
@Scaramucci
Seorang alokator Wall Street yang menaruh uangnya sendiri di tempat mulutnya berada: Scaramucci mengatakan lebih dari 70% kekayaannya ada di bitcoin, dan ia mengelola dana yang eksposur kriptonya membuat investor merugi dua kuartal berturut-turut. Ia bicara terus-menerus, terbuka, dan bertanggal — yang membuatnya luar biasa mudah dinilai. Nilai di bawah ini sengaja campur aduk.
Singkatnya. Anthony Scaramucci is the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge Capital, a Goldman Sachs alumnus, Harvard Law graduate and — for eleven days in 2017 — White House Communications Director. In crypto he is one of the most quotable institutional bulls alive: a four-year-cycle believer who reads sentiment extremes, buys drawdowns and carries a $1M Bitcoin target for 2032. His 2026 record splits cleanly in two. The bottom and target calls he put a date on — “close to the bottom” in March, “$70K by the end of July” in June — were wrong, and expensively so. The directional reads he made once the market had actually broken — “it's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible” in late July — have worked, as has his mid-September call that Bitcoin would go higher off the CLARITY Act's failure. He is also on record conceding he blew his 2025 $150k target outright.
Scaramucci memulai karier di Private Wealth Management Goldman Sachs, ikut mendirikan kemitraan investasi Oscar Capital Management (dijual ke Neuberger Berman pada 2001), dan pada 2005 mendirikan SkyBridge, pengelola aset alternatif yang masih ia pimpin sebagai managing partner. Ia juga pendiri dan chairman SALT, platform konferensi dan venture, anggota Council on Foreign Relations, serta penulis lima buku. Ia meraih gelar ekonomi dari Tufts University dan JD dari Harvard Law School. Pada 2017 ia duduk di komite transisi kepresidenan Donald Trump dan menjadi — terkenal sangat singkat — Direktur Komunikasi Gedung Putih: masa jabatan sebelas hari yang membuat namanya dikenal jauh melampaui dunia keuangan.
His crypto conviction is unusually literal. He has said repeatedly that more than 70% of his net worth is in Bitcoin, and SkyBridge's flagship $1.3bn Opportunity Fund carries roughly 64% of its holdings in crypto and digital assets — a bet that cost it −18% in Q4 2025 and −12.9% in Q1 2026, two consecutive losing quarters. That is the context for everything below: when he says buy the drawdown, he is not speculating about somebody else's money. It also cuts the other way, and the record here says so plainly — he held a $150,000 year-end target through 2025 and later conceded in a Benzinga interview that he had got it wrong, having missed the scale of the whale selling. Two of the eleven 2026 calls charted here also went against him.
Sources: skybridge.com · x.com/Scaramucci · dated third-party coverage (CNBC, TheStreet, Benzinga/Yahoo Finance, Coinage, The Block)
Alokator top-down, penganut siklus empat tahun. Scaramucci membingkai bitcoin lewat mekanika pasokan (batas 21 juta, jadwal halving), utang negara dan pelemahan mata uang, serta pipa institusional (ETF spot, kustodian, regulasi) — lalu memakai ekstrem sentimen sebagai penentu waktu masuk: angka Fear & Greed mendekati nol, RSI mingguan jenuh jual, penjual terpaksa alih-alih fundamental yang rusak. Ia seorang pembeli penurunan dengan horizon bertahun-tahun, bukan penggerak jangka pendek. Kelemahan yang berulang adalah waktu: pembacaan strukturalnya umumnya benar, sementara tanggal dan level yang ia lekatkan padanya — dasar pada Maret, $70 ribu sebelum Juli, $150 ribu pada 2025 — berkali-kali terlalu cepat dan terlalu tinggi.
Structurally very bullish — a $1M 2032 target and 70%+ of his own net worth in BTC — and more constructive near term since mid-September, when he called Bitcoin higher off the CLARITY Act's failure. His own cycle model still pencils in the full recovery for Q4 2026 into early 2027.
Eleven dated statements from a rolling 2026 sample, each one re-fetched from its source and confirmed verbatim on that page before it was charted. Three are his own X posts; eight are dated third-party coverage. Scaramucci makes two very different kinds of call, and we have deliberately kept both: timed, falsifiable ones (“close to the bottom”, “$70K by the end of July”) and open-ended structural ones (“it cannot be devalued”, “$100,000 eventually”). The timed ones are where he has been hurt — both of the calls marked went against below carried a date. The reads he made after the market had already broken have aged much better.
“Bitcoin going higher off the Clarity Act failure.”
A one-line call, posted at 16:24 UTC, that the CLARITY Act stalling was good for Bitcoin, not bad — he repeated the point on CNBC on 22 September (“I think Bitcoin is a standalone as a digital store”). BTC was at $75,590 on that day's chart point and has never closed lower since (+0.0%): it reached $86,597 (+14.6%) six days later and holds $85,466 (+13.1%). One caveat on the anchor: that point is from 00:00 UTC, about 16 hours before the post, but the next day's point, $76,147, was barely higher — the call worked from either.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin going higher off the Clarity Act failure.” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“And by October I think you'll see the prices rallying again.”
Speaking at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium with BTC at $77,297, he put a month on the turn — October — while calling the CLARITY Act politically dead. The rally came, slightly ahead of schedule: after a worst dip of −2.2%, BTC ran to $86,597 (+12.0%) on 22 September and stands at $85,466 (+10.6%) in early October. Prices were rallying by October, as he said, so we grade it played out — noting that the move began in late September rather than in the month he named.
SourceWhy Bitcoin Could Reach a $12 Trillion Market Cap, According to Anthony Scaramucci (Coinage / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“As the halving cycle comes in again, and we cut the supply of coins again, it will tighten price, and I think you'll see the thing move back up over 100,000.”
He called it “a clear bear market” and put the next real catalyst — the halving — roughly 20 months away. The timing luck was remarkable: $64,491 that day is the lowest close since, so BTC has never traded lower (+0.0%), ran to $86,597 (+34.3%) and sits +32.5% higher at $85,466. But the number he named was $100,000, BTC is still 14.5% below it, and he attached no deadline — so we log it open, not a win.
SourceBitcoin's Price Crosses $65K, But Anthony Scaramucci Says $100K Catalyst Could Be 20 Months Away (CNBC via Stocktwits / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“It's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible”
His cleanest call of the year, and the one with no number attached: with the Fear & Greed Index at 28 and BTC at $65,052, he argued exhausted sellers meant a slow climb rather than a fresh leg down. That is exactly what happened — only a −3.5% dip, a run to $86,597 (+33.1%) and $85,466 (+31.4%) now. A grind, not a surge, just as described.
SourceEx-Trump advisor believes Bitcoin will grind higher after crashing (TheStreet / Yahoo Finance)↗ sg.finance.yahoo.com“If you believe Bitcoin is the operating layer for the future of money and a digital store of value, you stay invested.”
He put a weight on the conviction — roughly 30% of a fresh portfolio in Bitcoin — days after the cycle low, with BTC at $64,111. Staying invested paid: the worst subsequent dip was −2.9%, the high $86,597 (+35.1%), and BTC is +33.3% at $85,466. Worth noting he hedged himself in the same interview: “I've been humbled by markets. I could be wrong about Bitcoin.”
SourceAnthony Scaramucci's Model Portfolio: 30% to Bitcoin, Some Gold, 'Bet the Long Term of the US' (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“5 reasons I'm still long Bitcoin: 1.The only asset no government can debase. 21M cap, enforced by code — not promises.”
A public thread restating the long at $63,490, arguing the selloff was forced sellers — miners covering costs, leverage unwinding — rather than broken fundamentals. It held: BTC dipped only −7.8% to the July low, reached $86,597 (+36.4%) and is +34.6% now. His read on why the market was falling was the right one.
𝕏 Post“5 reasons I'm still long Bitcoin” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin can reclaim $70K by the end of July. I just think because it's burnt out and the sentiment is so negative that any incremental buying will lift it through $70K”
The most falsifiable call he made all year, and it failed. From $65,709 BTC never got near $70k before the deadline — the best it managed by 31 July was $66,521 (+1.2%), still 5% short — and it first fell −10.9% to $58,566. TheStreet itself wrote the epitaph nine days before the deadline: “July is nearly over. The $70,000 target has not been hit.” It is +30.1% today, but the call had a date on it and the date passed.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci unveils Bitcoin target for July (TheStreet / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“So, if the four-year cycle theory holds, Bitcoin doesn't recover until the early part of the fourth quarter of 2026, possibly into the first quarter of 2027,”
Said in conversation with Mike Novogratz at $61,670, with weekly RSI under 30. The bottom half of the read was nearly exact — BTC fell just −5.0% further, to $58,566 on 1 July, and turned. The timing half is the open question: he said no recovery before Q4, yet BTC had already run +40.4% off that day to $86,597 by 22 September and holds +38.6% at $85,466 — still roughly a third below the old high, so “recovered” is genuinely arguable. Q4 has now begun; logged open until it resolves the call.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Remains A 'Long-Term Believer' In Bitcoin, Sees BTC Recovering By Q4 2026 Or Q1 2027 (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“This is a computer program that cannot be devalued.”
The pure S-curve thesis — Bitcoin adopted like Amazon or Microsoft, with the volatility that late adopters bring — argued at $78,133, near a local high. It is a decade-long claim, not a level: BTC fell −25.0% to $58,566 afterwards and has only lately climbed back above where he said it, to $86,597 (+10.8%) at best and $85,466 (+9.4%) now. Nothing here is disproven — but four months cannot prove a decade-long claim either. Open.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Says Bitcoin Poised To Follow The S-Curve Of Adoption Like Amazon, Microsoft: 'Cannot Be Devalued' (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“I owned one Bitcoin before the rally. I owned one Bitcoin during the bear market. Same Bitcoin. Different feelings. The asset didn't change. The price did.”
Not a target — a hold instruction, posted at $72,920 with BTC down from $126k. Taking it meant sitting through another −19.7% to $58,566 before the recovery; you are now up +17.2% at $85,466 six months later, against a best of +18.8%. The advice has started to pay, but it carries no level or date to grade against — open.
𝕏 Post“The asset didn't change. The price did.” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“Could it trade lower? Sure. Anything can happen. It's Bitcoin, but we're getting close to the bottom.”
On Scott Melker's podcast, with Fear & Greed at 5 and BTC at $70,987, he said buy it here and set the $1M by 2032 target. He gave himself the out — “could it trade lower? Sure” — and it did: BTC fell another −17.5% to $58,566 over the following three months. It has since recovered to $85,466 (+20.4%), so the purchase is well in the green; the bottom call was not, and that is what is being graded.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Sets $1 Million Bitcoin Target By 2032, Explains Why He's Buying Now (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.comHasil adalah pembacaan kami atas sikap yang ia nyatakan terhadap harga nyata CoinGecko, bukan penilaiannya sendiri. Setiap kartu diberi tanggal menurut tanggal terbit sumbernya sendiri (untuk unggahan X, menurut stempel waktu tweet) — bukan menurut kapan sebuah berita muncul kembali. Apa pun yang horizonnya melampaui jendela grafik ini (K4 2026, 2032) dicatat sebagai masih terbuka, tidak pernah sebagai kemenangan. Penilaian jangka pendek bisa berbalik.
Scaramucci bukan figur media yang kebetulan punya kripto — ia manajer aset yang dananya long pada hal yang ia bicarakan di televisi hampir setiap minggu. Keselarasan itu jujur dan diungkap, tetapi tetap sebuah kepentingan.
Ia pendiri dan managing partner SkyBridge, pengelola aset alternatif yang terdaftar di SEC. Andalannya, Opportunity Fund senilai $1,3 miliar, menyimpan sekitar 64% di kripto dan aset digital — jadi komentar bullish adalah komentar tentang bukunya sendiri, dan buku kliennya.
Buku itu menyakitkan: dana tersebut turun 18% pada K4 2025 dan 12,9% pada K1 2026, dua kuartal merugi beruntun, dan pada penawaran pembelian kembali terakhir hanya memenuhi sekitar 8% unit yang diajukan investor. Timbang optimismenya terhadap tekanan yang ditimbulkan itu.
Ia mendirikan dan mengetuai SALT, platform konferensi dan venture yang sponsor serta pembicaranya sebagian besar justru industri yang ia komentari. Ia juga mengatakan lebih dari 70% kekayaan pribadinya ada di bitcoin — sepenuhnya sejalan dengan pemegang ritel, dan sepenuhnya terpapar bias yang sama.
“It's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible”
24 Jul 2026 · seruan yang berhasil“Bitcoin can reclaim $70K by the end of July.”
15 Jun 2026 · yang tidak berhasil“I've been humbled by markets. I could be wrong about Bitcoin.”
11 Jul 2026 · syarat yang ia ucapkan lantangKutipan diambil dari sumber publik miliknya sendiri; ini pandangan yang dinyatakan, bukan rekomendasi.
There is no video library to link — Scaramucci hosts no channel of his own, and the SALT channel has been dormant for years. His output is other people's programmes plus his X account, which is exactly why every call above links to a dated page carrying the quoted words. The appearances charted here are The Wolf Of All Streets Podcast with Scott Melker (22 Mar, published 24 Mar), RiskReversal Media (17 May), a conversation with Mike Novogratz (10 Jun), All Things Markets (15 Jun), an interview with Phil Rose (11 Jul), CNBC (24 Jul and 18 Aug) and Coinage at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium (3 Sep), alongside his own X posts of 11 Apr, 20 Jun and 16 Sep.
Pendiri dan managing partner SkyBridge Capital, alumnus Goldman Sachs dan lulusan Harvard Law, yang juga mendirikan dan mengetuai konferensi SALT. Di luar dunia keuangan ia paling dikenal karena masa jabatan sebelas hari sebagai Direktur Komunikasi Gedung Putih pada 2017. Ia salah satu bull bitcoin institusional paling menonjol di pasar.
Ia menetapkan target $1 juta untuk 2032, dan sepanjang 2026 berulang kali mengatakan bitcoin akan «move back up over $100,000» tanpa menyebut tanggal. Ia juga berargumen bitcoin bisa mencapai sekitar separuh kapitalisasi pasar emas — sekitar $12 triliun, atau mendekati $500.000 per koin — dalam lima tahun. Semua itu melampaui jendela grafik di atas, jadi tak satu pun dinilai sebagai kemenangan di sini.
Mixed, and the record above says so: five of eleven dated 2026 calls played out, four are still open, and two went against him — a “close to the bottom” call in March that preceded another 17.5% drop, and a “$70K by the end of July” target that missed. He has also publicly conceded that his $150,000 target for 2025 was wrong.
Ia menyatakan secara terbuka bahwa lebih dari 70% kekayaannya ada di bitcoin. Secara terpisah, dana andalan SkyBridge senilai $1,3 miliar menyimpan sekitar 64% portofolionya di kripto dan aset digital. Tidak ada angka teraudit untuk kepemilikan pribadinya — abaikan angka spesifik apa pun.
Scaramucci membeli ketakutan dengan horizon lima tahun dan menerima risiko terlalu dini. Seberapa dekat naluri Anda — ukur sungguhan dengan Trader Passport.
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Analisis informatif dan edukatif yang didasarkan secara ketat pada materi yang tersedia untuk umum (liputan pihak ketiga bertanggal dan unggahan X publiknya sendiri, tertaut pada setiap seruan). Bukan nasihat keuangan atau investasi. Angka bersifat perkiraan dan terus berubah. Spotted an error, or are you Anthony? Kirim koreksi →
Akun terverifikasi · Sumber dicantumkan di atas · Metodologi penilaian · Diperbarui 6 October 2026