@Kev_Capital_TA
A cycle-roadmap chartist who called the 2026 Bitcoin bear market as a counter-trend story from the start, then read the turn in July. Seven dated calls: four played out, two are still open, one went against. The miss is his own downside target: in late July he still expected Bitcoin to reach $56,000–$44,000. It never closed below $62,773.
Singkatnya. Kevin, yang menerbitkan konten sebagai Kev Capital TA, memiliki sekitar 25,000 pengikut di X (di platform sejak Desember 2015) dan mengelola kanal YouTube dengan sekitar 6,000 pelanggan. Bionya mencantumkan gelar sarjana Keuangan (B.S.) dan menyebutnya analis teknikal dan fundamental. Kerangka kerjanya adalah peta jalan Bitcoin multi-fase yang dibangun di atas 200 EMA/SMA dua harian, level Fibonacci, dan indikator aliran dana. Dalam periode yang kami tinjau, ia benar bahwa reli Ethereum pada Mei adalah pantulan kontra-tren, benar bahwa bear melemah pada pertengahan Juli, dan benar soal breakout September. Ia keliru soal seberapa dalam dasarnya.
Kev Capital TA tidak mencantumkan nama belakang. Profil X-nya bernama “Kevin”, dan bionya berbunyi “Sarjana Keuangan (B.S.) | Analis Teknikal & Fundamental. Mendaki Gunung & Membantu Trader Menemukan Pembalikan, Level Kunci & Setup Trading”. Benzinga, yang telah memberitakan beberapa podcast-nya, menyebutnya “analis kripto Kevin” dan “Kevin Capital”. Kami tidak menemukan catatan independen tentang gelar tersebut atau riwayat pekerjaan profesional apa pun, dan tidak ada isi halaman ini yang bergantung pada keduanya.
Akun X @Kev_Capital_TA dibuat pada Desember 2015 dan memiliki sekitar 25,400 pengikut serta lebih dari 26,000 unggahan (28 Sep 2026). Akun ini memiliki centang biru berbayar (tipe “individual”), bukan lencana organisasi. Akun ini menautkan ke kanal YouTube @Kev_Capital_TA, yang memiliki sekitar 5,970 pelanggan dan 241 video. Deskripsi kanal itu sendiri menautkan kembali ke Patreon yang sama, dan dari situlah kami mencocokkan keduanya.
Kanal ini membahas lebih dari kripto. Dalam periode yang kami tinjau, jumlah video tentang S&P 500, Nvidia, SoFi, ServiceNow, dan perak sama banyaknya dengan video tentang Bitcoin. Halaman ini hanya menilai prediksi Bitcoin dan Ethereum.
A note on sources. Three calls come from his own X posts, fetched in full. Three come from articles quoting his podcasts (NewsBTC and Benzinga). One is a YouTube video title, checked against YouTube's oEmbed record. This server cannot pull YouTube transcripts, so where only a title is available, only the title is graded.
Sources: x.com/Kev_Capital_TA · youtube.com/@Kev_Capital_TA · Benzinga · NewsBTC · CoinGecko
Peta jalan dulu, level kemudian. Kevin menyusun peta jalan Bitcoin multi-fase, lalu melacak harga terhadapnya, video demi video. Titik-titik pemeriksaannya adalah moving average: 200 EMA/SMA dua harian (“rintangan terakhir”), SMA 50 minggu, dan 4H 200. Ia menambahkan golden pocket Fibonacci, aliran dana paus, dan dominasi stablecoin. Ia menyarankan pengikutnya melakukan dollar-cost averaging alih-alih menunggu titik masuk sempurna, dan ia sendiri mengikuti saran itu: pada bulan Juli ia membeli Bitcoin sambil masih memperkirakan titik terendah yang lebih rendah. Kelemahannya ada pada target harga. Zona dasar $44,000–$56,000 miliknya keliru, meskipun jendela waktu Juli hingga Oktober tepat.
Bearish hingga hati-hati sepanjang musim semi, menyebut setiap reli sebagai kontra-tren. Beralih konstruktif pada awal Juli sambil tetap memperkirakan satu titik terendah lagi. Sepenuhnya bullish sejak pertengahan September, dengan perkiraan koreksi “gelombang 2” setelah dorongan ke $93.5K–$100K.
Seven dated calls charted against real CoinGecko price. Three are his own X posts, fetched in full. Three are from podcasts, quoted word for word by NewsBTC and Benzinga. One is the title of one of his YouTube videos. We read his X posts and videos back to the start of our price window, and every upload since, and charted the calls that name a Bitcoin or Ethereum direction or level. Titles that ask a question or repeat a call we already charted are listed in the library below.
“Every major indicator is now signaling the bitcoin:native bear market is over. All of them.”
Posted at 02:10 UTC with Bitcoin at $84,449. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.4%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.3%). It is $83,593 today (−1.0%). A regime call, so the test is the months ahead, not the first two weeks. He set his own line on 5 Oct: Bitcoin would have to break down through $83K–$77K and then $75K–$67K “to be bearish again”. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“Every major indicator is now signaling the … bear market is over” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 28 Sep 2026↗ x.com“If bitcoin:native can hold $83K–$77K while short-term indicators reset, I think a push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely before a more durable 10%–20% wave-2 correction that sets the macro higher low.”
Posted with Bitcoin at $84,378. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.5%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.2%), still inside his $83K–$77K hold zone. It is $83,593 today (−0.9%). $93,500 is 10.8% above the call. He repeated the same path on 2 Oct and 9 Oct. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“A push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 25 Sep 2026↗ x.com“Break and hold $78K–$83.7K with escape velocity. Daily trend is already flipped.”
Bitcoin was $76,819, just under the two-day 200 EMA/SMA band he called “the last hurdle”. The same post said: “Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.” The dip was small, to $75,590 on 16 Sep (−1.6%). Bitcoin then closed above the top of the band on 22 Sep, at $86,597 (+12.7%). It is $83,593 today, +8.8% above the call and just under the top of the band. Graded played out.
𝕏 Post“This is the last hurdle” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 14 Sep 2026↗ x.com“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
Bitcoin was $65,344, and $56,000 was 14.3% below. The lowest close after the call was $62,773 on 2 Aug (−3.9%). Bitcoin then rose to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+32.5%) and is $83,593 today, +27.9% above the call. Graded went against. His advice in the same podcast held up better than his target: “I’m still buying Bitcoin at these levels,” he said, and he warned that waiting for the low “is dangerous”.
Source“Bitcoin to $44,000? Maybe, but Don't Wait for the ‘Perfect Bottom’” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 27 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“ETHEREUM IS GETTING MORE BULLISH EVERY WEEK | ZOOM OUT AND DON'T BECOME A PERMA BEAR”
Ethereum was $1,774, and it never closed lower. It climbed to $2,775 on 22 Sep (+56.4%) and is $2,542 today, +43.3% above the call. The best-timed call on this page. Graded played out.
“Ethereum Is Getting More Bullish Every Week” — Kev Capital TA (YouTube, 14 Jul 2026)▶ Tonton prediksinya · youtu.be/exmKn9fvHkE“the Bitcoin bears are finally getting weaker”
Bitcoin was $63,747, twelve days after its $58,566 low of 1 Jul. It closed at $62,279 the next day (−2.3%) and not lower after that. It reached $86,597 on 22 Sep (+35.8%) and is $83,593 today, +31.1% above the call. Graded played out. In the same podcast he said Bitcoin could still revisit $44,000–$56,000, the view he repeated on 27 Jul.
Source“Bitcoin Bears Are Getting Weaker Despite Drop to $62,000” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 13 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“Until that happens, it’s still a higher counter-trend rally within a higher time frame downtrend.”
With Ethereum at $2,351, he said the rally from about $1,700 was a counter-trend bounce until ETH reclaimed $2,800 and retested it. It never did. Ethereum peaked at $2,370 on 11 May and fell to $1,566 on 26 Jun (−33.4%). No close above $2,800 since; the high is $2,775 on 22 Sep (+18.0%). Ethereum is $2,542 today, +8.1% above the call. Graded played out.
Source“Ethereum To $10,000? Analyst Says ETH Must Clear This Level First” — Kevin's 7 May market update, via NewsBTC↗ newsbtc.comHasil merupakan penilaian kami atas setiap prediksi, diukur terhadap harga riil CoinGecko — bukan penilaian Kevin sendiri. Baris “$1,000 diinvestasikan” di bawah setiap grafik adalah angka beli-dan-tahan sejak hari prediksi. Dua prediksi mengharapkan harga lebih rendah: prediksi Ethereum 7 Mei dan target $56K–$44K pada 27 Juli. Untuk keduanya, angka yang naik berarti pasar bergerak berlawanan dengan prediksi.
Analisis gratis di X dan YouTube, dengan Patreon berbayar dan Discord premium di baliknya, serta tautan referral bursa.
Bio X-nya menautkan ke patreon.com/KevCapitalTA. Kanal YouTube-nya menggambarkannya sebagai “salah satu komunitas kripto terbesar di seluruh dunia kripto” yang menawarkan “analisis eksklusif kelas atas dari saya untuk semua pasar”, dengan akses ke “Patreon sekaligus Discord Premium”. Patreon memblokir permintaan kami, sehingga kami tidak dapat melihat harga tiap tingkatan atau jumlah anggotanya.
Deskripsi kanal mempromosikan Bitunix dengan tautan referral, menggambarkannya sebagai bursa untuk trading spot dan leverage dengan “biaya lebih rendah dan hadiah USDT tanpa perlu VPN atau KYC”. Tautan referral berarti ia mendapat penghasilan saat penonton mendaftar dan bertrading. Bursa yang diiklankan tanpa KYC mungkin tidak berizin di tempat Anda tinggal.
Ia menyatakan secara terbuka bahwa ia membeli Bitcoin (“Saya masih membeli Bitcoin di level-level ini”, 27 Jul) dan membuka posisi long Ethereum pada bulan September. Tidak ada pernyataan kepemilikan aset yang dipublikasikan, jadi asumsikan ia memegang aset yang ia bahas.
“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
27 Jul 2026 · Bitcoin tidak pernah ditutup di bawah $62,773“Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.”
14 Sep 2026 · Bitcoin menembus rintangan $83.7K miliknya delapan hari kemudian“Analysis is not for pinpointing perfect entries. It’s for limiting your downside risk.”
27 Jul 2026 · apa yang ia katakan kepada audiensnya tentang targetnya sendiriKutipan ditranskripsikan dari sumber publiknya sendiri; ini pandangan yang ia sampaikan, bukan rekomendasi.
Judul-judul YouTube bertanggal dan terverifikasi ini tidak dipetakan dalam grafik, karena berupa pertanyaan, mengulang prediksi yang sudah kami petakan, atau terlalu baru. Berikut pergerakan harganya:
THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET IS HERE ‼️THIS IS WHERE BITCOIN GOES NEXT 👀A regime call three weeks old. Bitcoin was $81,169 and is $83,593 today (+3.0%). The 25 September target post, which is charted, covers the same view.21 Sep 2026
BITCOIN TO SOAR TO 150K-215K BEFORE THE NEXT HALVING‼️The next halving is about two years away. Bitcoin was $76,371 and is $83,593 today (+9.5%). Too long-dated to grade yet.18 Sep 2026
THE TIME TO BE OVERLY BEARISH ON BITCOIN IS OVER | YOU'RE MAKING A MISTAKEThe same view as the charted 13 July call, so it is not counted twice. Bitcoin was $64,670 and is up 29.3% since.20 Jul 2026
A BOTTOM IS GETTING CLOSER ON BITCOIN | DO NOT BECOME A PERMA BEARBitcoin was $63,586, five days after the 1 July low. Its lowest close after that was $62,247 (−2.1%). It is up 31.5% since.06 Jul 2026
85K OR 48K FIRST FOR BITCOIN?A question, so not graded, and now older than the start of our price window. Bitcoin reached neither: the low was $58,566 on 1 July and $85K was first passed on 22 September.12 Mar 2026Kev Capital TA adalah nama akun seorang analis yang mengunggah sebagai “Kevin” di X (@Kev_Capital_TA, sekitar 25,000 pengikut, di X sejak Desember 2015) dan mengelola kanal YouTube dengan sekitar 6,000 pelanggan. Bionya mencantumkan gelar sarjana Keuangan (B.S.). Ia membahas Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoin, dan saham AS, serta mengelola Patreon dan Discord berbayar.
Seven dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls inside our price window. Four played out: Ethereum's May rally as counter-trend (ETH then fell 33.4%), the bears weakening in mid-July (Bitcoin +35.8% at best), a bullish Ethereum call at $1,774 (+56.4% at best), and the September break of his $78K–$83.7K hurdle. One went against him: his 27 July target of $56,000–$44,000, which never came. Two are still open: a $93.5K–$100K target from 25 September, and his 28 September post that the Bitcoin bear market is over.
Dalam sampel ini, bacaannya atas arah tren bagus, tetapi target harga dasarnya tidak. Ia juga menyarankan pengikutnya membeli secara bertahap alih-alih menunggu targetnya, dan bagian itulah yang berhasil. Ia menjual Patreon dan mempromosikan tautan referral bursa. Perlakukan setiap prediksi sebagai opini bertanggal, bukan sinyal.
Melalui Patreon berbayar dengan Discord premium, serta tautan referral bursa Bitunix di deskripsi kanal YouTube-nya. Kami tidak dapat melihat harga Patreon.
Terutama 200 EMA dan SMA dua harian, SMA 50 minggu, golden pocket Fibonacci, aliran dana paus, dominasi stablecoin, dan heatmap likuiditas, yang disusun menjadi peta jalan siklus Bitcoin multi-fase.
Kevin membaca tren dengan moving average jangka panjang dan membeli secara bertahap alih-alih menunggu titik terendah yang sempurna. Seberapa dekat itu dengan insting Anda? Ukur secara nyata dengan Trader Passport.
Membeli bertahap atau target yang kaku: hanya rekam jejak yang bisa menjawab. Uji bacaan Anda sendiri dengan data pasar riil, tanpa mempertaruhkan modal, dalam turnamen BuyCrypt gratis berhadiah nyata.
Analisis informatif dan edukatif yang sepenuhnya didasarkan pada materi yang tersedia untuk publik: unggahan X bertanggal dan judul YouTube milik Kevin sendiri, laporan Benzinga dan NewsBTC tentang podcast-nya (masing-masing ditautkan pada prediksinya), profil publiknya, dan data harga CoinGecko. Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Kevin? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 12 October 2026
