@BigCheds
Seorang trader pola, bukan peramal harga. Cheds membaca grafik klasik dan candlestick Jepang — rentang harga, dasar berbentuk W, dasar fulcrum, uji rata-rata bergerak dan Bollinger Bands — lalu menyebut level yang akan mengonfirmasi atau membatalkan setiap gagasan. Struktur itu membuat panggilannya luar biasa mudah dinilai, dan itulah persis yang dilakukan halaman ini.
Singkatnya. Cheds (@BigCheds) adalah analis teknikal bersertifikat CMT dan salah satu akun edukasi paling awet di dunia kripto. Dia memakai nama samaran — tanpa nama asli terverifikasi, tanpa angka kekayaan — dan rekam publiknya dibangun di atas grafik dan buku, bukan kepribadian. Dia belajar secara terbuka: menulis panduan trading pertamanya pada 2017 saat menjalani kemoterapi untuk limfoma, menaklukkan kanker, dan sejak itu menerbitkan lima buku dengan semboyan “membantu trader baru menghindari kesalahan lama saya”. Metodenya adalah level lebih dulu: dia menyebut penembusan yang membuat sebuah tesis sahih dan patahan yang mematikannya. Dalam jendela 2026 yang digrafikkan di bawah, disiplin itu membuahkan hasil di sisi turun — kehati-hatiannya pada Mei atas Bitcoin, Solana, dan Ethereum semuanya terbukti — dan pada dasar Solana 1 Juli, yang dia tebak tepat dalam selisih satu hari. Itu merugikannya pada April, ketika pembacaan pembalikan bullish di Bitcoin dan Ethereum menabrak penurunan 20–30%.
Cheds adalah trader sekaligus pengajar bernama samaran yang membangun pengikutnya lewat jalan lambat: sebuah akun Twitter dan blog belajar publik (chedstrading.blogspot.com) tempat dia menuliskan apa yang sedang dia pahami. Dalam kata-katanya sendiri, “hari-hari awal trading saya penuh frustrasi, kebingungan, dan kerugian terus-menerus” — kegiatan mengajarnya lahir dari kekalahan, dan mereknya dibangun di atas “membantu trader baru menghindari kesalahan lama saya”. Jalan itu, seperti dia ceritakan, membawanya “ke studi mendalam tentang candlestick Jepang dan analisis grafik klasik, dan akhirnya sertifikasi CMT”.
Kisah awalnya bukan kalimat pemasaran. Dia menulis Complete Beginners Guide to Trading pada 2017 saat menjalani kemoterapi untuk limfoma; dia menaklukkan kanker dan menulis buku tentang pengalaman itu juga. Kini lima judul membawa namanya — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer, dan panduan pemula yang asli. Kanal YouTube-nya, Cheds Trading, bukan acara panggilan pasar: umpan terbarunya adalah rangkaian pelajaran singkat analisis teknikal yang hampir harian — pola candlestick, Parabolic SAR, Andrew's Pitchfork, formasi broadening.
Dua hal yang memberatkannya. Pertama, dia bernama samaran: tidak ada identitas terverifikasi, riwayat pekerjaan, atau rekam jejak teraudit di balik grafik-grafik itu, sehingga semua di sini bersandar semata pada pernyataan publik bertanggal. Kedua, pembacaan pembalikan bullish-nya pada April 2026 keliru dengan cara yang menyakitkan — Bitcoin memang menembus level $76,000 miliknya, tetapi “dasar fulcrum majemuk” yang dia tandai bukanlah dasar, dan penembusan $2,400 milik Ethereum gagal dalam hitungan hari lalu jatuh 32.7%. Keduanya digrafikkan di bawah, bukan diam-diam dihilangkan. Dia juga terus terang soal trading melawan kecenderungannya sendiri: pada 3 September 2026 dia menulis bahwa dia telah “mengambil long di 67k meski mengharapkan harga lebih rendah berdasarkan tren $BTC di timeframe tinggi”, dengan alasan bahwa pandangan bearish tidak melarang setup long yang bersih.
Sources: dailyhodl.com dated coverage · x.com/BigCheds posts · youtube.com/@ChedsTrading · his own book author notes
Analisis grafik klasik, level lebih dulu. Cheds bekerja sesuai buku teks: rentang harga dan puncak rentang, dasar W/dasar ganda, dasar fulcrum majemuk, pembalikan candlestick Jepang, rata-rata bergerak 50 hari, Bollinger Bands, dan divergensi OBV. Yang membedakan unggahannya dari kebanyakan komentar grafik adalah dia hampir selalu menyebut pemicu dan pembatalannya dalam satu tarikan napas — “tembus $85,000”, “tembus $78 bisa jadi tesis long, dan pembatalan untuk short”. Dia trading dua arah dan akan melakukan short pada pantulan menuju resistensi tanpa memperhalus bahasanya. Kelemahannya adalah kelemahan abadi analisis klasik: pola yang rapi bisa jadi sinyal asli atau penembusan palsu — dan pada April 2026 dia mengumumkan dasar fulcrum yang ternyata masih menyisakan 21% penurunan di bawahnya.
Benar-benar dua arah. Dia melakukan short pada Solana ke arah resistensi di bulan Mei dan berbalik bullish di dasar bulan Juli; kecenderungannya mengikuti level yang baru saja tertembus, bukan pandangan tetap tentang siklus.
Nine dated calls across the 2026 window, charted against real price: six attributed to Cheds by The Daily Hodl, and three from his own X posts since August. Every quote was confirmed verbatim on its live source before it was used here. Because he states an explicit trigger and invalidation, these grade cleanly — and the split is instructive: his April bullish reversal read went badly wrong on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, while his May caution and his 1 July Solana call were right, the last of them within a day of the low. Since August he called the $67,000 Bitcoin breakout well, saw a September diamond-top breakdown reverse within a week, and on 22 September declared the bottom in. Nothing here is cherry-picked; the cards run in date order.
“ETH now working on broader range breakout circa $2,400.”
A range-breakout call on Ethereum at $2,326. It was a fake-out: ETH tagged $2,421 three days later, failed immediately, and fell −32.7% to $1,566. ETH later climbed to a $2,775 (+19.3%) peak on 22 September and sits at $2,503 (+7.6%) — but only after that 33% drawdown. The breakout he named did not hold, and this is the clearest miss on the page.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“BTC $74,500 and pushing toward range peak. Breakout at $76,000.”
Two claims in one post, and they split. The trigger worked: from $74,297 Bitcoin cleared $76,000 within three days and ran to $82,018 (+10.4%) by 11 May. The thesis didn't — he framed it as a “compound fulcrum bottom,” and BTC then fell −21.2% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC then recovered to a $86,597 (+16.6%) high on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+11.5%): a profitable breakout wrapped in a bottom call that was three months early.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000. I think a weekly close would be logical.”
Having been early in April, he set a hard bar in May at $79,289: no bottom until BTC flips $85,000. The downtrend he warned about arrived first, −26.1% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC only reached his line in late September — $86,597 (+9.2%) on 22 September, the day he declared the bottom in himself (last card) — and it is back at $82,851 (+4.5%). Withholding the bottom call at $79K was the right read: the real bottom came 26% lower.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“I'd probably short here, though, because it's a downtrend bouncing into resistance.”
An outright short on Solana at $91, on the textbook reason — a downtrend bouncing into a range peak. It worked: SOL fell −31.8% to $62. Worth stating plainly that he did not stay short: SOL has since run to a $122 (+34.0%) high and sits at $109 (+20.2% from this call), and he flipped bullish on it in July — the next card.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“It needs to hold $2,150 on what looks to be a pending retest or it is headed for Goblin Town”
A conditional warning at $2,258 with a precise line in the sand. ETH lost $2,150 and went exactly where he said — −30.7% to $1,566. Note this is the same $2,400 level he had called a breakout a month earlier: by May he was reading its “continued inability to break $2,400” as weakness. ETH is now $2,503 (+10.8%).
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
His best call in the window, and the timing is the point: he turned bullish on Solana at $74 on 1 July — the exact day Bitcoin printed its $58,566 cycle low. SOL has since gained +66.0% to $122, with a maximum drawdown of only −2.3% along the way, and sits at $109 (+48.8%). He also named the invalidation in the same sentence, which is what makes it a trade rather than an opinion.
SourceCrypto Strategist Details Bullish Scenario for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter”
A long trigger, named and then hit: he posted mid-session on 19 August as Bitcoin pushed through $67,000. The chart starts at that day's $64,686 opening point, so it flatters him slightly — the next daily point was already $69,291. From there BTC ran to $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+28.1%); measured from his own $67,000 trigger, that is still about +29% at the peak and +24% now. The cleanest call on the page.
𝕏 Post“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC one view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily 76k low trigger for me.”
A bearish pattern read at $78,283, with $76,000 as the trigger. The trigger fired — BTC closed at $75,590 (−3.4%) on 16 September, and that day he asked his stream “what does the loss of 76k mean” — and then the breakdown failed outright: within six days BTC was at $86,597 (+10.6%), and it sits at $82,851 (+5.8%). In fairness he hedged it as “one view” and was back to bullish posts by 18 September, but as a call it went against him. (The “$1,000 in” line below is buy-and-hold, so it shows a gain on this bearish call.)
𝕏 Post“One view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN”
Four months after setting his bar — “flip $85,000” — he called it: the bottom is in. The chart point is $86,597 — as of 11 October, Bitcoin's highest daily point since the July low; BTC has since dipped to $81,686 (−5.7%) and sits at $82,851 (−4.3%). The claim is about the $58,566 low of 1 July, which nothing has threatened yet, so this stays open — but anyone who bought the announcement is down on it so far.
𝕏 Post“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated bias against real price, not his own scoring. Calls come from dated third-party coverage, which quotes his X posts and YouTube sessions directly, or from his own X posts (linked on each card). Percentages are computed from the same price data that draws the charts, at the daily point for the date of the post. The “$1,000 in” line assumes buying on the call date and holding, so on bearish calls it does not show his result. Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Cheds sells books and education, and is transparent that trading platforms sponsor him. He is also an analyst at the paid membership Bitcoin Live, which he promotes on his X feed. No token promotion turned up in the record we reviewed, but the sponsorships and the membership are real and worth pricing in.
Lima judul terbitan mandiri — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer, dan Complete Beginners Guide to Trading — ditambah umpan pelajaran harian gratis di YouTube yang mengarahkan ke buku-buku itu.
Dia secara terbuka mempromosikan tempat trading kepada audiens X-nya, termasuk BingX dan DEX perpetual edgeX. Kesepakatan afiliasi adalah hal lumrah di kategori ini; perlakukan rekomendasi platform sebagai iklan, bukan analisis.
He writes member reports for the subscription service Bitcoin Live and advertises it on X. Several times a week he posts a “New Bitcoin Live Member report” link, and in late September and early October he promoted a sale (“Your first 3 months of membership for $97”). He also posts clips of member-only reports to show calls he made there. We cannot see those reports, so no call on this page comes from one.
“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
01 Jul 2026 · kebiasaan menyebut pemicu dan pembatalan, tepat di hari dasar terbentuk“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000.”
14 May 2026 · menolak mengumumkan dasar yang belum ditunjukkan kepadanya“It needs to hold $2,150 … or it is headed for Goblin Town”
14 May 2026 · peringatan ETH yang akhirnya terbuktiKutipan disalin dari sumber publiknya sendiri; pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
YouTube-nya bukan acara panggilan pasar — melainkan aliran pelajaran singkat analisis teknikal klasik yang hampir harian. Klip terbaru yang representatif:
Broadening Patterns — Classical ChartingPerangkat analisis grafik klasik yang dia pakai untuk trading.03 Sep 2026
Trading Wisdom Lesson 36 — Candlestick Context MattersCandlestick dibaca dalam konteks, bukan secara terpisah.06 Sep 2026
Ride Trends — Don't Try to Guess BottomsPelajaran yang diilustrasikan oleh kesalahannya sendiri pada April 2026.30 Aug 2026
Andrew's Pitchfork IndicatorSalah satu alat struktural di balik panggilan berbasis level miliknya.31 Aug 2026Seorang analis teknikal dan pengajar bernama samaran yang mengunggah sebagai Cheds (@BigCheds) dan mengelola kanal YouTube Cheds Trading. Dia bersertifikat CMT, melakukan trading dengan pola grafik klasik dan candlestick Jepang, serta telah menerbitkan lima buku tentang trading. Nama aslinya tidak dipublikasikan.
Tidak diketahui dan tidak terverifikasi secara publik. Dia bernama samaran, tidak menerbitkan rekam jejak teraudit, dan tidak pernah mengungkapkan kepemilikannya. Angka spesifik apa pun yang Anda lihat dikutip adalah karangan — abaikan saja.
He is an educator and commentator, not a licensed adviser. In the 2026 calls charted here five of nine played out — his May caution on BTC, SOL and ETH, a Solana call within a day of the July low, and the August $67,000 Bitcoin breakout. Two went against him: the April Ethereum breakout, which fell 33%, and a September bearish Bitcoin pattern that reversed within a week. Two are still open, including his 22 September call that the bottom is in. Treat his views as a documented, dated opinion, never as a signal to follow blindly.
Analisis grafik klasik, level lebih dulu. Dia bekerja dari rentang harga, dasar W/dasar ganda, dasar fulcrum, pembalikan candlestick, rata-rata bergerak 50 hari, Bollinger Bands, dan divergensi OBV — dan dia menyebut level yang mengonfirmasi gagasan berdampingan dengan level yang membatalkannya. Dia trading baik long maupun short, dan pernah mengatakan bahwa pandangan bearish pada timeframe tinggi tidak menghalanginya mengambil setup long yang bersih.
Cheds trading sesuai buku teks: pemicu yang disebutkan, pembatalan yang disebutkan, dan tanpa keterikatan pada arah. Seberapa dekat naluri Anda — ukur secara nyata dengan Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials (dated third-party coverage quoting his posts and videos, and his own X posts, linked on each call). Every quote was verified verbatim on its source page. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Cheds? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dikutip di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 11 October 2026
