@MerlijnTrader
حساب رسوم بيانية هولندي ينشر فكرة واحدة في كل مرة، بأحرف كبيرة ومع رسم واحد مُعلَّم عليه: هذا العام يتناغم مع 2018 / 2022 / 2017، وهذا هو المستوى الذي يحسم الأمر. غزير النشر، واضح جدًا، و — على غير المعتاد في هذا النوع — يكاد لا يخلو من رقم يمكن التحقق منه لاحقًا. لذلك تحققنا.
باختصار. Merlijn The Trader is one of the loudest pattern accounts on X (~380K followers) and a much smaller YouTube channel (16.2K). The method is consistent: take a historical analogue — the 2022 bottom, the 2018 death cross, August 2017 — overlay it on the present chart, and name the one level that confirms or kills it. That makes him easy to grade, and the grade is genuinely mixed. His July 2026 bottom calls on Bitcoin and Ether landed within days of the actual turn. His June 2026 “spring to $50K” road-map missed on both legs while price ran 42% the other way, and his April death-cross analogue pointed at a crash that never came. His September “Rektember” warning was followed by the month's rally; since mid-September he has been loudly bullish again (“don't wait for $50K”, “road to $170K”), and those calls are still open. He is also a paid-promotion business — his own link page sells “Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — which belongs in the frame next to the charts.
ينشر Merlijn باسم @MerlijnTrader لنحو 380 ألف متابع، مع قناة يوتيوب أصغر بكثير (16.2 ألف مشترك، نشطة منذ يونيو 2021، نحو 1.1 مليون مشاهدة إجمالًا) تعيد سرد الطرح اليومي نفسه في صورة فيديو. وحساب X يحمل شارة انتساب إلى @cryptorover — علامة Crypto Rover التجارية — أي أن الحسابين داخل العملية الإعلامية ذاتها، وليسا صوتين مستقلين تصادف اتفاقهما. وقناته على يوتيوب تعلن مشروعها بصراحة: «The mission: turn $250K into $1M with Bitcoin»، موثَّقًا مباشرة.
He is a commentator and marketer, not a fund. His public link page describes him as a consultant and business coach, invites DMs “for Business/Partnerships”, and sells “TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — i.e. projects can buy promotion from the same account that publishes the analysis. For honesty, note the big out-of-window calls too: in August 2025 he pushed back on $124K being the top (“0/30 peak indicators have triggered”), and in November 2025 he called the fear “manufactured” and the cycle only at “50% progress”, “not exit liquidity season”. In the seven months this page charts, Bitcoin never traded above $86,597 and printed $58,566 on 1 July 2026 — nowhere near $124K. Those posts are outside the price window so they are not charted, but they belong on the record.
Sources: x.com/MerlijnTrader (posts captured via x_capture.py) · youtube.com/@Merlijntrader (upload titles verified via oEmbed, dates from the video page) · linktr.ee/merlijnthetrader
تحليل فني يبدأ من الفراكتل. المحرك هو القياس: ابحث عن عام ماضٍ يشبه رسمه رسم هذا العام (2017، 2018، 2022)، افترض أن البنية ستتكرر، ثم سمِّ المستوى الذي يثبت ذلك. وحول ذلك يستخدم مراحل تجميع وايكوف (spring، mark-up)، وتقاطعات المتوسطات المتحركة، وStochastic RSI، ولوحة من نحو 30 مؤشرًا لقمة الدورة، وعناوين أون-تشين أو كلية (طوابير خروج المُدققين، توقعات فائدة الفِدرالي، طلبات ETF) كتأكيد. قوته في قابلية التفنيد — فهو يلتزم بأرقام مثل «$60K is the decision» أو «DCA zone $48–59K». وضعفه هو الوجه الآخر لذات الوعد: حين لا يتكرر النظير، لا تكون الخلاصة مبكرة فقط بل معكوسة، ومنشوراته لا تكاد تحمل للقارئ حجم مركز أو سعر إبطال.
صاعد هيكليًا — الخلاصة المتكررة أن القاع قد حدث وأن الجمهور باعه. المنشورات الهابطة في هذه العيّنة قصيرة الأجل ومشروطة؛ أما الصاعدة فهي الطرح نفسه.
Twelve dated calls of his own, charted against real CoinGecko price. Ten are X posts fetched back with their text and timestamp intact; two are the titles of his own YouTube uploads, dated from the video page. The sample is deliberately not a highlight reel: it includes the two July bottom calls that landed (BTC and ETH, within days of the turn), the June road-map that missed on both legs, the April death-cross analogue that pointed at a −67% repeat which never arrived, and the May “Solana is the loser” post that Solana then outperformed on. Note what this is: twelve calls from an account that publishes many times a day, picked because they contained a checkable number — not a complete log of everything he said. His 2025 “$124K is not the top / 50% through the cycle” posts fall outside the price window; they are in the biography above, unscored.
“$BTC BULLS THIS ISN'T WHAT YOU WANTED TO SEE. Bitcoin breakdown confirmed. All eyes on $80,500 now. Hold it, and this is just a shakeout. Lose it, and I expect more pain.”
A two-branch call with the level spelled out. Bitcoin was $84,449 that day, so $80,500 sat 4.7% below it. A day later it is $83,145 (−1.5%), still $2,645 above his line, so neither branch has triggered. The next morning he posted the same idea in more detail as a Wyckoff plan: a backup to $81K–$82K, then $90K if that holds. Open.
𝕏 Post“All eyes on $80,500 now.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“And So It Begins… Bitcoin’s Road To $170K”
Published the day Bitcoin closed at $86,597, the highest price in this page's window. The title names a $170,000 destination, +96.3% away, with no date attached. We have the title, not a transcript, so we grade the title. A week on, Bitcoin is $83,145, −4.0% below him, and no day has closed higher since. A multi-year target: open.
Source“And So It Begins… Bitcoin’s Road To $170K” — Merlijn The Trader (his own upload, 22 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“PLEASE Don’t Wait For $50K Bitcoin… The Bottom Is Already In”
A bottom call made one day after Bitcoin's lowest September close, $75,590 on the 16th. He published at $76,147 and told viewers not to wait for $50,000. Twelve days later no day in our series has closed below his day's price. The high since is $86,597 (+13.7%) and Bitcoin trades at $83,145 (+9.2%). A fortnight is too short to grade a “bottom is in” call, so it stays open, but so far price agrees with him.
Source“PLEASE Don’t Wait For $50K Bitcoin… The Bottom Is Already In” — Merlijn The Trader (his own upload, 17 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“REKTEMBER IS HERE: … Bitcoin lost $78,000 to open September. Warsh is publicly signaling a September hike. Trump is not stepping in to stop him. … Rektember arrived without the safety net.”
A rate-scare warning with no level attached, so we graded it on the month it named. From $77,416 Bitcoin dipped to $75,590 (−2.4%) on 16 September. It then ran to $86,597 (+11.9%) on the 22nd and trades at $83,145 (+7.4%) with September all but over. The month did not bleed; it was the month the rally resumed. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Rektember arrived without the safety net.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN'S WORST MONTH JUST PRINTED ITS BEST NUMBER SINCE 2017. August: red in 9 of the last 13 years. Median return -6.99%. 2026: +24.39%. When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong. That's exactly what 2017 looked like before Q4 tripled.”
The premise checks out — our daily series has Bitcoin going $62,820 → $77,658 across August, +23.6%, against his quoted +24.39%. The conclusion is a Q4 call, and Q4 starts on Thursday. Since the post, Bitcoin has dipped to $75,590 (−2.7%), run to $86,597 (+11.5%), and sits at $83,145 (+7.1%). That was a good September for his thesis, but the claim is that Q4 triples like 2017. Open.
𝕏 Post“When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“$67K was support. Now it's a ceiling. Price is pinned right below it at $65,300. As long as that level caps us, the range holds and a dip toward $54K liquidity is on the table.”
Two branches, and the tape took the one he named as the invalidation. The ceiling did hold for three more weeks — from $65,344 Bitcoin sagged to $62,773 (−3.9%) by 2 August and closed under $67K every single day until 20 August. Then it reclaimed the level and ran: high since $86,597 (+32.5%), now $83,145 (+27.2%). The $54K liquidity he pointed at never got close — the lowest print is $8,773 above it. Range read right, downside target never armed: open, not scored.
𝕏 Post“$67K was support. Now it's a ceiling.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“2,600,000 ETHEREUM QUEUED TO EXIT IN SEPTEMBER. TODAY THE QUEUE IS EMPTY. … That queue cleared straight into a 47% drawdown. Whoever wanted out is already out. That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.”
Well timed. Ether was $1,953; the worst it did afterwards was $1,843 (−5.6%), then it ran to $2,775 (+42.1%) and trades at $2,666 (+36.5%). The reasoning was an emptied validator exit queue rather than a chart, and the call landed within days of the low.
𝕏 Post“That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN TAPPED ITS PREVIOUS CYCLE HIGH TWICE. THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED IN 2022. … 2026: price fell to the 2021 top, tapped it twice, and it's up 13% this month. Same structure.”
The 2022 analogue worked here. From $66,077 Bitcoin dipped only to $62,773 (−5.0%), then ran to $86,597 (+31.1%) and sits at $83,145 (+25.8%). His “up 13% this month” also checks: the July low was $58,566 on the 1st, so +12.8% into the day he posted.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin tapped its previous cycle high twice.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“The Bitcoin bounce is coming. Don't go all-in on it. … 2026: Same playbook. Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming. DCA zone: $48-59K.”
The most specific call in the set, and the clearest miss. Bitcoin was $60,855. The Wyckoff spring to ~$50K never happened — the lowest print since is $58,566 (−3.8%) on 1 July, which only clips the very top edge of his $48–59K accumulation band. And the bounce did not stall in his $65–70K box: the high since is $86,597 (+42.3%) and price is $83,145 (+36.6%). “Don't go all-in on it” was the wrong instruction — that bounce was the move.
𝕏 Post“Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BAD NEWS FOR SOLANA AND XRP HOLDERS: Goldman Sachs just separated winners from losers. Publicly. Sold: all Solana ETF holdings. … Kept: Bitcoin exposure. Kept: Ethereum infrastructure plays.”
The filing was real; the winners-and-losers reading was not. Solana was $85, fell to $62 (−27.0%) — but so did everything, with Bitcoin −24.4% and Ether −26.5% over the same stretch — and it has since recovered to $118 (+38.3%) after a high of $122 (+43.3%). Over the period he framed it in, the coin he called the loser beat the Bitcoin he said the bank kept (+7.4%) by about 31 points.
𝕏 Post“BAD NEWS FOR SOLANA AND XRP HOLDERS” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN GOLDEN CROSS. THEN DEATH CROSS. TWICE. 2018: golden cross printed. Death cross followed. -67%. 2022: golden cross printed. Death cross followed. -69%. 2026: golden cross printed. Death cross forming. $60K is the decision. Hold it: this time is different.”
He put two analogues on the table (−67% in 2018, −69% in 2022) and made $60K the line that chose between them. The line broke: from $68,107 Bitcoin fell to $58,566 (−14.0%), about 2.4% under المستوى المذكور. Then nothing resembling the analogue followed — the high since is $86,597 (+27.1%) and price is $83,145 (+22.1%). The level was a fair pivot; the crash he attached to losing it never existed.
𝕏 Post“$60K is the decision.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“ETHEREUM HAS PRINTED THIS PATTERN TWICE IN FOUR MONTHS. 3 step rally. Stoch RSI peaks. Rollover. Dump. November: textbook. ETH lost 40%. March: same structure. Same Stoch RSI signal. $2K is the last support before the pattern completes.”
Graded on the branch he drew, this one worked. Ether was $2,203; $2,000 gave way nine days later, on 28 March, and the pattern completed into $1,566 (−28.9%) on 26 June — not far off the −40% November analogue he cited. It has since recovered to $2,666 (+21.0%), but the rollover he warned about was real, and it was called before the break.
𝕏 Post“$2K is the last support before the pattern completes.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated thesis against real price, not his own scoring. Several posts are two-branch conditionals (“hold it / lose it”) and X truncates long posts, so we quote and grade only the text the syndication endpoint returns verbatim. The two YouTube calls are graded on the title alone. Open marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
هذا هو الجزء الأهم من الملف مع حساب رسوم غزير النشر: عمل Merlijn العلني هو الانتباه والترويج، ويُباع من الحساب نفسه الذي ينشر التحليل. لا شيء من ذلك مخفي — كله على صفحة روابطه — لكنه يجب أن يقف بجوار الرسوم.
صفحة روابطه العامة تبيع «TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages» وتدعو للرسائل «for Business/Partnerships». أي أن المشاريع تستطيع شراء الوصول من الحساب نفسه الذي ينشر تحليل السوق. افترض أن أي رمز أو منصة يُسمّى في منشور قد يكون علاقة تجارية، إلا إذا قال غير ذلك.
الصفحة نفسها تقدّمه مستشارًا ومدربًا للأعمال مع عرض «Book a Strategy Call» — جمهور يُحوَّل إلى أتعاب، وهذا يكافئ حجم النشر والثقة في النبرة، لا الحذر.
حساب X الخاص به يحمل شارة انتساب إلى @cryptorover. اتفاق حسابين من عملية واحدة ليس تأكيدين مستقلين — احسبه مرة واحدة، لا مرتين.
قناته على يوتيوب تعلن المشروع بوصفه «turn $250K into $1M with Bitcoin»، موثقًا مباشرة. هذا إفصاح لا تعارض — لكنه يعني وجود محفظة Bitcoin صاعدة هيكليًا وراء منشورات Bitcoin الصاعدة هيكليًا.
“Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming. DCA zone: $48-59K.”
07 Jun 2026 · الخريطة التي أخطأت في شقّيها“That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.”
27 Jul 2026 · أربعة أيام قبل قاع ETH الفعلي“$60K is the decision. Hold it: this time is different.”
01 Apr 2026 · خط تقاطع الموت الذي كُسر دون انهيارالاقتباسات مأخوذة من مصادره العامة نفسها؛ إنها آراء أُعلنت، وليست توصيات.
ينشر مقاطع Bitcoin شبه يومية على قناة أصغر كثيرًا مما يوحي به عدد متابعيه على X. أحدث الرفعات، بتواريخ من تغذية القناة:
Bitcoin’s Next Drop Is Coming… But Bears Are Making A Huge Mistakeهبوط قصير الأجل، صعود طويل الأجل — وهو الموقف نفسه الذي يرسمه هذا الملف.10 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Is Repeating The 2022 Bottom… Here’s What Comes Nextفراكتل 2022 الذي يقود معظم نداءاته في 2026.08 Sep 2026
Bitcoin’s New Parabolic Cycle Has OFFICIALLY Begunطرح الدورة الصاعد، مُعلَنًا دون مستوى.07 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Just Flashed A MAJOR Buy Signal Before Jackson Holeتأطير حدث كلي قبل صعود أغسطس.28 Aug 2026محلل رسوم بيانية هولندي في العملات الرقمية ينشر باسم @MerlijnTrader لنحو 380 ألف متابع على X، مع قناة يوتيوب أصغر (16.2 ألف مشترك). اسم عائلته غير معلن. يُعرف بمنشورات بأحرف كبيرة ورسم واحد تقارن السوق الحالي بعام ماضٍ — 2017، 2018، 2022 — وتسمّي مستوى واحدًا يحسم النتيجة.
Mixed, and that is measurable. Of twelve dated 2026 calls charted here, three played out (including well-timed July bottom calls on Bitcoin and Ether), five are still open, and four went against him — most clearly a June road-map for a drop to $50,000 that instead saw Bitcoin rally 42%. He is a commentator, not a licensed adviser.
يبيع الترويج علنًا: صفحة روابطه العامة تدرج «TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages»، وتدعو لرسائل الأعمال والشراكات، وتعرض مكالمات استراتيجية مدفوعة. كما يحمل حسابه على X شارة انتساب إلى @cryptorover. افترض أن أي مشروع مذكور قد يكون علاقة تجارية، إلا إذا ذُكر خلاف ذلك.
قياس فراكتلي زائد مستوى قرار واحد. يضع بنية رسم عام ماضٍ فوق الحاضر — تجميع وايكوف، التقاطع الذهبي/تقاطع الموت، Stochastic RSI، لوحة نحو 30 إشارة لقمة الدورة — ثم يلتزم برقم مثل «$60K is the decision» أو «DCA zone $48–59K». هذا يجعل التحقق منه سهلًا؛ ويعني أيضًا أنه حين يفشل النظير تصبح الخلاصة معكوسة لا مبكرة فقط.
يتداول Merlijn بالقياس: اعرف أي عام ينسخه هذا الرسم، ثم دافع عن مستوى واحد. كم يقترب حدسك — قِسه فعليًا مع Trader Passport.
في كل الأحوال، الاختبار الأمين الوحيد اختبار حقيقي. شغّل قراءتك على بيانات سوق حقيقية — دون تعريض رأس المال للخطر — في بطولة BuyCrypt مجانية بجوائز حقيقية.
تحليل إعلامي وتعليمي مبني حصرًا على مواد عامة: منشوراته المؤرَّخة على X، مُلتقطة حرفيًا مع طوابعها الزمنية ومربوطة برابط في كل نداء، إضافة إلى قناته وصفحة روابطه العامتين. ليس نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية. الأرقام تقريبية وتتغير باستمرار. Spotted an error, or are you Merlijn? أرسل تصحيحًا →
حسابات موثقة · المصادر مذكورة أعلاه · منهجية التقييم · تم التحديث 29 September 2026
