Bitcoin remains stagnant in the $110,000 to $120,000 range, while gold and U.S. equities hover near all-time highs. According to Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score by cohort, selling pressure is evident across all wallet groups.
This metric measures the relative strength of accumulation based on the size of entities and the volume of coins acquired over the past 15 days. A value closer to 1 signals accumulation, while a value closer to 0 signals distribution. Exchanges and miners are excluded from this calculation.
Currently, every cohort, from wallets holding less than 1 BTC to whales holding over 10,000 BTC, is in distribution. The largest whales, with holdings above 10,000 BTC, are showing some of the most aggressive levels of selling over the past year.
Looking at long-term holder supply, the percent of circulating supply unmoved for at least 1 year has dropped sharply from 70% to 60%. The peak was in November 2023, when bitcoin traded near $40,000. At the same time, 2-year-plus holders also began to sell, with their share declining from 57% to 52%.
The three-year-plus cohort now sits just above 43% and has been steadily falling since November 2024. These wallets largely represent buyers from the previous cycle top in November 2021 at around $69,000, many of whom accumulated more during the 2022 bear market when prices hit lows of $15,500.
I was born in 1979 in Dunedin, New Zealand, where cold mornings, steep streets, and strong opinions about rugby were part of ordinary life. I use Benjamin Redfern as my public name. My private identity remains known only to close family and long-standing friends.
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