@DTAPCAP
Manajer investasi global macro kawakan yang kini memimpin 50T Funds, firma growth equity yang hanya berinvestasi di perusahaan kripto. Di X, Tapiero mengunggah catatan makro yang singkat dan tajam — Fed, yen, imbal hasil — yang sering diakhiri dengan level Bitcoin atau Ethereum. Level-level itulah yang diperiksa halaman ini.
Singkatnya. Dan Tapiero founded 50T Funds in 2021; the firm says it manages $1.4Bn in private digital-asset companies. Before crypto, a CoinDesk speaker bio lists macro roles at Tiger Management, Duquesne, Steinhardt and SAC Capital, and the founding of DTAP Capital and Gold Bullion International. On X (about 138K followers) the calls are conditional and level-based: “break of X heads to Y.” On this page: seven dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls from March to October 2026. The late-August “Big Low is in” call has held so far; a May post calling $160K “only a double” was followed by a 28.6% fall. An October post called $100K a “chip shot”, and Bitcoin fell after it.
Menurut biografi pembicara CoinDesk Consensus 2025, Tapiero adalah “a macro-focused investor at firms including Duquesne Capital Management, SAC Capital Advisors, Tiger Management and Steinhardt Management Co.”, dan mendirikan DTAP Capital, Gold Bullion International, serta Agricultural Company of America (AGCoA). Biografi yang sama mencantumkan kursi dewan di Ledger, Ledn, Zenrock Labs, dan Quicknode. Bio X merangkumnya sebagai “Macro PM-20yrs” dan “Btc+Bullion hodler.”
50T Funds — merek untuk 50T Holdings dan 10T Holdings, keduanya penasihat terdaftar di SEC — “founded in 2021 by Dan Tapiero” dan berinvestasi di perusahaan kripto tahap pertumbuhan. Situs firma menyebut $1.4Bn dana kelolaan, lima angkatan dana, dan 22 perusahaan portofolio (50tfunds.com, 29 September 2026). Akun X Tapiero rutin mempromosikan tema “DAE” (ekosistem aset digital) dan perusahaan portofolio 50T.
Prediksi makronya tidak selalu tepat, dan Tapiero mengakuinya. Pada 3 September 2026 Tapiero mengunggah “Almost zero chance Fed hikes in Sept.”; setelah Fed menaikkan suku bunga, unggahan 16 September berbunyi: “Was wrong on Fed pause call.” Kekeliruan itu tidak dipetakan (bukan prediksi harga), tetapi tetap bagian dari rekam jejak. Tapiero tidak pernah menyatakan kata ganti secara publik, jadi halaman ini memakai bentuk netral.
Sources: x.com/DTAPCAP · 50tfunds.com · CoinDesk Consensus 2025 speaker bio
Makro dari atas ke bawah, lalu level. Tapiero memulai dari suku bunga, Fed, dolar, dan yen, lalu menyebut pemicu bersyarat untuk Bitcoin atau Ethereum: “break of 2250 heads back to 3300”, “85k break gets us to 100k pronto.” Format ini membuat prediksinya bisa diuji, tetapi targetnya besar dan kata-kata soal waktu (“pronto”, “right back”) terlalu optimistis. Unggahannya juga terang-terangan bullish: Tapiero memiliki Bitcoin, mengelola dana kripto, dan mengakuinya secara terbuka.
Sangat bullish. Sejak akhir Agustus, unggahannya menyatakan dasar harga sudah terbentuk dan fase bull baru telah dimulai, dengan $100K lalu $120K sebagai level Bitcoin berikutnya.
Seven dated calls from Tapiero's own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. Most of the posts are macro commentary with no level; we charted the ones that name a Bitcoin or Ethereum price or a clear direction.
“BTC. Textbook Cup and handle. 100k chip shot now. Really looks good.”
Tapiero repeated the cup-and-handle read and called $100K a “chip shot now”. The post went up at 21:19 UTC, after the chart's 4 Oct point of $84,743; the screenshot attached to it shows Bitcoin at about $86,014, and the next daily point, 5 Oct, was $86,490. That turned out to be the high. Bitcoin then slid, and on 15 October it was $80,978: −6.4% from the 5 Oct point and −4.4% from the chart point. $100K has not been reached. Open, and so far moving the wrong way.
𝕏 Post“Oh boy.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“2yr yield excessive. We don't need more hikes. Bullish Nasdaq, gold, btc, dae into year end.”
A direction call with no level. Tapiero argued that the 2-year yield was too high and the Fed needed no more hikes, then called Bitcoin higher, along with Nasdaq, gold and the DAE theme, “into year end”. BTC was $84,842. It rose to $86,490 (+1.9%) on 5 Oct, then fell, and on 15 October it was $80,978 (−4.6%). The horizon is the end of December, so the call is open.
𝕏 Post“What inflation?” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“Solid break of 100k goes right back to 120k. Could even be this year.”
A conditional call with BTC at $81,169, after what Tapiero called a textbook cup-and-handle breakout. The next day Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+6.7%), its high since; on 15 October it was $80,978 (−0.2%), back below the level at the time of the post. The $100K trigger has not come, so neither has the $120K test. Open.
𝕏 Post“Pretty straightforward for BTC. Textbook cup and handle breakup.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“US short rates lower support btc break up. 85k break gets us to 100k pronto.”
BTC di $77,297. Harga turun ke $75,590 (−2.2%) pada 16 September, lalu ditutup di atas $85K pada 22 September di $86,597 (+12.0%). Bagian “pronto” tidak terjadi: Bitcoin kembali melemah dan kini di $80,978 (+4.8%), tanpa menyentuh $100K. Premis makro dalam unggahan yang sama — tidak ada kenaikan suku bunga Fed di September — keliru, seperti yang kemudian diakui Tapiero. Terbuka.
𝕏 Post“Getting ready to rock n' roll.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“Pointless to call day to day. Big Low is in.”
Setelah Bitcoin menembus rata-rata 50, 100, dan 200 hari dalam beberapa hari, Tapiero menyatakan dasar telah terbentuk. BTC di $77,712. Titik terendah musim panas di $58,566 (1 Juli) belum disentuh lagi; penutupan terendah sejak unggahan adalah $75,590 (−2.7%). BTC memuncak di $86,597 (+11.4%) pada 22 September dan kini di $80,978 (+4.2%). Unggahan yang sama menyebut “greatest amount of pain” adalah kembalinya harga ke $100K seketika — bagian itu belum terjadi. Sejauh ini terbukti.
𝕏 Post“Extremely momentous break up in btc and complex.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“Trump knows voters will determine the elections in November. BTC 160k is only a double.”
The miss. Tapiero tied a $160K Bitcoin to the November US elections with BTC at $82,018 — its high for the next four months. It fell to $58,566 on 1 Jul (−28.6%). It went above the call level only in late September, peaking at $86,597 (+5.6%), and on 15 October it was back below it at $80,978 (−1.3%), a long way from $160K. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Voters own bitcoin, eth, sol, alts, crypto.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.com“And eth holding well. Along with btc feels sold out..ie we've been going down for almost 7 months. Break of 2250 heads back to 3300.”
Posted on X on 9 March, a day that has since rolled out of this chart's price window, so the chart now anchors at $2,140 on 20 March. The $2,250 trigger came within days, on 17 March, also before the window opens. The $3,300 target did not follow. From the anchor ETH fell to $1,566 (−26.8%) on 26 Jun, recovered to $2,775 (+29.7%) on 22 Sep, and was $2,362 (+10.4%) on 15 October. The break-to-$3,300 path failed once and the target is still unmet. Open.
𝕏 Post“Just an ol guy watching price action.” — @DTAPCAP on X↗ x.comHasil adalah pembacaan kami atas isi setiap unggahan, diukur terhadap harga riil CoinGecko — bukan penilaian Tapiero sendiri. Baris “$1,000 in” di bawah setiap grafik adalah angka beli-dan-tahan sejak hari prediksi. Prediksi bersyarat (“break of X gets to Y”) tetap terbuka selama target belum tercapai dan pemicunya belum jelas gagal.
Penghasilan Tapiero berasal dari bisnis dana, bukan dari akun X: tidak ada newsletter atau kursus berbayar. Konflik kepentingan: dana tersebut dan Tapiero pribadi sama-sama memegang posisi long pada aset yang dibahas.
Pendiri dan CEO 50T Funds (50T Holdings dan 10T Holdings, penasihat terdaftar di SEC), yang berinvestasi di perusahaan kripto swasta. Firma ini menyebut $1.4Bn dana kelolaan dan 22 perusahaan portofolio. Harga kripto yang lebih tinggi menguntungkan portofolionya, dan unggahan di X rutin mempromosikan “@50TFunds portfolio companies.”
Biografi CoinDesk Consensus 2025 mencantumkan kursi dewan di Ledger, Ledn, Zenrock Labs, dan Quicknode.
Bio X berbunyi “Btc+Bullion hodler”. Pada 7 September 2026 Tapiero mengunggah: “Own btc eth sol and the businesses building this new future.” Prediksi di halaman ini berasal dari seorang pemegang aset.
“Pointless to call day to day. Big Low is in.”
24 Aug 2026 · diunggah di $77,712; titik terendah Juli bertahan sejak itu“Was wrong on Fed pause call.”
16 Sep 2026 · setelah Fed menaikkan suku bunga, dua minggu setelah menyebut kenaikan hampir mustahil“Own btc eth sol and the businesses building this new future.”
07 Sep 2026 · pandangan portofolio di balik unggahanKutipan diambil dari sumber publik miliknya sendiri; ini pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
Tidak ada kanal YouTube atau pustaka video untuk ditautkan di sini. Prediksi publik Tapiero berupa unggahan singkat di X, dan setiap prediksi di grafik tertaut langsung ke unggahannya.
Pendiri dan CEO 50T Funds, firma growth equity yang berinvestasi di perusahaan kripto dan menyebut mengelola $1.4Bn. Sebelumnya investor makro di Tiger Management, Duquesne, Steinhardt, dan SAC Capital, serta pendiri DTAP Capital dan Gold Bullion International.
In September 2026 Tapiero posted that an 85K break gets Bitcoin to 100K “pronto”, and that a solid break of 100K “goes right back to 120k. Could even be this year.” In October Tapiero called Bitcoin higher “into year end” and $100K “a chip shot now”. All four calls are still open on this page.
Of seven dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls from March to October 2026: one played out (the 24 Aug “Big Low is in”), five are still open, and one — a May post calling $160K “only a double” — was followed by a 28.6% fall. Tapiero also publicly admitted being wrong on a September Fed call. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Melalui 50T Funds, yang berinvestasi di perusahaan kripto swasta. Tapiero secara pribadi memegang Bitcoin dan kripto lainnya serta duduk di dewan beberapa perusahaan kripto.
Tapiero membaca Fed, suku bunga, dan dolar terlebih dahulu, baru kemudian memilih level breakout. Seberapa dekat insting Anda — ukur secara nyata dengan Trader Passport.
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Analisis informasi dan edukasi yang sepenuhnya didasarkan pada materi publik (unggahan X bertanggal milik Tapiero, situs web 50T Funds, dan biografi pembicara CoinDesk Consensus 2025, yang ditautkan di halaman ini). Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Tapiero? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 15 October 2026
