dan lainnya). Perhatian adalah kanal distribusi bagi dua bisnis di atas, dan konfrontasi mendatangkan perhatian.
“Sell Bitcoin now!”
19 Feb 2026 · seluruh tesis dalam tiga kata“Volatility is a feature, not a bug.”
19 Feb 2026 · mengolok pembelaan standar“It's the Bitcoin HODLers who have left a lot of money on the table by not selling!”
23 Aug 2026 · mengakui bisa saja untung, lalu menaikkan taruhanKutipan ditranskripsi dari video publiknya sendiri; pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
Schiff mengunggah beberapa video setiap minggu — makro dulu, Bitcoin sebagai sasaran berulang. Episode terbaru dari kanalnya:
The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is BrokenKasus utang dan defisit yang menjadi asal semua argumen lainnya.20 Aug 2026
Everything I Warned You About Just Happened... All in One WeekRapor buatannya sendiri atas pekan yang bergejolak — layak dicek terhadap grafik di atas.08 Aug 2026
Japan Is About to Pop the Biggest Bubble in History... And It Takes Us With ItTekanan di pasar obligasi global sebagai pemicu yang ia harapkan bagi aset berisiko.26 Jul 2026
The Bond Market Breakdown Has Started... Stocks, Housing, Crypto Are NextKerangka penularan di balik prediksi Bitcoin-nya pada Juli.11 Jul 2026Seorang pialang saham, pedagang emas, dan komentator ekonomi asal Amerika, berjuluk Dr. Doom. Ia menjalankan dealer logam mulia SchiffGold, menjabat kepala ekonom dan ahli strategi global Euro Pacific Capital, serta memiliki Euro Pacific Asset Management. Ia paling dikenal karena memperingatkan di televisi AS pada 2006–07 bahwa pasar perumahan dan bank-bank yang membiayainya akan runtuh — yang terjadi pada 2008.
Yes, and this page shows it. On 17 Dec 2025 he warned a Bitcoin crash would precede a dollar crash, with BTC near $79.6k; on 1 Jan 2026 he told viewers to get rid of Bitcoin above $87,000 — its highest close since is $86,597, still below it. Inside our chart window his 8 May 2026 post came just ahead of a 26.8% fall, though Bitcoin has since recovered above that level too. His problem is not direction, it is timing and magnitude: he was equally loud 3.9% from the low.
Tidak terverifikasi publik. Estimasi yang beredar sangat bervariasi dan tak satu pun dikonfirmasi oleh Schiff atau dokumen resmi — anggap setiap angka spesifik sebagai tebakan. Pendapatannya berasal dari SchiffGold, Euro Pacific Asset Management, perannya di Euro Pacific Capital, buku, dan media.
Ia berargumen bahwa uang harus punya nilai guna non-moneter, yang dimiliki emas dan tidak dimiliki Bitcoin, dan bahwa Bitcoin berperilaku seperti aset berisiko ber-beta tinggi alih-alih lindung nilai. Perhatikan insentif di samping argumennya: dialah yang menjual alternatifnya. Ia juga kehilangan akses ke dompet Bitcoin-nya sendiri pada 2020, dan putranya Spencer masuk 100% ke Bitcoin pada 2021.
Memperlakukannya sebagai sinyal terbalik yang andal sama malasnya dengan mengikutinya buta, dan jendela ini menunjukkan sebabnya: ia benar di puncak Mei dan salah di dasar Juni, dengan nada yang hanya berjarak empat hari. Ia komentator dengan konflik kepentingan terbuka, bukan penasihat. Baca rekam bertanggal di atas dan putuskan sendiri.
Schiff adalah skeptis resmi pasar: satu tesis, dipertahankan melewati segalanya, dijual dengan keyakinan penuh. Seberapa banyak itu ada dalam diri Anda — ukur sungguhan dengan Trader Passport.
Kini uji pembacaan Anda sendiri. Ukur keunggulan Anda pada data pasar langsung — tanpa modal berisiko — di turnamen BuyCrypt gratis dengan hadiah nyata.
Analisis informatif dan edukatif yang sepenuhnya berbasis materi publik — unggahan X bertanggal milik Peter Schiff sendiri (dikutip verbatim) dan liputan pihak ketiga bertanggal, ditautkan di setiap prediksi. Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Peter? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 27 September 2026
