@crypto_birb
Analis teknikal asal Polandia dengan sekitar 712K pengikut di X yang memperdagangkan Bitcoin berdasarkan siklus empat tahunan, tren 200 hari, dan kalender. Pada Juli 2025 dia mengatakan akan keluar dari kripto menjelang bear market 2026; pada Agustus 2026 dia menulis bahwa “bear market sudah berakhir”. Halaman ini memeriksa level-level yang dia sebutkan sejak itu.
Singkatnya. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
Adrian Zduńczyk menciptakan nama dan merek “Crypto Birb”, menurut profil mpost.io, yang menggambarkannya sebagai analis pasar serta pendiri dan CEO The Birb Nest. Akun X (@crypto_birb, nama tampilan “₿IRB”) dibuat pada Agustus 2017 dan memiliki lebih dari 123,000 unggahan.
Pada 9 Juli 2025 dia menjelaskan secara terbuka bahwa dia sedang keluar dari kripto: “Puncak siklus selalu terjadi pada tahun setelah pemilu AS”, “2026 adalah tahun pemilu paruh waktu”, dan “Pendapat saya: puncak pada Juli atau akhir Oktober/awal November.” Dia mengatakan akan “berupaya masuk kembali ke kripto pada Q4 2026 atau awal 2027”. Unggahan itu berada di luar rentang harga halaman ini, sehingga tidak digambarkan di grafik, tetapi garis besarnya terbukti: Bitcoin mencapai puncak pada Oktober 2025, dan dalam data kami mencapai dasar di $58,566 pada 1 Juli 2026.
Metodenya adalah analisis teknikal klasik — target pola, support dan resistance, tren 200 hari, dan golden cross — dipadukan dengan tabel musiman (“September di tahun pemilu paruh waktu tidak pernah ditutup hijau. Sampai hari ini.”). Banyak unggahan diakhiri dengan pertanyaan kepada pengikut dan pernyataan tegas “Saya sama sekali tidak tahu”, sehingga beberapa prediksi di halaman ini berupa skenario, bukan target tunggal.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
Analis teknikal siklus dan musiman. Dia menyebutkan support dan resistance, mengukur target pola (“mengambil ukuran dasar pola dan menambahkannya ke resistance”), dan mengandalkan statistik siklus halving dan kalender untuk gambaran yang lebih besar. Kekuatan dalam sampel ini adalah zona support: harga mengujinya lalu memantul. Kelemahannya untuk papan skor adalah banyak unggahan memaparkan dua kemungkinan sekaligus, sehingga tidak bisa dinilai jelas benar atau salah.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comHasil adalah pembacaan kami atas isi setiap unggahan, diukur terhadap harga penutupan harian riil CoinGecko — bukan penilaiannya sendiri. Level diperiksa terhadap penutupan harian, sehingga sentuhan intraday mungkin melangkah lebih jauh daripada angka yang diberikan. “Masih terbuka” berarti prediksi menyebut level atau jangka waktu yang belum tercapai atau belum ditembus.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
Mereknya untuk analisis, edukasi, dan konsultasi, dengan kanal YouTube dan situs web. Unggahan lama mencakup ulasan bursa dan proyek yang disponsori.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · BTC naik 11.4% tanpa mengembalikan kenaikannya“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Bitcoin mencapai puncak pada Oktober 2025“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · pembacaannya atas bear market 2026Kutipan ditranskripsi dari sumber publiknya sendiri; pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
Tidak ada video pasar terbaru untuk ditautkan di sini. Unggahan kanal YouTube The Birb Nest dalam rentang ini mempromosikan program Millionaire Speedrun, dan setiap prediksi di grafik tertaut ke unggahannya di X.
Adrian Zduńczyk, chartered market technician (CMT) asal Polandia dan pendiri The Birb Nest, yang mengunggah sebagai @crypto_birb di X kepada sekitar 712K pengikut sejak Agustus 2017.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
Crypto Birb memperdagangkan siklus empat tahunan dengan zona support dan statistik kalender. Seberapa dekat insting Anda — ukur secara nyata dengan Trader Passport.
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Analisis informatif dan edukatif yang sepenuhnya berdasarkan materi yang tersedia untuk publik (unggahan X bertanggal miliknya sendiri, profil X, kanal YouTube The Birb Nest, dan profil publik di mpost.io, yang ditautkan di halaman). Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 18 October 2026
