@crypto_birb
محلل فني بولندي لديه نحو 712K متابع على X، يتداول Bitcoin وفق الدورة ذات السنوات الأربع واتجاه الـ200 يوم والتقويم. في يوليو 2025 قال إنه يخرج من الكريبتو قبل سوق هابطة في 2026؛ وفي أغسطس 2026 كتب أن «السوق الهابطة انتهت». تتحقق هذه الصفحة من المستويات التي حددها منذ ذلك الحين.
باختصار. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
ابتكر Adrian Zduńczyk اسم «Crypto Birb» وعلامته، بحسب ملفه على mpost.io الذي يصفه بأنه محلل أسواق ومؤسس The Birb Nest ورئيسها التنفيذي. أُنشئ حساب X (@crypto_birb، واسم العرض «₿IRB») في أغسطس 2017 ويضم أكثر من 123,000 منشور.
في 9 يوليو 2025 أوضح علنًا أنه يخرج من الكريبتو: «قمم الدورات جاءت دائمًا في السنوات التالية للانتخابات الأمريكية»، و«2026 عام انتخابات نصفية»، و«رأيي: القمة في يوليو أو أواخر أكتوبر/أوائل نوفمبر.» وقال إنه «سيتطلع إلى العودة إلى الكريبتو في Q4 2026 أو أوائل 2027». هذا المنشور خارج النطاق السعري لهذه الصفحة، لذا لم يُرسم، لكن الخطوط العريضة صمدت: بلغ Bitcoin ذروته في أكتوبر 2025، وفي بياناتنا سجّل قاعه عند $58,566 في 1 يوليو 2026.
منهجه هو التحليل الفني الكلاسيكي — أهداف النماذج، والدعم والمقاومة، واتجاه الـ200 يوم والتقاطعات الذهبية — مقرونًا بجداول الموسمية («أشهر سبتمبر في سنوات الانتخابات النصفية لم تُغلق قط باللون الأخضر. حتى اليوم.»). تنتهي منشورات كثيرة بسؤال للمتابعين وبعبارة صريحة «ليست لدي أدنى فكرة»، لذا فإن عدة توقعات في هذه الصفحة سيناريوهات وليست أهدافًا منفردة.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
محلل فني يعتمد على الدورات والموسمية. يحدد الدعم والمقاومة، ويقيس أهداف النماذج («أخذ حجم قاعدة النموذج وإضافته إلى المقاومة»)، ويستند إلى إحصاءات دورة التنصيف والتقويم لرسم الصورة الأكبر. نقطة القوة في هذه العينة هي مناطق الدعم: اختبرها السعر وارتد منها. أما نقطة الضعف بالنسبة لسجل النتائج فهي أن كثيرًا من المنشورات تطرح نتيجتين معًا، فلا يمكن الحكم عليها بوضوح بالصواب أو الخطأ.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comالنتائج هي قراءتنا لما قاله كل منشور، مقيسة على أسعار الإغلاق اليومية الفعلية من CoinGecko — وليست تقييمه الخاص. تُفحص المستويات مقابل أسعار الإغلاق اليومية، لذا قد يكون السعر خلال اليوم قد تجاوز الأرقام المذكورة. «لا يزال مفتوحًا» يعني أن التوقع يحدد مستوى أو أفقًا زمنيًا لم يُبلغ أو يُكسر بعد.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
علامته للتحليل والتعليم والاستشارات، ولها قناة على YouTube وموقع إلكتروني. تشمل المقاطع الأقدم عروضًا ممولة لمنصات تداول ومشاريع.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · ارتفع BTC بنسبة 11.4% دون أن يتخلى عن المكاسب“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · بلغ Bitcoin ذروته في أكتوبر 2025“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · قراءته للسوق الهابطة في 2026الاقتباسات منقولة من مصادره العامة؛ وهي آراء معلنة وليست توصيات.
لا يوجد فيديو حديث عن السوق لربطه هنا. مقاطع قناة The Birb Nest على YouTube في هذه الفترة تروّج لبرنامج Millionaire Speedrun، وكل توقع مرسوم مرتبط بمنشوره على X.
Adrian Zduńczyk، فني أسواق معتمد (CMT) بولندي ومؤسس The Birb Nest، ينشر باسم @crypto_birb على X لنحو 712K متابع منذ أغسطس 2017.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
يتداول Crypto Birb الدورة ذات السنوات الأربع باستخدام مناطق الدعم وإحصاءات التقويم. ما مدى قرب حدسك من أسلوبه — قِسه فعليًا عبر Trader Passport.
الآن ضع أسلوبك موضع التنفيذ. اختبر أفضليتك على بيانات السوق الحية — دون المخاطرة برأس المال — في بطولة BuyCrypt مجانية بجوائز حقيقية.
تحليل إعلامي وتعليمي يستند حصرًا إلى مواد متاحة للعموم (منشوراته المؤرخة على X، وملفه على X، وقناة The Birb Nest على YouTube، وملف عام على mpost.io، وكلها مرتبطة في الصفحة). ليس نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية. الأرقام تقريبية وتتغير باستمرار. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? أرسل تصحيحًا →
حسابات موثقة · المصادر مذكورة أعلاه · منهجية التقييم · تم التحديث 18 October 2026
